Compare that to
the expected GDP growth of 2 % or 3 % for the overall economy.
The U.S. recently posted higher - than -
expected GDP growth at a time when China's growth is slowing, the Euro zone is struggling and Japan has dipped into a recession.
His theory is the Emerging Markets have added beta over US stocks and may perform better in the future due to higher
expected GDP growth.
Economic data in the United States have been a little more positive, showing, among other things, stronger - than -
expected GDP growth in the second quarter, improvements in business sentiment, a rise in capital goods orders and a small pick - up in industrial production in the past couple of months, though the performance of the labour market has so far remained disappointing.
Overall, Morgan Stanley
expects GDP growth to improve from 4.2 % in 2016 to 4.7 % in 2017 — and with the potential for 5 % GDP growth in 2018.
Over the next couple of years
we expect GDP growth to be around the 3 per cent mark.
For calendar year» 13,
we expect GDP growth of 2.4 %, and our outlook is largely in line with the consensus economic forecast.
I expect GDP growth in the first half to be fairly high, probably close to 8 %, continuing the investment boom that was recently unleashed.
«Slovakia is the only Central European country where
we expect GDP growth to strengthen this year, from 2017's 3.4 % to around 3.8 %.»
Although
we expect GDP growth of about 3 percent this year, job growth will lag and we could see unemployment worsen to about 10.5 percent in the second quarter before it improves.
Not exact matches
The world's «easy oil» has been depleted, Grantham argues, and current high inventory levels will be used up sooner than the market
expects — assuming reasonable global
GDP growth.
Global
growth is still too slow — the planet's
GDP is
expected to grow by 2.4 % this year, according to the World Bank, which is actually below its 2.8 %
growth in 2011.
Even the first - quarter slowdown in U.S. economic
growth (
GDP was 2.3 percent) is being met with the usual skepticism: «We
expect faster
growth in Q2 and throughout the year,» UBS said in a note to clients.
At least part of the reason is that
GDP growth has less to do with corporate profits than you might
expect.
Rajiv Biswas, Asia - Pacific chief economist at research house IHS Global Insight, said the
expected uptick in Japan's
GDP growth this quarter will be mostly on the back of «Abenomics,» which doesn't guarantee a strong rebound.
«It is weathering the current global slump remarkably well: with
GDP growth expected to be around 3 % this year and 4 % in 2010,» noted ING Investment Management in a summer report.
While Canada's economy as a whole struggles to move forward —
GDP growth is
expected to hit around 2.3 % this year — the country's fourth most populous province will grow at about 3.7 %, according to the Royal Bank of Canada.
Still, Wall Street has continued to lower its estimates for
growth this year and next, with
GDP now
expected to be 1.95 percent for 2016, 19 basis points lower than in March and below 2 percent for the first time since the question was first asked a year ago.
«The declining momentum should already become apparent in the first quarter, for which we
expect gross domestic product (
GDP)
growth of only 0.4 percent quarter - on - quarter for Germany, whereas
GDP grew by 0.6 percent in the fourth quarter,» Kraemer said in a note.
Analysts
expect the 16 - day shutdown will shave between 0.2 and 0.6 of a percentage point off fourth - quarter annualized
GDP growth.
And it's only
expected to get worse: RBC says 2018 will see all of these provinces trail the rest of the country when it comes to
GDP growth.
Chinese Premier Li Keqiang said China 2017
GDP growth was
expected to be about 6.9 percent, with foreign exchange reserves rising.
We
expect the slowdown to continue into the first half of 2012, with annual
GDP growth next year falling to a still - global - leading rate of around 8.5 %.
While Brazil's real
GDP growth rate is
expected to be 7.5 % this year, the International Monetary Fund
expects that to drop nearer to 4 % for 2011.
More than 80 % of global
GDP growth in 2012 is
expected to come from emerging markets.
China, Japan, and even Europe will all grow, expanding
GDP by 7.8 %, 1.6 %, and 1.5 %, respectively... However, we
expect no
growth in margins and multiple in 2014.
«While we see a potential drop in total number of U.S. jobs created in 2017, as reported by Kiplinger, as well as an overall
expected drop in
GDP growth, the cannabis industry continues to be a positive contributing factor to
growth at a time of potential decline,» says De Carcer in a statement.
