Sentences with phrase «extreme event in a time»

Extreme value theory (EVT) appears to require discarding all but the most extreme event in a time interval, say a year.

Not exact matches

This is the third and most extreme mass bleaching event in 18 years to strike the Great Barrier Reef, and in each case, the areas that suffered the worst bleaching were the areas where the water was hottest for the longest period of time, Hughes said.

The tsunami was at least three times the size of a 1946 tsunami that was the most destructive in Hawaii's recent history, according to the new study that examined deposits believed to have come from the extreme event and used models to show how it might have occurred.

This is the second time the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society has collected information on the previous year's weather extremes and tried to tease out the role of climate change in those events.

For the first time, investigators will be able to observe the extreme events that shape the planet in real time, remarks John Delaney, a physical oceanographer at the University of Washington.

«We believe this first study of rogue waves occurring over space and time during hurricanes will help improve real - time forecasting for shipping companies and other organizations that need to understand the risk of extreme events in the oceans.»

The indications of climate change are all around us today but now researchers have revealed for the first time when and where the first clear signs of global warming appeared in the temperature record and where those signals are likely to be clearly seen in extreme rainfall events in the near future.

Overall, the chances of seeing a rainfall event as intense as Harvey have roughly tripled - somewhere between 1.5 and five times more likely - since the 1900s and the intensity of such an event has increased between 8 percent and 19 percent, according to the new study by researchers with World Weather Attribution, an international coalition of scientists that objectively and quantitatively assesses the possible role of climate change in individual extreme weather events.

The late Proterozoic — the time period beginning less than a billion years ago following this remarkable chapter of sustained low levels of oxygen — was strikingly different, marked by extreme climatic events manifest in global - scale glaciation, indications of at least intervals of modern - like oxygen abundances, and the emergence and diversification of the earliest animals.

NCAR, which is financed in part by the National Science Foundation, has spent several years searching for ways to extend the predicability of floods, droughts, heat waves and other extreme weather events from weeks to months as a way to give weather - sensitive sectors such as agriculture more time to protect themselves against costly losses.

Carolyn Gramling writes about studies that, for the first time, blame specific extreme weather events on human - caused climate change — certain to be a hot topic in 2018.

Professor Baldwin added: «Natural large pressure fluctuations in the polar stratosphere tend to last a long time — at least a month, and we see this reflected as surface pressure changes that look very much like the North Atlantic Oscillation — which has significant effects on weather and extreme events across Europe.»

To attribute any specific extreme weather event — such as the downpours that caused flooding in Pakistan or Australia, for example — requires running such computer models thousands of times to detect any possible human impact amidst all the natural influences on a given day's weather.

He will focus on weather events that — at the time they occur — are more extreme than any other event in the historical record.

Just days later, a real - time analysis by scientists working with Climate Central's World Weather Attribution program has found that global warming has boosted the odds of such an extreme rainfall event in the region by about 40 percent — a small, but clear, effect, the scientists say.

This is the first time this type of analysis is being piloted specifically to inform developing country efforts in the aftermath of an extreme weather event.

A new analysis published in the journal Environmental Research Letters establishes that seasonal forecast sea surface temperature (SSTs) can be used to perform probabilistic extreme - event attribution, thereby accelerating the time it takes climate scientists to understand and quantify the role of global warming in certain classes of extreme weather events.

Wehner pointed out that while humans can (and do) perform well in identifying and tracking extreme weather events in real time, they simply can not keep up when climate models run two to five orders of magnitude faster.

However, when a pattern of extreme weather persists for some time, it may be classed as an extreme climate event, perhaps associated with anomalies in SSTs (such as El Niño).

