In an op - ed for the New York Times, Michael E. Webber, deputy director of the Energy Institute at the University of Texas at Austin, blames coal's struggles on cheap and plentiful natural gas, cheap renewables and air - quality regulations launched under the George W. Bush administration, as well as weaker - than -
expected demand for coal in Asia.
Not exact matches
By the mid 2020s, the IEA
expects the U.S. to become the world's biggest exporter of liquefied natural gas,
demand for which is set to rise strongly as China, India, and Southeast Asia all turn away from
coal to cleaner energy sources.
Lower
expected global
demand for U.S.
coal exports in 2018 and 2019 also contributes to the forecast of lower
coal production.
Those winter shutdowns were
expected to dampen
demand and prices
for Australian iron ore and
coal in particular, but prices
for both commodities have remained strong; iron ore prices have surged 26 per cent since October 31 to be fetching $ US77.74 per tonne on Tuesday, according to Metal Bulletin.
The Asian forecast contrasts sharply to projections
for the United States, which is
expected to see sagging domestic
demand as power plants undergo fuel switching away from
coal.
As domestic
demand increases
for both thermal and metallurgical
coal, China is
expected to curtail exports, possibly expanding markets
for other regional players like India, Australia and Indonesia.
Despite the low price currently fetched
for coal overseas, Eaves said the company
expects the international market to improve even as domestic
demand for coal recedes.
This is why oil giants like ExxonMobil are investing more these days in natural gas,
demand for which is
expected to grow as electric utilities in Canada, the United States and Europe switch from
coal to gas - fired power generation.
India's policymakers,
for their part, have to deal with rapid development and population growth that make
coal indispensable to meeting the
expected 3.5 percent increase in year - on - year
demand for electricity between now and 2040.
Coal currently accounts for 39 % of global power supplies, and coal demand is growing faster than expec
Coal currently accounts
for 39 % of global power supplies, and
coal demand is growing faster than expec
coal demand is growing faster than
expected.
However, sluggish power
demand, abundant gas supply and renewables growth are
expected to continue to generate headwinds
for coal use and limit the prospects
for any resurgence in construction of new
coal power plants.
The company
expects energy
demand to grow at an average of about 1 % annually over the next three decades — faster than population but much slower than the global economy — with increasing efficiency and a gradual shift toward lower - emission energy sources: Gas increases faster than oil and by more BTUs in total, while
coal grows
for a while longer but then shrinks back to current levels.
Global
demand for coal is
expected to grow to 8.9 billion tons by 2016 from 7.9 billion tons this year, with the bulk of new
demand — about 700 million tons — coming from China, according to a Peabody Energy study.
Besides strong
demand for thermal
coal, which is burned in power plants, use of metallurgical
coal or coking
coal, used in blast furnaces, is also
expected to more than double in China, to about 1.7 billion metric tons by 2016, as the country's steel mills churn out more steel
for automobiles, skyscrapers and export goods, the Peabody study says.
Coal is
expected to provide the major source of energy, accounting
for 45 percent of the increase in energy
demand.
Steep price rises
for oil and gas could stymie global
demand or prolong the current
coal boom or it could all run out sooner than
expected.
Demand for coal in Southeast Asia alone is
expected to increase 4.8 % a year through to 2035.
In fact, global
demand for oil is
expected to cross the 100 million bpd threshold within a few years, potentially surpassing
coal as the largest source of CO2 emissions within a decade.
And ironically enough, Goodell argues, it's China's quickly growing
demand for energy that presents us with a solution: «Energy
demand is
expected to double by 2030, and at that pace, there is not enough oil,
coal and gas in the world to keep their economy humming,» he writes.
«The US shale gas revolution, and the push to renewable energy, are also
expected to dampen
demand for coal in the decades to come.
Other reasons include competition from natural gas, weaker than
expected demand for electricity and aging
coal - fired plants.