Sentences with phrase «expected by climate models»

When the correct adjustments to the data were applied the data matched much more closely the trends expected by climate models.

The team's results «help us understand why Earth didn't warm as much as expected by climate models in the past decade or so.»

Not exact matches

They also analyzed data from a climate model developed by the Max - Planck Institute for Meteorology in Germany to predict what the correlation between the current and rainfall would be expected to be during the Little Ice Age.

«They are using this information to test state - of - the - art climate models under conditions of high atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations, similar to those expected by the end of this century.»

Global climate models find that rainfall in northeast Brazil is expected to decrease in the coming decades, and some rivers could see flows reduced by 60 to 70 percent, he said.

One positive finding of the ecological niche modelling study is that while the ranges of many species are expected to contract, much of the remaining suitable habitat for many species will be located within existing protected areas, and that the recent creation of new reserves such as Itombwe and Kabobo in the Democratic Republic of Congo, have greatly increased the protection of some species under threat by future climate change.

He and colleagues expect the new information will propel climate modelers to refine their models to better predict what may happen in the future as soils are disturbed by climate change.

Using climate models to project into the future, the team found the amount of time increased temperatures are expected to strip the air of moisture could up to double by the 2080s.

Climate change models predict that the Arctic sea ice will continue to shrink in a warming world (as much as 40 % of the ice is expected to be gone by midcentury), and the resulting changes — including later formation of ice in the autumn, rain falling on the snow, and decreasing snow depths — will make it increasingly difficult for the seals to construct their snow caves, NOAA says.

The major argument for that is that physically one would expect that and detailed analysis by climate models shows it.

Professor of Economics and Research Chair in Energy, Ecology and Prosperity at the Frontier Centre for Public Policy Dr. Ross McKitrick discusses the wide disparities between the expected results of climate models and real - life observations, during an in - depth interview for The New Criterion by Ben Weingarten

«Also, if the atmosphere isn't accumulating heat at the rate forecast by the models, then the theoretical positive climate feedbacks which were expected to amplify the CO2 effect won't be as large,» McNider said.

The major argument for that is that physically one would expect that and detailed analysis by climate models shows it.

Raw climate model results for a business - as - usual scenario indicate that we can expect global temperatures to increase anywhere in the range of 5.8 and 10.6 degrees Fahrenheit (3.2 to 5.9 degrees Celsius) over preindustrial levels by the end of the century — a difference of about a factor of two between the most - and least - severe projections.

Anyhow, not the point, the reason for the hand wringing is that what has happened in the last decade was not predicted, not expected and todate can not be explained by the processes and models that were thought to be indicative of this planet's climate.

If the models are unable to predict the forced response of the climate (i.e. the climate change caused by changes in forcings such as CO2) then I don't see how they can be expected to accurately model the unforced response (internal climate variability).

Model projections for precipitation changes are less certain than those for temperature.12, 2 Under a higher emissions scenario (A2), global climate models (GCMs) project average winter and spring precipitation by late this century (2071 - 2099) to increase 10 % to 20 % relative to 1971 - 2000, while changes in summer and fall are not expected to be larger than natural variations.

Actually supposing the climate is somehow chaotic one perhaps shouldn't expect a good fit from time - series models driven by gaussian noise.

The output of such model simulations is then used by the climate impacts community to investigate what potential future benefits or threats could be expected.

In this way, we can obtain the expected range of projected climate trends using the interannual statistics of the observed NAO record in combination with the model's radiatively - forced response (given by the ensemble - mean of the 40 simulations).

We find that the expected 95 % range of future climate trends induced by NAO fluctuations estimated from the observed statistics of the NAO and the modeled response to increased GHGs is largely similar to that obtained from the CESM - LE directly, attesting to the fidelity of the model's representation of the NAO and the utility of this approach.

Yet, when scientists examine the empirical temperature measurement datasets, it becomes readily apparent that changes in CO2 levels are not generating the expected changes in global temperatures, as predicted by the immensely powerful and sophisticated (and incredibly costly) climate models.

Hang on... we've been told for years by apparent top climate scientists to expect less snowfalls, climate models predict warmer winters, ex-politicians claiming ice - free polar caps, hand - wringing news articles of children who would never experience snowfalls, on and on... but now we're expected to believe exactly the opposite because that's what's happening now.

Not only are these short - term «pauses» just noise in the data, but observations show that they are entirley expected, and predicted by climate models (i.e. see Meehl el al. 2011).

Climate models predicted that by 2041 — 2060, the major part of the Mediterranean will become warmer except the northern Adriatic, which is expected to become cooler (OPAMED8 model based on the A2 IPCC scenario, Figure 11c).

These methods do not use physical information provided by climate models regarding the expected response magnitudes to constrain the estimated responses to the forcings.

A climate scientist, Yochanan Kushnir, said that the Mediterranean area is expected by climate change models to dry in the future.

Potentially severe loss of current summer range by 2080, as projected by Audubon's climate model, may be most acute at high elevations, where meadows and tundra are widely expected to suffer from climate change.

Back in the olden days, in the days when they had the sort of «stable» climate we are all now expected to aspire to, long before anyone had thunk up global warming or anything, they used to amuse themselves of an evening by singing about how natural variability is always going to happen whether the models be right or wrong.

This forecast also suggests global temperatures over the next five years are likely to be well within, or even in the upper half, of the range of warming expected by the CMIP5 models, as used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

Although atmosphere — ocean models have difficulty replicating Pliocene climate, atmospheric models forced by specified surface boundary conditions are expected to be capable of calculating global surface temperature with reasonable accuracy.

For another, climate models have been tuned to a monotonic rise that is expected / predicted by precisely that empirical model to be almost precisely what was observed, making it hard to claim that it is either «unprecedented» or «unexpected».

Previously, we could get some idea of future climates by observing and analysing the patterns of the past but the changes we can expect in the future will be so much greater than anything we have hitherto experienced, that these methods will not be adequate and we shall need to rely much more on computer models which take in the full complexity of the climate system.

Such occurrences are the expected climate change manifestations from increasing CO2 emissions predicted by consensus experts and climate models.

The simple climate model can be expected to give results in good agreement to those that would be produced by the AOGCMs up to 2100.

Ome would expect that our mathematical models would by now be able to faithfully reproduce current average global temperatures, but this is not so — the IPCC models all exaggerate their predictions, also indicating a lack of understanding and validation of climate models.

By 2080, this grassland bird is expected to lose 100 percent of its current summer range and 22 percent of its winter range, according to Audubon's climate model.

If we were to stabilise CO2 levels at around 400 ppm, we'd expect over the long - term a further warming of 2 to 3 °C, which is significantly greater than the warming predicted by climate models.

Regardless, climate models are made interesting by the inclusion of «positive feedbacks» (multiplier effects) so that a small temperature increment expected from increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide invokes large increases in water vapor, which seem to produce exponential rather than logarithmic temperature response in the models.