Buoyed by strong corporate balance sheets positioned to drive further M&A, the prospect of solid
GDP anchoring steady earnings
growth, and a Fed set to raise interest rates while mindful of incoming data, we
expect the advancing tide to continue rolling.
In this week's Trader Poll, tell us which of these countries is
expected to notch the highest
GDP growth in 2017.
Spending on health care is
expected to outpace
GDP growth for at least the next decade.
Recent data from the World Bank shows that
GDP growth in South Asia rose to 6.9 percent in 2014 and is
expected to continue to grow toward 7.5 percent in 2015.
He said the second half is likely to be weaker than
expected and will moderate annual real
GDP growth to around 1.2 per cent for all of 2015.
«Rising U.S.
GDP, a steadily improving economy, all - time high household net worth and low airfares are fueling the
expected growth in summer air travel,» said A4A Vice President and Chief Economist John Heimlich.
We
expect the tax bill to offer moderate economic stimulus — various estimates suggest it could add 0.3 to 0.4 points to real
GDP growth annually — primarily through increased corporate investment in response to the higher after - tax return on investment resulting from the lower 21 % corporate tax rate.
In contrast, direct program expenses are
expected to decline assuming, that the government is successful in restraining the
growth to less than the
growth in nominal
GDP.
This Friday's preliminary look at first - quarter
GDP data is
expected to show a deceleration in
growth to 2.0 %, according to Econoday.com's consensus forecast — the softest rise in a year.
And if Trump manages to restrict immigration and raise trade barriers, we can
expect prices to rise even more — along with manufacturing activity, wages and ultimately
GDP growth.
In fact I suspect the reason credit
growth in the past year or two has not slowed nearly as sharply as it should, or as sharply as required by the economic analysis implicit in the Third Plenum reform proposals, is precisely because of the
expected impact of meaningful credit constraint on
GDP growth.
If the global economy were to recover much more quickly than most of us
expect, and, much more importantly, if Beijing were to initiate a far more aggressive program of privatization and wealth transfer than I think politically possible, perhaps transferring in the first few years the equivalent of as much as 2 - 5 % of
GDP, the surge in household income could unleash much stronger consumption
growth than we have seen in the past.
With strong investment
growth and an
expected improvement in exports, our forecast for the economy overall is that annual
GDP growth will pick up modestly during 2006 to about 3 1/4 per cent.
Within emerging markets, moderating
growth in China — where Morgan Stanley
expects GDP to increase 6.5 % in 2018 — will likely be offset by improvements in other developing nations.
World
GDP growth in 2005 is estimated to have been above average, and most observers
expect this to continue in 2006.
Two years ago it was hard to find analysts who
expected average
GDP growth over the rest of this decade to be less than 8 %.
Relative to the July Report, U.S.
GDP growth in 2013 and 2014 has been revised up to 2.3 per cent and 3.2 per cent, respectively, owing to a larger policy response by the Federal Reserve than was previously
expected.
According to Italian investment bank UniCredit, Hungary could potentially grow its
GDP 4.5 percent this year on fast net wage
growth and deleveraging, which is
expected to support consumption and private investment.
EMs currently account for more than half of the world's
GDP and around two - thirds of
GDP growth — that economic share is only
expected to rise as EMs are projected to grow faster than developed markets (DMs) in upcoming years.
We can't rule out a quarter of positive
GDP growth, as we saw in early 1974 (followed by a further decline and bear market plunge), but we can't see any basis on which to
expect sustained and robust
GDP growth yet, and certainly not robust earnings
growth.
For much of 2017, the forecasters had
expected U.S. real
GDP for 2018 to result in
growth of 2.4 percent.
We may very well have a better first quarter
GDP figure driven by inventory building, but there is no substantial basis to
expect robust
growth in
GDP, profit margins, or capital spending.
This is the next great challenge for Beijing, and when the regulators finally do start to repair overextended balance sheet, with a much higher debt - to -
GDP ratio than any other country at China's stage of economic development, according to a presentation Monday night by my very smart former student, Chen Long, I
expect annual
GDP growth rates will continue dropping steadily, by 1 - 2 percentage points a year through the rest of this decade (and there has been increasing talk in the past month or two that
GDP growth rates are already 1 - 2 points below the printed rates).