The following are common characteristics of gifted children, although not all will necessarily apply to every gifted child: • Has an extensive and detailed memory, particularly in a specific area of interest • Has advanced vocabulary for his or her age; uses precocious language • Has communication skills advanced for his or her age and is able to express ideas and feelings • Asks intelligent and complex questions • Is able to identify the important characteristics of new concepts and problems • Learns information quickly • Uses logic in arriving at common sense answers • Has a broad base of knowledge; a large quantity of information • Understands abstract ideas and complex concepts • Uses analogical thinking, problem solving, or reasoning • Observes relationships and sees connections • Finds and solves difficult and unusual problems • Understands principles, forms generalizations, and uses them in new situations • Wants to learn and is curious • Works conscientiously and has a high degree of concentration in areas of interest • Understands and uses various symbol systems • Is reflective about learning • Is enraptured by a specific subject • Has reading comprehension skills advanced for his or her age • Has advanced writing abilities for his or her age • Has strong artistic or musical abilities • Concentrates intensely for long periods of time, particularly in a specific area of interest • Is more aware, stimulated, and affected by surroundings • Experiences extreme positive or negative feelings • Experiences a strong physical reaction to emotion • Has a strong affective memory, re-living or re-feeling things long after the triggering event

Ability to Trade Real Time — In contrast to the notion above of buying and holding, in the event of personal need or an extreme market situation, an ETF can be bought or sold instantaneously just like a stock, whereas a mutual fund is often not executed for the next day or two based on the price at close of tradinIn contrast to the notion above of buying and holding, in the event of personal need or an extreme market situation, an ETF can be bought or sold instantaneously just like a stock, whereas a mutual fund is often not executed for the next day or two based on the price at close of tradinin the event of personal need or an extreme market situation, an ETF can be bought or sold instantaneously just like a stock, whereas a mutual fund is often not executed for the next day or two based on the price at close of trading.

-- Complete a lap in an online race 15 G Time Attack Master — Complete 10 laps in time attack mode 15 G Drift Master — Reach level 50 in drift mode 20 G Combo Master — Achieve 50 combos in drift mode 20 G Endurance — Drive for two hours in a session 35 G Real Fan — Drive your first lap at the Nordschleife 15 G Tamed Hell — Complete a lap at the Norschleife under 7:30 40 G Novice Series — Complete one Novice series 15 G Intermediate Series — Complete one Intermediate series 15 G Trofeo Series — Complete one Trofeo series 15 G Trofeo Advanced Series — Complete one Trofeo Advanced series 15 G GT Series — Complete one GT series 15 G GT Extreme Series — Complete one GT Extreme series 15 G Formula — Complete the Formula series 15 G Hypercars — Complete the Hypercars series 15 G Novice Driver — Complete all the Novice series 35 G Intermediate Driver — Complete all the Intermediate series 35 G Trofeo Driver — Complete all the Trofeo series 35 G Trofeo Advanced Driver — Complete all the Trofeo Advanced series 35 G GT Driver — Complete all the GT series 35 G GT EXTREME — Complete all the GT Extreme series 35 G Pro Driver — Complete all the series with gold medals 60 G Drifter — Achieve a silver medal on all the drift events 15 G FTime Attack Master — Complete 10 laps in time attack mode 15 G Drift Master — Reach level 50 in drift mode 20 G Combo Master — Achieve 50 combos in drift mode 20 G Endurance — Drive for two hours in a session 35 G Real Fan — Drive your first lap at the Nordschleife 15 G Tamed Hell — Complete a lap at the Norschleife under 7:30 40 G Novice Series — Complete one Novice series 15 G Intermediate Series — Complete one Intermediate series 15 G Trofeo Series — Complete one Trofeo series 15 G Trofeo Advanced Series — Complete one Trofeo Advanced series 15 G GT Series — Complete one GT series 15 G GT Extreme Series — Complete one GT Extreme series 15 G Formula — Complete the Formula series 15 G Hypercars — Complete the Hypercars series 15 G Novice Driver — Complete all the Novice series 35 G Intermediate Driver — Complete all the Intermediate series 35 G Trofeo Driver — Complete all the Trofeo series 35 G Trofeo Advanced Driver — Complete all the Trofeo Advanced series 35 G GT Driver — Complete all the GT series 35 G GT EXTREME — Complete all the GT Extreme series 35 G Pro Driver — Complete all the series with gold medals 60 G Drifter — Achieve a silver medal on all the drift events 15 G Ftime attack mode 15 G Drift Master — Reach level 50 in drift mode 20 G Combo Master — Achieve 50 combos in drift mode 20 G Endurance — Drive for two hours in a session 35 G Real Fan — Drive your first lap at the Nordschleife 15 G Tamed Hell — Complete a lap at the Norschleife under 7:30 40 G Novice Series — Complete one Novice series 15 G Intermediate Series — Complete one Intermediate series 15 G Trofeo Series — Complete one Trofeo series 15 G Trofeo Advanced Series — Complete one Trofeo Advanced series 15 G GT Series — Complete one GT series 15 G GT Extreme Series — Complete one GT Extreme series 15 G Formula — Complete the Formula series 15 G Hypercars — Complete the Hypercars series 15 G Novice Driver — Complete all the Novice series 35 G Intermediate Driver — Complete all the Intermediate series 35 G Trofeo Driver — Complete all the Trofeo series 35 G Trofeo Advanced Driver — Complete all the Trofeo Advanced series 35 G GT Driver — Complete all the GT series 35 G GT EXTREME — Complete all the GT Extreme series 35 G Pro Driver — Complete all the series with gold medals 60 G Drifter — Achieve a silver medal on all the drift events 15 G Fast!

