We believe the best way to generate consistent,
excess returns over time in the fixed income market is through the construction of higher yielding portfolios to maximize total return within risk parameters, compared to targeted benchmarks.
(A backtest is simply a statistical look at historical data to determine whether employing a given investment factor, such as selecting stocks with low price - earnings ratios, results in
excess returns over time; i.e., returns above a stock market benchmark.)
Since the 1950s, several factors besides sheer risk have been identified that help explain
excess returns over time.
Not exact matches
In what follows, I'm going to argue that if they can, then as markets develop and adapt
over time, those
excess returns should fall.
Although great at the
time,
returns in
excess of 10 % should be considered gravy and the investor should expect that
over the long run, their rate of
return is going to average 10 %.
In any case, the relatively tight range of daily
returns of the S&P 500
over the first six months of 2017 meant that market
timing strategies would have found it even more difficult than usual to deliver
excess returns.
This is calculated by taking a risk measure (beta) that compares the
returns of the asset to the market
over a period of
time and to the market premium (Rm - rf): the
return of the market in
excess of the risk - free rate.
While factors have exhibited
excess risk - adjusted
returns over long
time periods as seen above,
over short horizons factors exhibit significant cyclicality, including periods of underperformance.
Bearing the
excesses of maturity risk or credit risk
over time can yield great
returns, but few can live with the volatility.
Our aim is to provide our clients with «value added» (
excess)
returns over and above traditional benchmarks, while at the same
time taking on less risk than the overall market.
From 2000 through 2015, the Sound Advice model portfolio has produced an average investment
return of 11.1 percent annually, as compared to 2.2 percent annually from the S&P 500
over the same period, for an annual percentage
return in
excess of 5
times greater than the S&P 500.
We invest in managers that will compound
returns over time in
excess of their respective benchmarks.
This suggests that it's got harder
over time to earn
excess returns as a value investor employing a high BM strategy.
If we are serious about access to justice, we should throw out the existing civil rules and
return to a rule book with nothing but the essentials:... Our trial and pre-trial procedures, like most things in life, have developed an
excess of appendages and fluff
over time.
If premium payments are made well in
excess of the cost of insurance early in a variable insurance policies life, the internal
returns from the investments should grow the policy value significantly
over time.