The financial crisis in 2008, alternate sources of energy, new discoveries especially in the US and the lifting of sanctions against Iran have all contributed to
the fall in crude prices.
Amid these indicators, traders are taking measures to protect themselves from a potential
fall in crude prices.
Not exact matches
Now, one trader is trying to capitalize on the recent strength with an options strategy that will pay more than $ 1 million, as long as
crude prices don't
fall dramatically
in the next few months.
Last year, funds that bet on an oil -
price recovery were hit as
crude in June
fell to $ 42.05, the low for the year.
Goldman Sachs is not ready to raise its $ 62 target on Brent and $ 57.50 forecast for U.S.
crude in 2018, but says there's a growing risk that global inventories will
fall too quickly and push up
prices.
The reason for this is that many countries
in Asia used the prior period of
falling crude prices to end, or dramatically scale back, their fuel subsidies.
Oil and gas stocks dropped on U.S.
crude stocks data which led to a
fall in oil
prices.
Oil
prices continued their months - long decline Monday, with the
price of
crude briefly
falling below $ 50 per barrel for the first time
in more than five years earlier
in the session on account of global oversupply.
First, I want to look at how the changes not just
in oil
prices, but also changes
in diluent costs, discounts for oil sands
crude relative to light
crude and,
in particular, the
fall of the Canadian dollar have changed the outlook for new oil sands projects — for those under construction, and for those currently operating.
Though
crude oil
fell initially,
prices were up by the time markets opened on Monday, suggesting that bin Laden — dead or alive — may not be a key factor
in determining oil
prices.
The energy sector
fell 1.1 percent on the back of a more than 1 percent drop
in crude oil
prices as the dollar remained near a four - month high.
SINGAPORE, May 3 (Reuters)- Oil
prices fell early on Thursday, pulled down by a rise
in U.S.
crude inventories and record weekly U.S. production, which is countering efforts by producer cartel OPEC to cut supplies and prop up
prices.
It bought a small refinery
in Great
Falls, Mont., to hedge against a huge spread between bitumen and synthetic
crude oil
prices.
The good news, according to gas
price analysts at Kent Marketing Services (formerly M. J. Ervin & Associates), is that significantly lower gas
prices of just above a dollar a litre are probably coming to Canada this
fall, based on what's already happened
in crude markets.
Transportation fuel costs have already
fallen sharply
in concert with the drop
in crude prices:
prices for jet fuel, for instance, which represents 26 percent of airlines» costs,
fell by 52 percent between August 2014 and mid-January 2015.
The
crudest version of this story says that Ottawa should increase spending as a direct response to the
fall in oil
prices and the resulting depreciation of the Canadian dollar.
Prices pared losses after the Energy Information Administration released data showing U.S.
crude inventories
fell by 4.6 million barrels
in the latest week.
Brent
crude, the benchmark for international oil
prices,
fell $ 1.44, or 3.1 percent, to $ 45.45 a barrel
in London.
Brent
crude, used to
price international oils,
fell 26 cents to $ 67.76 per barrel
in London.
Oil
prices fell over 5 percent
in early Asian trade and were still trading around $ 41.21 a barrel for benchmark Brent
crude and $ 38.47 for U.S. WTI (West Texas Intermediate)
in early European trade.
Oil
prices are
falling because
crude oil inventories were
in good shape heading into the hurricane and because
crude oil production will be less affected by the storm.
As shown
in the following chart, the
price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI)-- a benchmark for
crude oil —
fell early
in 2016, sparking a global loss aversion shift as investors began looking for a potentially higher - yielding investment opportunity.
Angola's
crude exports
fall to lowest since at least 2008 OPEC disruptions could send
prices above $ 80 a barrel: BofAML While plunging output
in Venezuela captures the oil world's attention, Continue Reading
For Angola, Africa's second - largest oil producer, the
fall in the
price of
crude oil has brought changes to its fundamentals, prompting the government, investors and analysts to review their positions on the economy.
Although there has also been a very slight
fall in US
crude oil production since the start of the year -LRB--1.6 %), with more Iranian and Iraq
crude coming online and the demand fundamentals not improving, a significant
price rise by the end of the year is unlikely.
