The last part of the paper discusses two possible
explanations for mean reversion: time varying required returns, and slowly - decaying «price fads» that cause stock prices to deviate from fundamental values for periods of several years.
Most of the
explanations we have discussed
for the rise in the CAPE ratio are inherently temporary and are subject to the risk of
mean reversion The CAPE naysayers tend to focus on the reasons why a high CAPE ratio can support a high return and tend to ignore the reasons this may not be the case.