Precipitation analysis further suggests that greater than 50 % of the precipitation may be associated with
extreme events in the future.
Extreme events, even 30 - year events, challenge weak links, and more
extreme events in a future climate challenge these more.
Ignore the global warming spin and any suggestion that we can expect
extreme events in the future.
I instead like to focus on mitigation strategies now that would hopefully reduce the probability of
extreme events in the future.
Not exact matches
«
In order to understand coastal impacts under current and
future climate and socio - economic conditions, we do not only need robust projections of mean sea level rise but also a profound knowledge of present - day and
future extreme sea levels, because these
events drive the impacts,» Wahl said.
Improving projections for how much ocean levels may change
in the
future and what that means for coastal communities has vexed researchers studying sea level rise for years, but a new international study that incorporates
extreme events may have just given researchers and coastal planners what they need.
The study was conducted to make data about
extreme events a part of the ongoing research and planning required to help communities prepare now for conditions that may be dramatically different
in the not - too - distant
future.
«Storm surges globally lead to considerable loss of life and billions of dollars of damages each year, and yet we still have a limited understanding of the likelihood and associated uncertainties of these
extreme events both today and
in the
future,» said Thomas Wahl, an assistant engineering professor
in the University of Central Florida who led the study.
For instance, though about 30 percent of farmers surveyed agreed that
extreme weather
events will become more frequent
in the
future, 52 percent agreed that farmers should take additional steps to protect their land from increased precipitation.
«Our study explains why cities suffer even more during
extreme heat
events and highlights the heat risks that urban residents face now and
in the projected
future.»
The indications of climate change are all around us today but now researchers have revealed for the first time when and where the first clear signs of global warming appeared
in the temperature record and where those signals are likely to be clearly seen
in extreme rainfall
events in the near
future.
Attribution studies are meant to help policymakers understand whether an
extreme weather
event is likely to repeat
in the
future.
«
In the
future, new, giant radio telescopes like FAST (Five hundred meter Aperture Spherical Telescope) and SKA (Square Kilometre Array) will allow us to make even more detailed observations of these
extreme and exciting
events,» concludes Jun Yang.
«We may observe more black swan
events in animal populations
in the
future because of these climate
extremes,» he says.
However,
in the end it may be beneficial for the trees by reducing the risk of late spring frost damage, since
extreme climatic
events are projected to increase
in future.
Running
future simulations
in climate models with present - day emissions, Cai and his colleagues find 73 per cent increase
in extreme La Niña
events in the twenty - first century when compared to the twentieth.
In a separate paper last year, Cai found that extreme El Niño events are also expected to occur more often in the futur
In a separate paper last year, Cai found that
extreme El Niño
events are also expected to occur more often
in the futur
in the
future.
The study shows that three - quarters of
extreme La Niña
events in the
future will happen
in quick succession after an
extreme El Niño
event.
Daniel Swain and colleagues model how the frequency of these rapid, year - to - year transitions from
extreme dry to wet conditions — which they dub «precipitation whiplash
events» — may change
in California's
future as a consequence of man - made warming.
Our scientific understanding of disturbance associated with
extreme weather
events limits our ability to project landslides, blow downs, ice storms, and other such
events in the
future.
The analysis also helps decision makers prepare resources needed for population movement
in response to
future extreme weather
events, particularly
in the Gulf Coast region.
Climate model projections show a warmer Montana
in the
future, with mixed changes
in precipitation, more
extreme events, and mixed certainty on upcoming drought.
Prior to joining ECI, she completed her Ph.D. at Oregon State University, where she worked on the weather@home project over western US region, looking at drivers of
extreme drought
events in the US,
future regional climate change projections over the western US, as well as investigating uncertainties due to internal variability and physical parameter perturbations.
But we do know, says Levermann, that
extreme rainfall
events will increase
in the
future, and every projection shows much great land flooding
in some regions.
The first is understanding
extreme events and the risks associated with
extreme weather and climate
events —
in the current climate, but also
in a
future climate.
This entertainment
event, set
in a
future of advanced technology where man and machine meet on a vast salt plain to turn deadly battle into
extreme sport, resides only
in the ever - growing world of PlayStation Home.