«the [Marfa Myths] festival is perhaps the most extreme example in a recent trend toward intimate, meticulously curated music events» — NY Times

The films coincide, at the mid-point in terms of time, with the tragic murder scene, and the visual doubling this produces lends an extremely monumental quality; the extreme deceleration of events and the lack of an acoustic give the individual image a directness that has a dramatic effect on our perceptions.

Regardless, I would posit the worsening winter ice formation is as expected given the poles suffer first and winters warm faster than summers, BUT that this is happening within two years of the EN peak, which was my time line in 2015, one wonders if the combination of warm EN - heated Pacific waters (oceans move slowly) and warm air are a trailing edge of the EN effect OR this is signallibg a phase change driven by that EN, or is just an extreme winter event.

Gavin, am interested in your earlier reported brief comment in the context of the Pakistan floods (perhaps here on Real Climate) that a different way of looking at extreme events is asking the question thus: what is the likelihood of such events occurring had atmospheric CO2 levels remained what they were at the time of the Industrial Revolution (276 ppm) rather than what they are now (390 ppm).

A story in The Times of London examines new expressions of concern by scientists about the perils of overstating the links between extreme events and climate change.

Our Tietsche, et al., 2011 paper basically shows that both extent and volume can recover on similar time scales after extreme loss events, in particular for the thin ice that we have around nowadays.

In Australia, the extreme events are bushfires, which come from extreme heat and wind at the same time, and are probably more linked to temperature than cyclones.

The recent «Time» article (13 April 2006), after giving a list of recent extreme events (Cyclone Larry, forest fires in Indonesia, Hurricane Katrina, etc) presented as being caused by climate change, then states «the serious debate has quietly ended».

On rare occasions their timing is such as to result in an interaction which can lead to an extreme event along the eastern seaboard.

It appears that skewness, and several formulas seem applicable, provides a testable procedure to compare extreme weather events over time, for example, some recent work on summertime temperatures by Volodin and Yurova in 2013: http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-012-1447-4.

It is impossible to know whether extreme weather events (drought, floods, hurricanes) are more or less prevalent in previous times of higher CO2 and temperatures.

In a poll released last November by the Public Religion Research Institute, fewer than half of them were willing to link extreme weather events to climate change, whereas more than three - quarters thought these events were signs of the «end times» predicted in the BiblIn a poll released last November by the Public Religion Research Institute, fewer than half of them were willing to link extreme weather events to climate change, whereas more than three - quarters thought these events were signs of the «end times» predicted in the Biblin the Bible.

