Sentences with phrase «extreme events prediction»
«Stretching time to improve extreme event prediction.»
https://www.sciencedaily.com/ Not exact matches
«Current long term predictions indicate that these extreme weather variations will continue and situations such as the current flood events, and disruption caused, underline how adequate maintenance and funding of the network must be a fundamental part of UK transport policy.
Interspersing sea level rise with the latest predictions of extreme sea level events, the research team was able to illustrate the dramatic effect one has on the other and pinpoint regions of the world that are especially threatened.
One group will use the data to improve a climate prediction model by incorporating extreme ice events.
The IPCC report does suggest that extreme weather events should be expected as the world warms but the prediction is couched in cautious terms and the risk is assessed as «medium» confidence.
When compared to standard weather prediction modeling, Roebber's evolutionary methodology performs particularly well on longer - range forecasts and extreme events, when an accurate forecast is needed the most.
Number one: climate - related extreme weather events have become far more serious and frequent, validating the predictions of the scientific community.
For Tacoli (2009) the current alarmist predictions of massive flows of so - called «environmental refugees» or «environmental migrants», are not supported by past experiences of responses to droughts and extreme weather events and predictions for future migration flows are tentative at best.
A Global Climate Model (GCM) can provide reliable prediction information on scales of around 1000 by 1000 km covering what could be a vastly differing landscape (from very mountainous to flat coastal plains for example) with greatly varying potential for floods, droughts or other extreme events.
Also See: Watch Now: Climate Depot's Morano on Fox News Mocking «Climate Astrology»: «This is now akin to the predictions of Nostradamus or the Mayan calendar» — Morano: «There is no way anyone can falsify the global warming theory now because any weather event that happens «proves» their case... Man - made global warming has ceased to be a science, it is now the level of your daily horoscope» — Gore [in 2006 film] did not warn us of extreme blizzards and record cold winters coming»
«The CCR - II report correctly explains that most of the reports on global warming and its impacts on sea - level rise, ice melts, glacial retreats, impact on crop production, extreme weather events, rainfall changes, etc. have not properly considered factors such as physical impacts of human activities, natural variability in climate, lopsided models used in the prediction of production estimates, etc..
Hanley does a fantastic job of distinguishing between weather and climate, and stressing that we can't yet attribute extreme events to specific causes while acknowledging that this summer's wild weather fits with IPCC predictions and will become a lot more common in the future.
This special issue of Weather and Climate Extremes (WACE) includes a series of articles initiated during the 2014 WCRP summer school on the «Attribution and Prediction of Extreme Events».
This report discusses our current understanding of the mechanisms that link declines in Arctic sea ice cover, loss of high - latitude snow cover, changes in Arctic - region energy fluxes, atmospheric circulation patterns, and the occurrence of extreme weather events; possible implications of more severe loss of summer Arctic sea ice upon weather patterns at lower latitudes; major gaps in our understanding, and observational and / or modeling efforts that are needed to fill those gaps; and current opportunities and limitations for using Arctic sea ice predictions to assess the risk of temperature / precipitation anomalies and extreme weather events over northern continents.
Climate science's predictions thus far for extreme weather events have been so poor.
Climate Depot's Morano on Fox News Mocking Gore's «Climate Astrology»: «This is now akin to the predictions of Nostradamus or the Mayan calendar» — Morano: «There is no way anyone can falsify the global warming theory now because any weather event that happens «proves» their case... Man - made global warming has ceased to be a science, it is now the level of your daily horoscope» — Gore [in 2006 film] did not warn us of extreme blizzards and record cold winters coming»
News headlines vie for attention and it is easy for scientists to grab this attention by linking climate change to the latest extreme weather event or apocalyptic prediction.
He also said that in the financial market that extreme events were not normally distributed and that looking at their probabiilities as if they were lead to poor predictions.
I agree that global warming itself shouldn't be regarded as a black swan, although if some of the more alarming sensitivity predictions were to be true with accompanying extreme weather events, then it might arguably be a black swan.
Correctly accounting for uncertainty, and accepting the possibility of extreme weather events that may be counterintuitive to current climate predictions, could reduce future vulnerability to unexpected weather disasters.»
With predictions of climate change suggesting an increase in extreme weather events, a rise in deaths by sudden events like thunderstorms and lightning and crop losses of up to 25 %... Read more
You say that there have been climate extremes and tragedies in recent years (as in all years), then you say that they can not individually be attributed to human activity (burden of proof off), then you say that there is a prediction that such events, with greater frequency and magnitude, will be due to human activity (the prediction exists, and you are only claiming the existence of a prediction).
Our computer models simulate the climate for the next century, producing predictions of temperature, rainfall and the probability of extreme weather events.