Not exact matches
This implies that risks are not too big or overarching (like resource scarcity, rising levels of atmospheric CO2, or global
warming) but are more focused e.g.
extreme weather, increased
greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture or from energy use, or a lack of fresh water.
This means that the science of climate change may partially undergo a shift of its own, moving from trying to prove it is a problem (it is now «very likely» that
greenhouse gases in the atmosphere have already caused enough
warming to trigger stronger droughts, heat waves, more and bigger forest fires and more
extreme storms and flooding) to figuring out ways to fix it.
They said that two
extreme climate periods — the Medieval
Warming Period between 800 and 1300 and the Little Ice Age of 1300 to 1900 — occurred worldwide, at a time before industrial emissions of
greenhouse gases became abundant.
As average U.S. temperatures
warm between 3 °F and more than 9 °F by the end of the century, depending on how
greenhouse gas emissions are curtailed or not in the coming years, the waves of
extreme heat the country is likely to experience could bend and buckle rails into what experts call «sun kinks.»
The end of the year also saw international negotiators agree to a plan to limit
greenhouse gas emissions to keep that temperature from rising beyond 2 °C (3.6 °F) above pre-industrial levels to limit the adverse impacts of
warming, such as melting glaciers, rising sea levels and potentially more
extreme weather.
Vavrus, S., J.E. Walsh, W.L. Chapman, and D. Portis, 2006: The behavior of
extreme cold air outbreaks under
greenhouse warming.
Tagsheat waves, heat,
Extreme Heat,
extreme weather, Weather, temperature,
Warming Temperatures, Warming World, climate change, climate, global warming, greenhouse gases, United States, greenhouse gas emissions, em
Warming Temperatures,
Warming World, climate change, climate, global warming, greenhouse gases, United States, greenhouse gas emissions, em
Warming World, climate change, climate, global
warming, greenhouse gases, United States, greenhouse gas emissions, em
warming,
greenhouse gases, United States,
greenhouse gas emissions, emissions
Although the Cretaceous, 145 to 66 million years ago, was a period known for its
extreme greenhouse climate, a new study shows that this ancient
warming was interrupted with a significant cold snap.
Human activities are releasing
greenhouse gases more than 30 times faster than the rate of emissions that triggered a period of
extreme global
warming in the Earth's past, according to an expert on ancient climates.
Runaway
greenhouse warming can occur for really
extreme conditions (Venus at present, Earth in maybe 5 billion years time when the sun becomes a red giant), but is not a possibility for the next hundred years.
A lot of reseach energy is being devoted to the study of Methane Clathrates — a huge source of
greenhouse gases which could be released from the ocean if the thermocline (the buoyant stable layer of
warm water which overlies the near - freezing deep ocean) dropped in depth considerably (due to GHG
warming), or especially if the deep ocean waters were
warmed by very, very
extreme changes from the current climate, such that deep water temperatures no longer hovered within 4C of freezing, but
warmed to something like 18C.
While it is «likely» that anthropogenic influences are behind the changes in cold days and
warm days, there is only «medium confidence» that they are behind changes in
extreme rainfall events, and «low confidence» in attributing any changes in tropical cyclone activity to
greenhouse gas emissions or anything else humanity has done.
Whereas this phenomena has been principally related to a natural
extreme event, its impacts may very well forebode the impact that a projected
warming of surface temperatures could have by the end of the 21st Century due to
greenhouse gas increases.
But in 2009, as I reported more and more on the inherent threat of climate
extremes in some of the world's poorest places (sub-Saharan Africa, particularly) I became concerned that the uncertain impact of
greenhouse - driven
warming paled beside other drivers of risk (persistent poverty, doubling populations, and the existing pattern of super-drought).
The journal Nature has published a helpful update on scientists» efforts to narrow one of the biggest gaps in climate science — the inability to reliably gauge the role of
greenhouse - driven
warming in determining the intensity of the kinds of
extreme climate events that matter most to societies — from hurricanes to heat waves.
