You say that CO2
explains the stratospheric cooling, but you want to invoke some mysterious, unknown mechanism for explaining the warming.
Not exact matches
First,
stratospheric T 100 - 50 hPa has a global
cooling trend for past 50 years (see Sterin thereafter for example), but how could we
explain that if TSI has no change at all, particularly since 1980 (PMOD composite)?
I'm pretty sure you can get the grey version of that into a strat -
cooling / trop - warming situation if you pick the strat absorbers right, but Andy is certainly right that non-grey effects play a crucial role in
explaining quantitatively what is going on in the real atmosphere (that's connected with the non-grey explanation for the anomalously cold tropopause which I have in Chapter 4, and also with the reason that aerosols do not produce
stratospheric cooling, and everything depends a lot on what level you are looking at).
It
explains why we are seeing simultaneous
stratospheric cooling along with tropospheric warming.
Nor did you
explain how this research would account for the evidence in support of the CO2 - induced warming hypothesis, such as
stratospheric cooling and mesospheric
cooling [hint: it doesn't account for these].
The Met Office held a briefing for the press to
explain that the reduction in warming might be natural variation, or could be accounted for by a mixture of a decrease in
stratospheric water vapour and the
cooling bias introduced by new methodology.
The nifty thing is that CO2's radiative properties
explain the predicted and observed
stratospheric cooling to boot.
(Some of the
cooling is due also to the decrease in
stratospheric ozone but the amount and altitude distribution of the
cooling apparently can not be
explained solely by this mechanism.)
Speaking of which, Cohen is coauthor of a study published online in BAMS on February 1 that finds a tendency toward a weaker
stratospheric polar vortex — in turn
explaining the bulk of midlatitude winter
cooling observed across Eurasia since 1990.
You have not found anything and presumably have no ability to
explain in your own words why
stratospheric cooling ceased 15 years ago despite some moderate warming and increased CO2 levels.