Sentences with phrase «examining public betting»

By examining public betting trends, sharp money indicators and betting system matches, I have been able to identify which sides and totals offered value to bettors.
Last week in this space I examined the public betting trends for Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals and determined that the Warriors were offering tremendous value as 7.5 - point favorites against the Thunder.

Not exact matches

With that in mind, here are 10 best bets for 2016, based in part on research from Renaissance Capital, the IPO adviser, which examines public offering deal pipelines.
Let's examine the opening lines to find out how public betting is affecting the lines.
The table below, with data taken from Pinnacle, examines the performance of road teams on Monday's as we become more selective with our public betting percentages.
Using Bet Labs, we examined how NFL lines move throughout the week to show how one - sided public betting affects line movement.
Although the only picks we officially endorse are our Best Bets, I wanted to examine two heavily bet conference championship games involving one - sided public betting.
The sweet spot for tracking reverse line movement varies from sport - to - sport, but our 2016 MLB Betting Against the Public Report found that the ideal threshold comes when we examine teams receiving less than 30 % of moneyline bets.
Although the return on investment increases as I examined increasingly one - sided public betting, our units won drops off significantly.
The first step to creating a good reverse line movement betting system is to make sure we are betting against the public, so we selected the «spread %» filter and chose to examine those receiving 40 % or less of public bets.
For example, knowing that teams receiving less than 30 % of public bets is valuable information, however, if you only examined the specific data points (i.e. 17 %) with the highest units won, you could create a system with a greater ROI but you wouldn't have learned anything particularly valuable — especially considering that the public betting percentage could move a single point after placing your bet, thus falling out of your system.
The next step was examining whether public betting was responsible for this line movement.
Using our historical database, I wanted to examine how betting against the public has performed in smaller games (fewer bets than the daily average) as compared to heavily bet games (more bet than the daily average).
The line graph below, which is available to Sportsbook Insider subscribers, examines how public betting has affected the spread at Pinnacle.
The line graph below, which is available to Sportsbook Insider subscribers, examines how public betting has affected the spread at CRIS.
By examining historical trends, public betting trends and sharp money indicators (like steam and reverse line movement), I was able to pinpoint which team was offering contrarian value to bettors.
Typically in this space we examine the top contrarian teams, and examine the success of betting against the public.
Using the information available to Sportsbook Insider subscribers, I have examined the latest public betting trends to determine what's moving the line in three Week 2 matchups.
That's why Sports Insights» team of analysts examines historical data, line moves, public betting patterns and our proprietary power ratings each day to identify the most profitable betting opportunities throughout the MLB season.
We were already well aware that the public loves to bet on favorites and thusly the value would come from betting against the public and examining solely underdogs.
Knowing that we would be unable to use our public betting trends to create a profitable betting system, we instead chose to examine how line movement impacted our system's record.
Although betting against the public has a winning record at the 35 % threshold, this system doesn't actually become profitable until we examine teams receiving less than 30 % of spread bets.
The table below displays how underdogs with high totals perform when we examine increasingly one - sided public betting.
Using our Bet Labs software, we have examined over 27,000 games to determine the optimal level for betting against the public.
The table below examines the results from betting against the public using our money percentages from the 2016 college football regular season.
Since the beginning of the 2005 season, we have released a College Football Betting Against the Public Report before the start of each new season which examines the optimal threshold for betting against the public using the ticket percentages from our contributing sportBetting Against the Public Report before the start of each new season which examines the optimal threshold for betting against the public using the ticket percentages from our contributing sportsPublic Report before the start of each new season which examines the optimal threshold for betting against the public using the ticket percentages from our contributing sportbetting against the public using the ticket percentages from our contributing sportspublic using the ticket percentages from our contributing sportsbooks.
Knowing that our contrarian strategies have continued to be profitable, we wanted to examine the line movement in two Sweet 16 games with lop - sided public betting.
By examining heavily bet games, the value derived from betting against the public, particularly on home teams, improves by leaps and bounds.
Betting against the public has been profitable when we look at very basic filters (teams receiving less than half of all public bets), but the results as we examine increasingly lopsided bet games are quite surprising.
As we approach the All - Star break, we wanted to take a step back and examine how MLB betting against the public has fared using a broader prism.
You'll notice that the return on investment continues to improve as we examine increasingly one - sided public betting which gives us more confidence in the system.
Our next step was to examine the profitability of this system when teams are receiving less than 40 %, 35 % and 30 % of public bets.
Having our initial expectation confirmed, we wanted to see how visitors fared when we used our proprietary public betting data to examine the success of betting against the public when focusing on road teams.
By examining the ticket and dollar count in Vegas alongside the public betting trends from our contributing sportsbooks, we're able to offer a more complete picture of the sports betting marketplace.
Keeping with our theme of ridiculously one - sided public betting, we examine this weekend's AFC West showdown between a potential Super Bowl contender and the favorite to land the number one overall pick in next season's draft.
Using the data available to Sportsbook Insider subscribers, I have examined three Week 11 games featuring extremely lop - sided public betting.
This week we will examine line movement from three of the most interesting games, while comparing public betting trends from our seven contributing books and the Las Vegas based William Hill sportsbook.
This week's analysis examines three interesting matchups, and helps to explain how public betting is impacting the line across the sports betting marketplace.
Examining the individual betting trends at our contributing sportsbooks provides additional insight into public betting.
In this week's episode David and Dan break down recent NBA betting trends, examine potential upcoming series prices, highlight the importance of game time when betting against the public, and much more.
Instead of focusing on these large road «dogs, we wanted to continue highlighting contrarian value by examining our betting against the public strategy and teams fitting our most profitable late season trends.
Knowing that our contrarian strategies have continued to be profitable, we wanted to examine the line movement in three games with lop - sided public betting.
In this week's edition we examine three games with extremely one - sided public betting, including two divisional rivalries.
Last week in this space, we examined three of Saturday's most heavily bet games and re-iterated how the value of betting against the public is amplified in marquee games.
In this week's edition, we chose to examine three of these heavily bet games and determine how the influx of public money has affected the line.
This season we have already posted our latest Betting Against the Public Report and explained which teams were being overvalued according to oddsmakers, but we wanted to examine the most interesting line movement for the early Week 1 games.
Although we're admittedly dealing with a fairly small sample size, it's interesting to note that the return on investment (ROI) continually improves as we examine games with increasingly one - sided public betting.
Knowing that contrarian favorites with low totals had been consistently profitable, I wanted to examine increasingly lopsided public betting.
This system, which examines the sweet spot for betting against the public, has gone 147 - 84 ATS (63.6 %) all - time including an 11 - 7 ATS (61.1 %) record this season.
By examining some of the top historical betting trends and identifying sharp money indicators, we can inform bettors on how they can capitalize on public perception.
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