Singapore: Oil
prices fell early on Thursday, pulled down by a rise
in US
crude inventories and record weekly US production, which is countering efforts by producer cartel OPEC to cut supplies and prop up
prices.
Shares
in energy companies
fell as the
price of U.S.
crude oil declined.
Brent
crude, used to
price international oils,
fell $ 1.25, or 2.6 percent, to $ 47.16 a barrel
in London.
Revenue
fell 1.3 percent to $ 31.68 billion, weighed by a 16 percent slump
in its segment supplying equipment and services to oil and gas customers, which has been hurt by weak
crude prices.
Venezuela is mired
in a deep economic crisis triggered mainly by a
fall in crude oil
prices and a drop
in oil production.
In a world of
falling prices, however, it will be high cost production from shale formations and the oil sands, not the low cost conventional
crude from places such as Saudi Arabia and Iran that will be hit the hardest.
The
fall in crude oil
prices in the March quarter played an important role
in this outcome.
The exchange rate appreciation also helped to offset an increase
in international
crude oil
prices, so that
in the December quarter retail fuel
prices fell by around 0.9 per cent.
The pick - up
in oil
prices has been especially noteworthy, with the
price of West Texas Intermediate
crude oil rising to a new daily record of over US$ 57 per barrel
in April, before
falling back to around US$ 50 per barrel
in early May (Graph 1).
ENERGY: Benchmark U.S.
crude oil futures added 28 cents to $ 45.11
in electronic trading
in the New York Mercantile Exchange while Brent
crude, the benchmark for international oil
prices,
fell 6 cents to $ 47.20 a barrel
in London.
The warnings come not from the heavily traded futures market, but from less transparent trading activity
in crude oil and products markets, where key U.S., European and Russian
crude prices have
fallen of late, suggesting less robust demand.
Meanwhile, Bayelsa Elders Council, which met
in Yenagoa to review the recent spate of bombings and vandalisation of oil and gas pipelines, called on the perpetrators to desist forthwith
in view of inevitable damage it may cause the economy of the states of the region and the nation, especially at a time the country was grappling with
falling crude oil
price.
Africa's largest economy, which relies on
crude sales for around 70 percent of government revenues, has been hammered by the more than 50 percent
fall in oil
prices since June last year.
On Tuesday, U.S.
crude fell back below $ 30 a barrel, half its
price in June 2015 and down from about $ 100 two years ago.
A report by industry monitor, Genscape, that showed a 1.3 million barrel
fall in crude inventories at the benchmark's
pricing hub
in Cushing, Oklahoma, added further support, brokerage PVM said.
The two sub-saharan African countries are the latest
in what may become a long line of oil - exporting countries to seek financial assistance to help stem growing deficits as
falling crude prices crush revenues.
The Federal Government has made known its intention to cut subsidies on petroleum products by half next year after sharp
falls in global
crude prices led...
But now the country has been running short of dollars as oil revenues have
fallen along with the
price of
crude, pushing the economy into its first recession
in a quarter of a century.
Crude oil and natural gas
prices have historically risen and
fallen in concert.
A continued high supply of oil worldwide, with more than enough
crude oil being produced both
in the U.S. and overseas for
prices to
fall drastically.
Ironically, the drop
in breakevens, which seems to have been overly influenced by the
fall in crude oil
prices, has occurred against a backdrop of rising core inflation.
Canada's resource sector has been slammed as the
price of
crude has
fallen from a high above $ 105
in June 2014 to below $ 40 over the past few months, just as other commodities are at or near multi-year lows.
The TSX energy sector
fell 6.5 per cent Monday
in addition to a five per cent plunge last week as the
price of
crude settled at a five - year low.
«The increase
in gasoline demand meant that the refining industry delayed its semi-annual maintenance period which meant that many mid-western and eastern refineries went into maintenance mode at the same time, meaning pump
prices actually increased when
crude was
falling,» explains Roger McKnight, Chief Petroleum Analyst for En - Pro International Inc..
Right now at least, pump
prices are
falling more or less
in tandem with
crude because of low demand from world economies and larger
crude inventories from oil producing countries.