«My personal informal estimate is that
extreme weather
events over the last decade which at least are more probable under
future regimes have cost
in excess of 100,000 lives and $ 100 billion US»
They can signal coming
extreme events (somewhere), indicate where the average is actually «heading»
in near
future, and signals system step changes aka tipping points dead ahead.
However, the continuous change
in the probability distribution of these various phenomena, as greenhouse forcing proceeds full speed ahead, indicates that such
extreme events may be samples from the projected
future distributions.
New website provides one - stop shop for flood maps, data on sea level and temperature changes, and other information to aid
in planning for
future extreme weather
events
More
extreme rainfall
events are also expected
in the
future.
These types of
extreme events are projected to increase
in the
future, putting at risk Oregonians» access to safe and adequate water supplies, hydropower, and transportation.
«The topic is extremely timely as current and
future climate change would mean more changes
in extreme events such as droughts and floods,» Yang said.
I also think that some sceptics have too readily seized on this as evidence of
future cooling
in the same way that the strong advocated of cAGW seize on any and all
extreme weather
events as evidence of «climate change».
«The action we take now
in terms of getting emissions down... will have a big effect on what these
extreme events will look like
in the
future,» Professor Steffen said
in Sydney.
(VIDEO) Visualizing data makes it easier to understand exactly how an
extreme weather
event affected people's lives, livelihoods, and property and how those things could be affected
in the
future.
«These very strange
extreme weather
events are going to continue
in their frequency and their severity... It's not that climate change is going to be here
in the
future, we are experiencing climate change.»
There are multiple studies associating
extreme precipitation
events with waterborne disease outbreaks and strong climatological evidence for increasing frequency and intensity of
extreme precipitation
events in the
future.
In summary, there is little new about climate science in the report, and nothing at all new about attribution of past warming and extreme weather events to human activity, projections of future warming and its effects, or potential for catastrophic change
In summary, there is little new about climate science
in the report, and nothing at all new about attribution of past warming and extreme weather events to human activity, projections of future warming and its effects, or potential for catastrophic change
in the report, and nothing at all new about attribution of past warming and
extreme weather
events to human activity, projections of
future warming and its effects, or potential for catastrophic changes.
There is a pressing need to educate
future researchers
in the techniques given the prominence and importance of societal and scientific questions about
extreme events that are receiving increasingly intense attention
in the minds of the public and their policy makers.
A recent analysis [1] by Dr Luke Harrington and Dr Friederike Otto of climateprediction.net introduces a new framework, adapted from studies of probabilistic
event attribution, to disentangle the relative importance of regional climate emergence and changing population dynamics
in the exposure to
future heat
extremes across multiple densely populated regions
in Southern Asia and Eastern Africa (SAEA).
Likewise, Tom alludes to «
extreme climate - related
events going on around the world right now», and the possibility of «more
extreme» climate
in the
future.
One possible assumption is that the relationship between natural variability and
extreme events could be different
in the
future.
Output from global circulation models indicates that climate variability will continue to be an important characteristic of the region
in the
future [52], but that climate change may increase the risk of
extreme climatic
events such as multi-decade droughts and
extreme winter precipitation [53], [54].
Understanding the role of human emissions
in the occurrence of such
extreme fire
events can lend insight into how these
events might change
in the
future.
Research has shown that
extreme weather
events, such as droughts, will become more frequent
in the
future due to climate change, although it was found to have «not [been] a major influence» on a severe drought
in southeastern Brazil
in 2014 - 15.
My aching sides — Ed] think - tank the Climate Institute found
extreme weather
events, caused by climate change, will lead to food price rises
in the
future.
Hanley does a fantastic job of distinguishing between weather and climate, and stressing that we can't yet attribute
extreme events to specific causes while acknowledging that this summer's wild weather fits with IPCC predictions and will become a lot more common
in the
future.
As hard as it might be to suss out the impact of
extreme weather
in 2017, yet harder is sussing out the impact of the changing climate, now and
in the
future — due to the difficulty of tying individual weather
events to epochal changes like global warming, the inability of headline economic figures to capture the messy fullness of human life, and the inadequacy of the available data to measure changes
in the natural and the economic world.
More
extreme precipitation
events (with 3 - hour duration) so intense than
in the past they would be exceeded on average only once every 10 years are projected to occur on average three times as often
in future in Metro Vancouver and about three and a half times as often
in future in CRD.