There is nothing «natural» about these
extremes of weather over the last 2 years, or about the unprecedented ozone hole in the Arctic last year (troposphere
warming from
greenhouse gases caused stratospheric cooling to below threshold temperature for polar stratospheric cloud generation and ozone destruction).
The first thorough federal review of research on how global
warming may affect
extreme climate events in North America forecasts more drenching rains, parching droughts (especially in the Southwest), intense heat waves and stronger hurricanes if long - lived
greenhouse gases continue building in the atmosphere.
Here's a description of the uncertainty from Richard Seager, a senior research scientist at the Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University long focused on
greenhouse warming and
extreme drought:
Here's a followup to my piece on how
greenhouse - driven
warming is loading the dice toward more hot weather
extremes.
While there's evidence that increasing
greenhouse heating of the planet is exacerbating hot spells and
extreme downpours, and may be related to hurricane intensity (but not frequency), a combination of imprecise records and deep complexity in the mix of forces that generate killer tornadoes has clouded any link to global
warming.
Pressing the frontiers of climate science and related research is vital, but it's wishful thinking to expect further science to substantially narrow uncertainties on time scales that matter when it comes to regional or short - term climate forecasting, the range of possible
warming from a big buildup of carbon dioxide, the impact of
greenhouse forcing on rare
extremes and the like.
[28] I fear the irrational policies of
extreme environmentalists far more that a
warmer climate on this relatively cold planet (14.5 C global average temperature today compared with 25C during the
Greenhouse Ages.
The
extremes of the 1930's and 1950's are not attributable to
greenhouse warming and are associated with natural climate variability (and in the case of the dustbowl drought and heat waves, also to land use practices).
He finds that, while both mean snowfall and
extreme snowfall decrease as the climate
warms due to the influence of
greenhouse gasses, the reduction in daily snowfall
extremes is smaller than the reduction in mean snowfall.
Over the last three decades, five IPCC «assessment reports,» dozens of computer models, scores of conferences and thousands of papers focused heavily on human fossil fuel use and carbon dioxide and
greenhouse gas emissions, as being responsible for «dangerous» global
warming, climate change, climate «disruption,» and almost every «
extreme» weather or climate event.
«New scientific evidence that the world's oceans...
warmed significantly... ocean energy is the primary cause of
extreme climate events... increasing the number of insurance - relevant hazards... a near irreversible shift... even if
greenhouse gas emissions stopped, ocean temperatures would keep rising.»
[18] The report determines that manmade
greenhouse gas emissions will accelerate sea - level rise, increase the intensity and frequency of
extreme weather, and
warm the planet at an unsustainable rate, adversely affecting everything from human and ecosystem health to transportation, forestry, and agriculture.
Could show, for example, that we're in for
extreme warming even with drastic reduction in the emission of
greenhouse gasses.
These results suggest that as the Arctic continues to
warm faster than elsewhere in response to rising
greenhouse - gas concentrations, the frequency of
extreme weather events caused by persistent jet - stream patterns will increase.
As reported by Chris Mooney at Mother Jones at the time (now a journalist at the Washington Post), the draft report warned unequivocally that unchecked
greenhouse gas emissions would cause the global
warming trend to «accelerate significantly,» bringing more heat waves and weather
extremes, severe storms, rising seas, devastating floods, prolonged droughts, and more.
To quantify the impact of changes in short - lived climate pollutants and regional climate forcings, in addition to the impact of
warming induced by
greenhouse gases, on weather
extremes in Africa.
Some of the meteorological threats, like
extreme downpours and heat waves, are sure to worsen in a human - heated climate, with
warming from elevated levels of heat - trapping carbon dioxide and other
greenhouse gases seen by many climate scientists as already contributing to the severity of rains like those over Texas in recent days and Louisiana last year.
