A climate scientist, Yochanan Kushnir, said that the Mediterranean area is
expected by climate change models to dry in the future.
Not exact matches
One positive finding of the ecological niche
modelling study is that while the ranges of many species are
expected to contract, much of the remaining suitable habitat for many species will be located within existing protected areas, and that the recent creation of new reserves such as Itombwe and Kabobo in the Democratic Republic of Congo, have greatly increased the protection of some species under threat
by future
climate change.
He and colleagues
expect the new information will propel
climate modelers to refine their
models to better predict what may happen in the future as soils are disturbed
by climate change.
Climate change models predict that the Arctic sea ice will continue to shrink in a warming world (as much as 40 % of the ice is
expected to be gone
by midcentury), and the resulting
changes — including later formation of ice in the autumn, rain falling on the snow, and decreasing snow depths — will make it increasingly difficult for the seals to construct their snow caves, NOAA says.
If the
models are unable to predict the forced response of the
climate (i.e. the
climate change caused
by changes in forcings such as CO2) then I don't see how they can be
expected to accurately
model the unforced response (internal
climate variability).
Model projections for precipitation
changes are less certain than those for temperature.12, 2 Under a higher emissions scenario (A2), global
climate models (GCMs) project average winter and spring precipitation
by late this century (2071 - 2099) to increase 10 % to 20 % relative to 1971 - 2000, while
changes in summer and fall are not
expected to be larger than natural variations.
Yet, when scientists examine the empirical temperature measurement datasets, it becomes readily apparent that
changes in CO2 levels are not generating the
expected changes in global temperatures, as predicted
by the immensely powerful and sophisticated (and incredibly costly)
climate models.
Potentially severe loss of current summer range
by 2080, as projected
by Audubon's
climate model, may be most acute at high elevations, where meadows and tundra are widely
expected to suffer from
climate change.
This forecast also suggests global temperatures over the next five years are likely to be well within, or even in the upper half, of the range of warming
expected by the CMIP5
models, as used
by the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change.
Previously, we could get some idea of future
climates by observing and analysing the patterns of the past but the
changes we can
expect in the future will be so much greater than anything we have hitherto experienced, that these methods will not be adequate and we shall need to rely much more on computer
models which take in the full complexity of the
climate system.
Such occurrences are the
expected climate change manifestations from increasing CO2 emissions predicted
by consensus experts and
climate models.