For example, let's say that evidence convinced me (in a way that I wasn't convinced previously) that all recent changes in land surface temperatures and sea surface temperatures and atmospheric temperatures and deep sea temperatures and sea
ice extent and sea
ice volume and sea
ice density and moisture content in the air and cloud
coverage and rainfall and measures of
extreme weather were all directly tied to internal natural variability, and that I can now see that as the result of a statistical modeling of the trends as associated with natural phenomena.
Based on results of a simple model that keeps track of the age of
ice as it moves about on the Arctic Ocean, we argue that the areal
coverage of thick multi-year
ice decreased precipitously during 1989 - 1990 when the Arctic Oscillation was in an
extreme «high index» state, and has remained low since that time.