Times of India: World climate change negotiators faced warnings on Thursday that a string of extreme weather events around the globe show urgent action on emission cuts is needed as they opened new talks in Bangkok.

Another analysis by the National Centers for Environmental Information found 2017 marked the first time there were five separate billion - dollar extreme weather events during the first three months of a year, including a crop - killing freeze in the Southeast.

The increase in trapped heat changes the climate and alters weather patterns, which may change the timing of seasonal natural events, and the frequency of extreme weather events.

Whilst EURO4M provides time series showing the changes in climate over time, the project also enables to report in near - real - time during emerging extreme events.

Tom, have a look at historical patterns, there are no more extreme events now than there were at times in the past.

The period from around the latter part of the 12th century through the 13th century and into the first third of the 14th century, a period of time that is now becoming accepted as somewhere around the beginning of the LIA, there are a large number of writings in Britain and from the Continent from this period that point to a large increase in severe and extreme weather events.

For the majority of these metrics and during the current decade, the combined effect of anthropogenic and natural forcing is estimated to have made extreme fire risk events in the region 1.5 to 6 times as likely compared to a climate that would have been with natural forcings alone.

Last week, in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences we published a method for analysing record - breaking extreme events in climate time series, with applications to the global annual - mean temperature and to July temperatures in Moscow.

For the first time, the report includes a discussion of climate - related «surprises,» or unanticipated changes, in which tipping points in the Earth's systems are crossed or climate - related extreme events happen at the same time, creating «compound extreme events,» multiplying the potential damage and destruction.

In particular, in the European Mediterranean region, increases in the frequency of extreme climate events during specific crop development stages (e.g., heat stress during flowering period, rainy days during sowing time), together with higher rainfall intensity and longer dry spells, are likely to reduce the yield of summer crops (e.g., sunflowerIn particular, in the European Mediterranean region, increases in the frequency of extreme climate events during specific crop development stages (e.g., heat stress during flowering period, rainy days during sowing time), together with higher rainfall intensity and longer dry spells, are likely to reduce the yield of summer crops (e.g., sunflowerin the European Mediterranean region, increases in the frequency of extreme climate events during specific crop development stages (e.g., heat stress during flowering period, rainy days during sowing time), together with higher rainfall intensity and longer dry spells, are likely to reduce the yield of summer crops (e.g., sunflowerin the frequency of extreme climate events during specific crop development stages (e.g., heat stress during flowering period, rainy days during sowing time), together with higher rainfall intensity and longer dry spells, are likely to reduce the yield of summer crops (e.g., sunflower).

In particular, my foci include modeling trends in the timing of transition seasons, such as spring, and evaluating the influences of Arctic amplification and sea ice variability on midlatitude extreme weather eventIn particular, my foci include modeling trends in the timing of transition seasons, such as spring, and evaluating the influences of Arctic amplification and sea ice variability on midlatitude extreme weather eventin the timing of transition seasons, such as spring, and evaluating the influences of Arctic amplification and sea ice variability on midlatitude extreme weather events.

This is the first time this type of analysis is being piloted specifically to inform developing country efforts in the aftermath of an extreme weather event.

With a robust evidence base and the right protocols in place it is now possible to run near real - time extreme weather event attribution within days of an event striking.

More extreme precipitation events (with 3 - hour duration) so intense than in the past they would be exceeded on average only once every 10 years are projected to occur on average three times as often in future in Metro Vancouver and about three and a half times as often in future in CRD.

At these times we have extreme ENSO events — ENSO dragon - kings in 1976/77 and 1998/2001 — after which climate settles into a new trajectory.

The effect was to chill the northern regions considerably; in fact, the event was discovered only because seeds of some Canadian flowers that favor extreme cold were found in abundance in the Antarctic ice formed at the time.