The economy is poised for a bumpy ride in 2020, and if enough policy mistakes pile up — overly restrictive fiscal policy and
excessively tight monetary policy — this could certainly create sufficient downdrafts to create a recession, or at the very least, a growth recession.
Former Fed chairman Ben Bernanke, in a speech to the American Economic Association in January, said that «
excessively tight near - term fiscal
policies have likely been counterproductive» by weakening the recovery, especially when
monetary policy has less room to maneuver.