The link between adverse impacts such as more wildfires, ecosystem changes,
extreme weather events etc. and their mitigation by reducing
greenhouse gas emissions hinges on detecting unusual events for at least the past century and then actually attributing them to human caused
warming.
the temperature amplified by global
warming and ubiquitous surface heating from elevated
greenhouse gas amounts,
extreme drought conditions can develop.
@jrincart who said «With the temperature amplified by global
warming and ubiquitous surface heating from elevated
greenhouse gas amounts,
extreme drought conditions can develop.
My answer to the narrowed question: • Identify adaptation policies that can be implemented to reduce impacts of
extreme weather events (which will happen with or without
greenhouse driven global
warming) • Research on nuclear energy to reduce the stigma of nuclear generation, e.g., fast reactors (Generation 4 reactors) or thorium fueled.
Basic physics, more simply stated the actual physical properties of how things work, indicates that an accumulation of heat - trapping
greenhouse gases is
warming the planet, resulting in an increase in energy and water vapor and particularly in an increase of
extremes.
If the negative effects of climate change, the rising air temperatures, the changing precipitation, the prevalence of
extreme weather events, and the rising sea levels, become too disruptive or costly, we have the option to deploy certain climate altering technologies to remove
greenhouse gases directly from the air or reflect sunlight back out of the atmosphere before it
warms the earth.
And researchers report in the journal Science Advances that unless there are serious reductions in global emissions of carbon dioxide and other
greenhouse gases that drive global
warming and could trigger catastrophic climate change, the most
extreme, once - in -25-years heat waves could increase wet bulb temperatures now at around 31 °C to 34.2 °C.
Changes in the heating and cooling degree days are another likely
extreme temperature - related effect of future
greenhouse warming.
We will be able to give probabilistic estimates of the climate's transient sensitivity to
greenhouse gas increases and will have an improved understanding of the response of sea ice, precipitation, and temperature
extremes to
warming.
By trapping the earth's heat in the atmosphere,
greenhouse gases lead to
warmer temperatures and all the hallmarks of climate change: rising sea levels, more
extreme weather, heat - related deaths, and increasing transmission of infectious diseases like Lyme.
By consulting climate records and modeling
extreme events with and without added
greenhouse gases, scientists can talk about how much global
warming has increased the chances of
extreme events — without blaming any one event on
warming.
Just two degrees of
warming will double the length of
extreme heatwaves and affect vulnerable regions in just a few decades,» Eyasu warned, urging climate negotiators in Bonn to speed up reductions of
greenhouse gas emissions and bolster efforts to aid less developed countries.
The report confirms that most of the observed increase in globally averaged temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely due to the observed increase in anthropogenic
greenhouse gas concentrations and that discernible human influences now extend to other aspects of climate, including ocean
warming, continental - average temperatures, temperature
extremes and wind patterns.
The
extreme weather risk to communities like Ellicott City will only increase as the Earth's atmosphere continues to
warm from rising
greenhouse gas emissions.
For even if the models are proven to be wrong with respect to their predictions of atmospheric
warming,
extreme weather, glacial melt, sea level rise, or any other attendant catastrophe, those who seek to regulate and reduce CO2 emissions have a fall - back position, claiming that no matter what happens to the climate, the nations of the Earth must reduce their
greenhouse gas emissions because of projected direct negative impacts on marine organisms via ocean acidification.
Recent high profile heat waves, such as the one in Texas and Oklahoma in the summer of 2011, raise the question of whether these
extreme events are related to the on - going global
warming trend, which has been attributed with a high degree of confidence to human - made
greenhouse gases (4).
But it is still unclear how much of this
warming and
extreme weather is attributable to our accelerated release of
greenhouse gases, and how much too natural causes.
The researchers cautioned that this
extreme event provides a glimpse into the region's future as
greenhouse gases continue to increase, and the signal of a
warming climate, even at this regional scale, begins to emerge more clearly from natural variability in coming decades.