The report,
Explaining ocean warming: causes, scales, effects and consequences, which was presented at the IUCN World Conservation Congress in Hawaii recently (5 September 2016), has found the upper depths of the world's oceans have warmed significantly since 1995.
Explaining Ocean Warming: Causes, scale, effects and consequences was released to the world's media in September 2016 at the IUCN Congress in Hawaii.
Unfortunately there is no alternative way to
explain ocean warming over the last 50 years.
-LSB-...] On one and only thing you are right, there is no need for a NET transfer (of energy) from the atmosphere to the ocean to
explain ocean warming.
On one and only thing you are right, there is no need for a NET transfer (of energy) from the atmosphere to the ocean to
explain ocean warming.
The report,
Explaining ocean warming: Causes, scale, effects and consequences, reviews the effects of ocean warming on species, ecosystems and on the benefits oceans provide to humans.
The comprehensive paper, entitled «
Explaining ocean warming: causes, scale, effects and consequences,» described the swift warming of the seas as «the greatest hidden challenge of our generation.»
Not exact matches
Places like the southern Indian
Ocean that showed the strongest
warming signal the soonest tend to be the areas that will see the worst affects of
warming, he
explained.
«Using a numerical climate model we found that sulfate reductions over Europe between 1980 and 2005 could
explain a significant fraction of the amplified
warming in the Arctic region during that period due to changes in long - range transport, atmospheric winds and
ocean currents.
Sea ice reflects most of the sun's energy, he
explained, whereas the open
ocean absorbs more energy, and thus the disappearance of sea ice triggers even more
warming, in a positive - feedback loop called albedo.
«As the climate gets
warmer, the thawing permafrost not only enables the release of more greenhouse gases to the atmosphere, but our study shows that it also allows much more mineral - laden and nutrient - rich water to be transported to rivers, groundwater and eventually the Arctic
Ocean,»
explained Ryan Toohey, a researcher at the Interior Department's Alaska Climate Science Center in Anchorage and the lead author of the study.
Global
warming is also contributing to the rising
ocean temperatures on the whole, but «the
warming of the
ocean alone is not sufficient to
explain what we see,» said Eric Rignot, a glacier expert at the University of California, Irvine, in an emailed comment on the new study.
Year - round ice - free conditions across the surface of the Arctic
Ocean could
explain why Earth was substantially
warmer during the Pliocene Epoch than it is today, despite similar concentrations of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere.
Year - round ice - free conditions across the surface of the Arctic
Ocean could
explain why Earth was substantially
warmer during the Pliocene Epoch than it is today, despite similar concentrations of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, according to new research carried out at the University of Colorado Boulder.
They can also
explain more than half of the
warming recorded over the Antarctic Peninsula, because «anomalously strong westerlies should act to decrease the incidence of cold air outbreaks from the south and lead to increased
warm advection from the Southern
Ocean.»
This allowed us to simulate a future climate scenario, characterized by both
warmer waters and
ocean acidification»,
explains researcher Christian Alsterberg.
«Such a slowdown is consistent with the projected effects of anthropogenic climate change, where
warming and freshening of the surface
ocean from melting ice caps leads to weaker overturning circulation,» DeVries
explained.
These European reptiles inhabited
warm, shallow seas of the continent, but «they were not as agile in this environment as today's sea turtles, who are able to cover very large distances and cross seas and even
oceans,» the expert
explains.
Habib
explains that it would have been able to cross broad stretches of
ocean by taking advantage of thermals (rising columns of air created over
warmer - than - normal patches of
ocean) to gain altitude, then gliding until it reached the next thermal.
So the report notes that the current «pause» in new global average temperature records since 1998 — a year that saw the second strongest El Nino on record and shattered
warming records — does not reflect the long - term trend and may be
explained by the
oceans absorbing the majority of the extra heat trapped by greenhouse gases as well as the cooling contributions of volcanic eruptions.
Because existing phenomena — such as thermal expansion of water from
warming — do not fully
explain the corrected sea - level - rise number of 3.3 millimeters, stored heat in the deep
ocean may be making a significant contribution, Cazenave said.
Geologists studying a region in the Mexican state of Veracruz have discovered evidence to
explain the origin of the Wilcox Formation, one of Mexico's most productive oil plays, as well as support for the theory that water levels in the Gulf of Mexico dropped dramatically as it was separated from the rest of the world's
oceans and Earth entered a period of extreme
warming.
The paper's researchers, led by U.C. Davis marine biologist Patrick Kilduff,
explain that the NPGO — which is largely driven by a flavor of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) that produces
warming in the tropical central Pacific
Ocean — has become more common in recent decades.
In the past 15 years, the
oceans have
warmed, the amount of snow and ice has diminished and sea levels have risen,
explains Lisa Goddard, an expert in climate variability at Columbia University.
It should also be noted that the authors examined whether the large - scale
ocean circulation, the Meridional Overturning Circulation (MOC), and two other
ocean phenomena - the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and Atlantic Meridional Oscillation (AMO)- could
explain the
warming in the 20th century simulations, but found no evidence in the models.
For naysayers who may claim that natural
ocean processes only
explain variability, and not overall trends (
warming), we have this:
In the part of the «Swindle» film where I am describing the fact that the
ocean tends to expel carbon dioxide where it is
warm, and to absorb it where it is cold, my intent was to
explain that
warming the
ocean could be dangerous — because it is such a gigantic reservoir of carbon.
