Sentences with phrase «expert judgement»
"Expert judgement" refers to the knowledgeable opinion or decision made by someone who is considered an expert in a particular field or subject. It signifies relying on the expertise and experience of an individual to make informed and reliable assessments or choices. Full definition
There's also still a need for expert judgement in developing selection criteria and interpreting results.
environmentalresearchweb.org
There's a growing body of research that suggests that simple statistical models outperform expert judgements even when the experts are provided with the output of the model.
Where this is not available, assessments of likelihood of human influence are based on attribution results for changes in the mean of a variable or changes in physically related variables and / or on the qualitative similarity of observed and simulated changes, combined with expert judgement.
Though there is some «comfort» in having the human overlay, Id agree with your note that statistical models outperform expert judgements even when the experts are provided with the output of the model.
These targets are not magical; they are expert judgements about what it takes to avoid some of the more serious effects of climate change.
In this Summary for Policymakers, the following terms have been used to indicate the assessed likelihood, using expert judgement, of an outcome or a result:
Montier's thesis is that simple statistical or quantitative models consistently outperform expert judgements.
An asterisk in the column headed «D' indicates that formal detection and attribution studies were used, along with expert judgement, to assess the likelihood of a discernible human influence.
In 2016, researchers reported the first use of a deep - learning system to identify tropical cyclones, atmospheric rivers and weather fronts: loosely defined features whose identification depends on expert judgement.
This is a starting point that will give an indication of the quality and condition of passive fire protection to identify any deficiencies and make an expert judgement about whether there is probable cause to suspect widespread defects.
Montier's thesis is that simple statistical or quantitative models consistently outperform expert judgements, and this phenomenon persists even when the experts are provided with the models» predictions.
As we know from Andrew McAfee's Harvard Business Review blog post, The Future of Decision Making: Less Intuition, More Evidence, and James Montier's 2006 research report, Painting By Numbers: An Ode To Quant, in context after context, simple statistical models outperform expert judgements.
Bob Ryan of NBC Ch.4 in the DC area tells a story of how he sometimes provides clues to his audience (expert judgement) of how to react to his weather forecasts, by saying things like, however, I'm personally not going out to buy salt just yet or stock up on groceries.
An expert judgement assessment of future sea level rise from the ice sheets.
The latter underscored that assumptions are already implicitly included in the already - listed theory, models and expert judgement.
Does «expert judgement» belong in science?
SB: The expert judgement in the IPCC really is a definitive statement on this, because that draws together multiple lines of evidence and a range of experts.
So whilst it might not help you plan your summer holiday this year, we feel, on expert judgement, that we do have some skill in that and providing it further would not be helpful.
On the basis of a comprehensive reading of the literature and their expert judgement, authors have assigned a confidence level to the major statements in the Report on the basis of their assessment of current knowledge, as follows:
Are they «repeatable» or merely tuned using «expert judgement?»
As I understand it, the IPCC used a process of «expert judgement» where the experts tried to express how confident they felt.
a The assessed likelihood, using expert judgement, of an outcome or a result: Virtually certain > 99 % probability of occurrence, Extremely likely > 95 %, Very likely > 90 %, Likely > 66 %, More likely than not > 50 %.
The rankings reflect the expert judgement of Risk Advisory's analysts and their experience of helping organisations investigate and do business in those markets.