The last decade is by
far the warmest decade globally in the record.
Not exact matches
DIRT POOR Soils will absorb
far less climate -
warming carbon in coming
decades than previously thought, worsening global
warming, a new study shows.
New measurements by NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies indicate that 2012 was the ninth
warmest year since 1880, and that the past
decade or so has seen some of the
warmest years in the last 132 years.One way to illustrate changes in global atmospheric temperatures is by looking at how
far temperatures stray from «normal», or a baseline.
These changes have been compounded by stronger waves in the North Sea in recent
decades, and could be
further exacerbated if predictions that storminess will increase with global
warming prove accurate.
Instead, they join other East Coast turtles in
warmer waters
farther south, where they spend a
decade or so maturing before returning to nest on their home beaches in Texas and Mexico.
(Reuters)- The U.S. electric industry knew as
far back as 1968 that burning fossil fuels might cause global
warming, but cast doubt on the science of climate change and ramped up coal use for
decades afterward, an environmental watchdog group said on Tuesday.
Even if the concentrations of all greenhouse gases and aerosols had been kept constant at year 2000 levels, a
further warming of about 0.1 °C per
decade would be expected.
Thus it appears that, provided
further satellite cloud data confirms the cosmic ray flux low cloud seeding hypothesis, and no other factors were involved over the past 150 years (e.g., variability of other cloud layers) then there is a potential for solar activity induced changes in cloudiness and irradiance to account for a significant part of the global
warming experienced during the 20th century, with the possible exception of the last two
decades.
Further, since you agree with us that the
warming rate during the next several
decades will be below 0.325 ºC /
decade, then, as I have pointed out, due to the level of natural variability, a 20 - yr time period is too short to really differentiate between your beliefs and ours (if there exist any).
Those claims were based on the fact that 1998 was by
far the
warmest year in the
warmest decade in the instrumental record, but without direct evidence that other very
warm years in perhaps not quite as
warm decades did not match or exceed it.
In the next 50 years, even the lower limit of impending climate change — an additional global mean
warming of 1 degree Celsius above the last
decade — is
far beyond the range of climate variability experienced during the past thousand years and poses global problems in planning for and adapting to it.
Thus, we can conclude that both a natural cycle (the AMO) and anthropogenic forcing could have made roughly equally large contributions to the
warming of the tropical Atlantic over the past
decades, with an exact attribution impossible so
far.
All they tell us is that if there is no
further warming for 40 years, and Arctic temperatures remain largely at or below today's values for another four whole
decades, then we won't lose the Arctic summer ice.
Building cities along coastlines as we have throughout our so -
far short modern history, short though it has been from the standpoint of our climate history, should be recognized as the kind of short term planning that has gotten us into this trouble whether it happens now or a few
decades or centuries down the road, and this concern over atmoshperic
warming is just one of a multitude of possible planet - affecting scenarios that could have devastating effects on our world's societies.
I also agree that model predictions of 0.2 C surface
warming per
decade were clearly inaccurate, but on the larger question of climate trends, they were probably not very
far off.
I also pointed you to data for Arctic temperature which shows that it has
warmed considerably over just the last
decade, so that presently the Arctic is
far warmer than it ever was in the 20th century.
Even if the concentrations of all greenhouse gases and aerosols had been kept constant at year 2000 levels, a
further warming of about 0.1 °C per
decade would be expected.
The talk (about an hour on video) is the best talk I've heard, by
far, regarding the history of the science of global
warming, going back
decades and including some great information and quotes.
Some highlights: Over part of the past year, the Pacific was in its cyclical cool phase, called La Niña; the Arctic remained
far warmer than usual for recent
decades.
That was a very extreme signal —
far outside the previous variation — yet its also rather hard to fit into std GW theory, because it would be extreme even under
warming to be expected in the next few
decades (I think).
«Expect global cooling for the next 2 - 3
decades that will be
far more damaging than global
warming would have been» By Marc Morano A prominent U.S. geologist is urging the world to forget about global
warming because global cooling has already begun.
As emissions continue to increase, both
warming and the commitment to future
warming are presently increasing at a rate of approximately 0.2 °C per
decade, with projections that the rate of
warming will
further increase if emission controls are not put in place.
Even if the concentrations of all GHGs and aerosols had been kept constant at year 2000 levels, a
further warming of about casino 0.1 °C per
decade would be expected.
Of course, the full extent of the
warming caused by this doubling will not be immediately felt, as it will take
further decades for the Earth to settle into a new equilibrium.