So if you can
explain to me how the atmosphere could cause these three
oceans to
warm and allow the rest to languish or cool, I would be very interested to hear it.
Cooling sea - surface temperatures over the tropical Pacific
Ocean — part of a natural
warm and cold cycle — may
explain why global average temperatures have stabilized in recent years, even as greenhouse gas emissions have been
warming the planet.
Guemas et al. (Nature Climate Change 2013) shows that the slower
warming of the last ten years can not be
explained by a change in the radiative balance of our Earth, but rather by a change in the heat storage of the
oceans, and that this can be at least partially reproduced by climate models, if one accounts for the natural fluctuations associated with El Niño in the initialization of the models.
Gavin disputes that the main driver of the sea ice retreat is the albedo flip, but we are seeing not only polar amplification of global
warming but positive feedback, which would not be
explained simply by radiative forces and
ocean currents.
I particularly enjoyed the slides that, when combined (1) provided an overview of hotter and cooler CO2 molecules as it relates to how they are seen from outer space and from profile — because this will make it easier for me to
explain this process to others; (2) walked through the volcanic and solar activity vs assigning importance to CO2 changes — because this another way to help make it clearer, too, but in another way; (3) discussed CO2 induced
warming and
ocean rise vs different choices we might make — because this helps point out why every day's delay matters; and (4) showed Figure 1 from William Nordhaus» «Strategies for Control of Carbon Dioxide» and then super-imposed upon that the global mean temperature in colors showing pre-paper and post-paper periods — because this helps to show just how far back it was possible to make reasoned projections without the aid of a more nuanced and modern understanding.
The recent slower
warming is mainly
explained by the fact that in recent years the La Niña state in the tropical Pacific prevailed, in which the eastern Pacific is cold and the
ocean stores more heat (2).
Additionally, other model experiments (Giannini et al, 2003) point to
warmer Indian
Ocean temperatures to
explain the 1980s droughts.
Second, the quantity of methane necessary to
explain the carbon isotope ratio, as calculated by Dickens, would be much less than that required to
warm ocean and atmosphere temperatures to the extent estimated by PETM temperature proxies and calculated by physical climate models.
V: More to the point: if you want to argue that
ocean heating is due to increased CO2 emissions, then you need to
explain how
warming produced by those emissions found its way into the
oceans.
Still others cited material
explaining various facets of
ocean / atmosphere / irradiation interactions: direct SW
warming of the
oceans, advection of heat below the mixing layer, and possible LW
warming of the «skin layer,» and so forth.
Skeptics say that submarine volcanism
explains the current
warming of the
oceans.
He
explains that the sea ice is thinning at an accelerating rate, as the Arctic
Ocean warms.
Since the assumption in the original post seems to be that the
ocean is
warmer than the atmosphere, it would be nice to state this at the beginning, even before
explaining skin temperatures and gradients.
I think the latter is likely — these recent cold winters are part of the much - discussed «
warm Arctic — cold continents» pattern (see, eg, Overland et al 2011) and could be related to the dwindling ice cover on the Arctic
Ocean, as we
explained here.
For example, there are not sufficient observations of the uptake of heat, particularly into the deep
ocean, that would be one of the possible mechanisms to
explain this
warming hiatus.»
The
ocean oscillations cited in these stories have been raised by the global
warming skeptics for the last ten years to
explain what we saw between the mid» 70's and 2000 was nothing more than a natural cycle.
The United States delegation even weighed in, urging the authors of the report to
explain away the lack of
warming using the «leading hypothesis» among scientists that the lower
warming is down to more heat being absorbed by the
ocean — which has got hotter.»
To
explain the universally acknowledged lack of
warming over the last 17 years in defiance of all UN climate theories, government - funded «climate scientists» and the UN have increasingly touted what critics ridicule as «The Theory of The Ocean Ate My Global Warming.
warming over the last 17 years in defiance of all UN climate theories, government - funded «climate scientists» and the UN have increasingly touted what critics ridicule as «The Theory of The
Ocean Ate My Global
Warming.
Warming.»
The ENTIRE
warming is to be found within those three steps,
explained in full by natural (
ocean) processes.
Instead, they discuss new ways of playing around with the aerosol judge factor needed to
explain why 20th - century
warming is about half of the
warming expected for increased in GHGs; and then expand their list of fudge factors to include smaller volcanos, stratospheric water vapor (published with no estimate of uncertainty for the predicted change in Ts), transfer of heat to the deeper
ocean (where changes in heat content are hard to accurately measure), etc..
Henry@Willis I think to
explain the phenomena of why the
oceans do not get
warmer than 30 - 33C When the top layer of molecules of the water in the reservoir reaches a certain temp., namely the boiling point at ruling pressure, it simply evaporates and thereby it cools the remaining liquid in the reservoir.
However, Watanabe et al. (2013) suggests that these factors can't
explain most of the slowed surface
warming, which his study attributes to a more efficient transfer of heat to the deep
oceans.
By comparing modelled and observed changes in such indices, which include the global mean surface temperature, the land -
ocean temperature contrast, the temperature contrast between the NH and SH, the mean magnitude of the annual cycle in temperature over land and the mean meridional temperature gradient in the NH mid-latitudes, Braganza et al. (2004) estimate that anthropogenic forcing accounts for almost all of the
warming observed between 1946 and 1995 whereas
warming between 1896 and 1945 is
explained by a combination of anthropogenic and natural forcing and internal variability.