Also, we use several
extreme forcing scenarios.
Not exact matches
To consider an even more
extreme scenario, what if BP stopped (or was
forced to stop) doing business in the U.S.?
The most
extreme scenario postulated in TAR (A1F1) already has a big reduction in sulphate aerosol
forcing, and so the temperature changes by 2100 are almost purely a function of the GHG
forcing.
He was
forced to correct that statement after it was pointed out that LAX is at least 108 feet above sea level, and therefore safe from rising seas even under the most
extreme scenario.
Using all 19 models, the average state in the last decade of the twenty - first century is projected under the SRES A1B
forcing scenario to be conditions currently considered severe drought (PDSI < — 3) over much of the continental United States and
extreme drought (PDSI < — 4) over much of Mexico.
9.3.1 Global Mean Response 9.3.1.1 1 % / yr CO2 increase (CMIP2) experiments 9.3.1.2 Projections of future climate from
forcing scenario experiments (IS92a) 9.3.1.3 Marker
scenario experiments (SRES) 9.3.2 Patterns of Future Climate Change 9.3.2.1 Summary 9.3.3 Range of Temperature Response to SRES Emission
Scenarios 9.3.3.1 Implications for temperature of stabilisation of greenhouse gases 9.3.4 Factors that Contribute to the Response 9.3.4.1 Climate sensitivity 9.3.4.2 The role of climate sensitivity and ocean heat uptake 9.3.4.3 Thermohaline circulation changes 9.3.4.4 Time - scales of response 9.3.5 Changes in Variability 9.3.5.1 Intra-seasonal variability 9.3.5.2 Interannual variability 9.3.5.3 Decadal and longer time - scale variability 9.3.5.4 Summary 9.3.6 Changes of Extreme Events 9.3.6.1 Temperature 9.3.6.2 Precipitation and convection 9.3.6.3 Extra-tropical storms 9.3.6.4 Tropical cyclones 9.3.6.5 Commentary on changes in
extremes of weather and climate 9.3.6.6 Conclusions
Chapter 12: Long - term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility Executive Summary •
Scenario description • Projections for the 21st century • Projections beyond the 21st century • Regional climate change, variability and
extremes •
Forcing, response and climate sensitivity • Climate change commitment and inertia • Potential for abrupt change and irreversibility in the climate system • Quantification of the range of climate change projections
(trouble is 35 is for carbon dioxide concentration, and 65 is for
forcing, so if that's the calculation it was indeed a typo in a spreadsheet) Actually CO2 as a percentage of all radiative
forcing would be: 43/65 * 100 = 66 % You messed up the link (I think) so that it actually leads back to this page rather than the FAQ section http://illconsidered.blogspot.com/2006/02/whats-wrong-with-warm-weather.html Never mind, as you know, I don't think the costs imposed by that change are large, not as long as sea level rise is only 50 cm over a hundred years (and the midpoint for the
scenarios I consider most policy relevant, ie those excluding lots of coal burning after 2050, is somewhat lower still) and the change in «weather
extremes» largely amounts to nothing more than what would be expected from moving south a few hundred kilometres.
The
forces present in typical car accident
scenarios are
extreme.
However, the situation is far more problematic in
scenarios where the balance of the life insurance policy loan is approaching the cash value, or in the
extreme actually equals the total cash value of the policy — the point at which the life insurance company will
force the policy to lapse (so the insurance company can ensure full repayment before the loan collateral goes «underwater»).
Russia's Ministry of Foreign Affairs sharply criticized the NPR (see here in Russian), in particular, for lowering the threshold of the use of nuclear weapons and allowing the use of nuclear weapons in «
extreme circumstances», which are not limited to military
scenarios and with military
scenarios covering almost any use of military
force.