And
warming of 4 C (7.2 F) would lead to
far warmer summers; about nine out of 10 summers would be
warmer than the
warmest ever experienced during the last
decades of the 20th century over nearly all land areas.
The authors warn that
further warming will increase fire exponentially in coming
decades.
While the Earth seems to be managing the steady increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide relatively well so
far (although the effects of this increase may not be felt for many
decades to come), there are concerns that passing the 400 parts per million atmospheric carbon dioxide threshold will bring the Earth's atmosphere closer to a tipping point at which global
warming accelerates rapidly with dire consequences for mankind and other creatures on Earth.
2) IPCC: «Even if the concentrations of all greenhouse gases and aerosols had been kept constant at year 2000 levels, a
further warming of about 0.1 °C per
decade would be expected.»
If our climate continues to
warm at today's rate, scientists expect North Sea plankton that respond to temperature cues to bloom even earlier in the coming
decades.7 With a growing mismatch in life cycles among various species of plankton, as well as
further climate - induced shifts in their abundance and distribution, effects on the North Sea ecosystem — including cod — are projected to be considerable.7, 8
Those measurements showed that August —
far from being the
warmest — was actually the coldest in five years and the second coldest over the last
decade.
Berlin (AFP)-- Dismissed a
decade ago as
far - fetched and dangerous, schemes to tame global
warming by engineering the climate have migrated from the margins of policy debate towards centre stage.
What NASA failed to mention, though, was
far more important: The agency's own satellite temperature data for last year show that 2014 was only the sixth
warmest since NASA» Remote Sensing Systems (RSS) satellites went up less than four
decades ago.
So
far, the empirical research, also known as observations, supports the theory of AGW for the
warming over the
decades.
It is also worth noting that the use of both modes of Geo - E in a Troika strategy can not entirely guarantee a benign outcome, however long the R&D period, since we have no firm information on how large the response the Methane Hydrates Melt feedback will be to the sum of ocean
warming that is already penetrating the seabed plus that from the several
decades of
further warming as the natural sea temperatures are slowly restored.
The rift has existed for
decades and
further proof that
warming is causing the separation is necessary, according to them.
The fact that the OHC is rising
decade on
decade means we have an imbalance and all the
warming so
far has not been enough for the forcing change that is dominated by the GHG increase.
No doubt that is why, although the models predicted that global
warming would accelerate during the first
decade of the 21st century, so
far this century there has been no recorded global
warming at all.
A flurry of recent research strongly suggests that recent observations like these are indeed linked to California's long - term
warming trend — and that snowpack losses are expected to accelerate
further over the next few
decades.
The BBC are quite biased so
far as global
warming is concerned but almost every week there is one documentary or another on gardening or archaeology in which they drop in evidence which to the common man says that we must have had periods when it
warmed as much and as quickly as recent
decades.
The balance of evidence remains, however, strongly on the side of the expectation of
further warming in the coming
decades.
«Below the sea surface, historical measurements of temperature are
far sparser, and the
warming is more gradual, about 0.01 °C per
decade at 1,000 meters.»
In short, as
far as Jones knew in February 2010 - and as the keeper of the Hadley - CRU surface temperature record he was surely in a very good position to know - the planet hadn't
warmed on average over the
decade.
Further, the probabilistic approach reveals a picture startling to even most global -
warming pessimists: If we're to avoid precipitating what that U.N. Framework Convention genteelly calls «dangerous anthropogenic interference,» we're going to have to aim at an atmospheric greenhouse - gas concentration target that, by current trends, we'll reach in less than two
decades.
This would
further confound attempts to assess their contribution to temperature change during intervals when their net deviation from their baseline levels was large, although it would have less significance for the post-1950
decades when their net contribution would be small even as independent sources of
warming.
Although it is
far less abundant than carbon dioxide and stays in the air for only a
decade or so, molecule for molecule its
warming effect (calculated over 100 years) is 25 times higher.
And the view that the climate has not
warmed for over a
decade and a half is no longer controversial — only people assembled at the Guardian argue otherwise, albeit they argue the point with (
far too much) vehemence.
The last
decade was the
warmest on record so
far.
If so, that makes each site moss has been exposed by retreating ice into a «thermometer» that reports current temperature of recent
decades on an unusual scale — years before present (ybp and
further back means
warmer).
To put that in perspective, we're currently
warming around 0.2 C /
decade, which
far surpasses historical climate changes like the Ice Ages.
And there is very real risk that the next few
decades could see considerable
further acceleration of Antarctica's glaciers as a result of human - forced
warming due to fossil fuel burning.