We have also seen that greater uncertainty means that
the expected damages from climate change will necessarily be greater than anticipated, and that the allowance we must make for sea level rise will also be greater than anticipated.
Not exact matches
They show that as uncertainty in the temperature increase
expected with a doubling of CO2
from pre-industrial levels rises, so do the economic
damages of increased
climate change.
Climate change is
expected to contribute to a dramatic increase in forest fire
damage in Europe, but better forest management could mitigate the problem, according to new research
from the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA).
«Using that approach we showed that as uncertainty in the temperature increase
expected with a doubling of CO2
from pre-industrial levels rises, so do the economic
damages of increased
climate change,» Lewandowsky continued.
Barring policies to curb GHG emissions, scientists
expect this problem to grow and eventually lead to
climate change and its accompanying costs, including
damage to economic activity
from the destruction of capital (for example, along coastal areas) and lower agricultural productivity.
Because the social cost of carbon increases each year, calculations of how much
climate change damages are
expected because of the emissions
from this coal should take into account when the coal is likely to be burned.
Of course, uncertainty surrounding
expected damages is highly relevant because it must be taken into account when assessing the total
expected risk
from climate change.