Not exact matches
A large area of the Greenland ice sheet once considered stable is actually shedding massive amounts of ice, suggesting that
future sea -
level rise may be worse than
expected, a team of scientists warned yesterday in a new study.
As a result, it is unclear how soon
sea level started
rising after Earth warmed in prehistoric times, how quickly it
rose and what we can
expect in the
future.
The finding, which will likely boost estimates of
expected global
sea level rise in the
future, appears in the March 16 issue of the journal Nature Climate Change.
A new paper by Levermann et al. in PNAS uses the record of past rates of
sea level rise from palaeo archives and numerical computer models to understand how much
sea level rise we can
expect per degree of warming in the
future.
Global ice - sheets are melting at an increased rate; Arctic
sea - ice is disappearing much faster than recently projected, and
future sea -
level rise is now
expected to be much higher than previously forecast, according to a new global scientific synthesis prepared by some of the world's top climate scientists.
The report found that global ice sheets are melting at an increased rate; Arctic
sea ice is thinning and melting much faster than recently projected, and
future sea -
level rise is now
expected to be much higher than previously forecast.
pg xiii This Policymakers Summary aims to bring out those elements of the main report which have the greatest relevance to policy formulation, in answering the following questions • What factors determine global climate 7 • What are the greenhouse gases, and how and why are they increasing 9 • Which gases are the most important 9 • How much do we
expect the climate to change 9 • How much confidence do we have in our predictions 9 • Will the climate of the
future be very different 9 • Have human activities already begun to change global climate 9 How much will
sea level rise 9 • What will be the effects on ecosystems 9 • What should be done to reduce uncertainties, and how long will this take 9 This report is intended to respond to the practical needs of the policymaker.
Many media articles and weblogs suggested there is good news on the
sea level issue, with
future sea level rise expected to be a lot less compared to the previous IPCC report (the Third Assessment Report, TAR).
In arguing that
sea levels are
rising much more than the consensus view of thousands of scientists, he makes a lot of the fact that the 1993 - 2003
sea level estimates were 50 % higher than the IPCC's models
expected, indicating that
future sea level rises would also be higher.
If one were to get 2 C by 2075, at the time of 2075 one should not have seen much in terms of
sea level rise - though one might
expect significant
rise in the
future if such higher temperature continue for decades into the
future.
Scientists
expect the rate of melting to accelerate, with serious implications for
future sea level rise.
For an unmitigated
future rise in emissions (RCP8.5), IPCC now
expects between a half metre and a metre of
sea -
level rise by the end of this century.