It is only over the longer time scales (decades) that the additional predictability that comes from
external drivers of climate change (for instance, carbon dioxide, air pollution and ozone depletion) can start to be useful — but that's another post.
«Radiative forcing Radiative forcing is the change in the net, downward minus upward, radiative flux (expressed in W m — 2) at the tropopause or top of atmosphere due to a change in
an external driver of climate change, such as, for example, a change in the concentration of carbon dioxide or the output of the Sun.»
Radiative forcing - Radiative forcing is the change in the net, downward minus upward, irradiance (expressed in W m - 2) at the tropopause due to a change in
an external driver of climate change, such as, for example, a change in the concentration of carbon dioxide or the output of the Sun.
Not exact matches
The Raising Risk Awareness project seeks to assess the contribution
of anthropogenic
climate change and other
external drivers (e.g.» El Niño») to the occurrence
of extreme weather events in developing countries in East Africa and South East Asia, and identify how such information could help to bridge the science - communications policy gap, and enable these countries and communities to become more
climate resilient.
A major focus
of this work is to explore the propagation
of uncertainty from
external drivers to actual impacts
of climate change on time - scales
of up to 30 years.
«On forced temperature
changes, internal variability, and the AMO» «Tracking the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation through the last 8,000 years» «The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation as a dominant factor
of oceanic influence on
climate» «The role
of Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation in the global mean temperature variability» «The North Atlantic Oscillation as a
driver of rapid
climate change in the Northern Hemisphere» «The Atlanto - Pacific multidecade oscillation and its imprint on the global temperature record» «Imprints
of climate forcings in global gridded temperature data» «North Atlantic Multidecadal SST Oscillation:
External forcing versus internal variability» «Forced and internal twentieth - century SST trends in the North Atlantic» «Interactive comment on «Imprints
of climate forcings in global gridded temperature data» by J. Mikšovský et al.» «Atlantic and Pacific multidecadal oscillations and Northern Hemisphere temperatures»
Accurate assessment
of the influence
of external climate drivers requires explicit modelling
of impact risk, not simply weather risk, so the project team works with impact modellers across Africa to assess the implications
of our weather simulations for
changing impact risk.
That is before we accept that there are uncontrollable, and unmodel - able
external drivers to
climate, such as the cycle 23/24 deep solar minimum, orbital
changes, or catastrophic events like volcanos and meteorites that render these equations unsolvable to any reasonable degree
of approximation.
The Raising Risk Awareness project seeks to assess the contribution
of anthropogenic
climate change and other
external drivers (e.g.» El Niño») to the occurrence
of extreme weather events in developing countries in East Africa and South East Asia, and identify how such information could help to bridge the science - communications policy gap, and enable these countries and communities to become more
climate resilient.
In contrast,
climate projections done with
climate models are what - if statements about the statistical properties
of the system for a given configuration (which can be
changing in time)
of external climate drivers.