For the lawyers, however, the case of Smith v. Smith is a nice
fat nonzero sum game, with the Smiths providing the payoffs and the two professionals milking their clients» joint account in elaborately coded cooperation.
Sure, there is more evidence favoring 4C or under than there is favoring the
fatter tail, but the tail has a
nonzero (and unquantified) probability and that's what low - probability catastrophic events are all about.