Although the public still typically takes
the favorite during the playoffs, there are still a large number of public dogs.
Not exact matches
Since the public is more willing to bet on underdogs
during the
playoffs, we believed there would be value by taking a contrarian approach and backing the
favorite — especially when they were receiving limited public support.
During the regular season these bettors are prone to overwhelmingly taking favorites and home teams, but they are far more likely to take road teams and underdogs during the pla
During the regular season these bettors are prone to overwhelmingly taking
favorites and home teams, but they are far more likely to take road teams and underdogs
during the pla
during the
playoffs.
Using our Bet Labs software, we found that
favorites receiving less than 40 % of moneyline bets have gone 35 - 14 with +14.96 units won
during the NHL
Playoffs.
Knowing that both home teams and
favorites are being undervalued
during the
playoffs, we opted to combine these two filters within Bet Labs.
During that same timeframe, there have only been 10 double - digit
playoff favorites in the rest of the league combined.
For starters,
favorites have gone 47 - 32 ATS (59.5 %)
during the 2016 NBA
Playoffs and 507 - 474 ATS (51.7 %) since 2005.
Of course after seeing these two flip - flopped trends, we were curious how home
favorites had performed
during the NBA
playoffs.
During the 2016 NBA
Playoffs, home
favorites have covered the spread at a 65.4 % clip.
Since 2005, double - digit NBA
favorites have gone 1,146 - 1,253 ATS (47.8 %)
during the regular season and 48 - 36 ATS (57.1 %)
during the
playoffs.
Playoff bettors become increasingly willing to take the points and hope for a competitive game and, as a result, these types of large
favorites have historically provided more value
during the postseason than they have
during the regular season.
-- Earlier today we posted an article that explained why home
favorites are undervalued
during low - scoring
playoff games.
Based on this data, the optimal range for betting against the public
during the NHL
Playoffs comes at the 40 % threshold where
favorites have gone 35 - 14 (71.4 %) with +14.96 units won.
Those same contrarian
favorites that have been profitable
during the
playoffs have gone 226 - 175 ATS (56.4 %)
during the regular season.
Although squares will overwhelmingly take
favorites during the regular season, they're far more apt to take underdogs
during the
playoffs.
The table below displays how public betting impacts the performance of
favorites during the NHL
Playoffs.
Using our Bet Labs software, we found that
favorites receiving no more than 40 % of spread bets have gone 83 - 56 ATS (59.7 %)
during the NBA
playoffs.
Past research has indicated that
favorites are undervalued
during the NBA
playoffs — a dramatic change from the regular season where underdogs have been historically undervalued.
With Griffin now fully healed from the ACL and LCL injuries he suffered
during the 2012
playoffs, he will look to rebound and was listed as the
favorite to win the 2014 NFL Comeback Player of the Year when BetOnline first posted this prop:
During the regular season we typically see a majority of public bettors taking the favorite, but that trend is typically turned on its head during the pla
During the regular season we typically see a majority of public bettors taking the
favorite, but that trend is typically turned on its head
during the pla
during the
playoffs.
Interestingly,
favorites receiving less than 50 % of moneyline bets have gone 48 - 25 with an 18.7 % ROI
during the MLB
playoffs.
Although we are posting them
during the football
playoffs, they would be perfect for any game day gathering, basketball, NASCAR, hockey or your
favorite sport.
From a between - innings stretch to collect recyclables to discount tickets for transit riders to green giveaways, Major League Baseball clubs put an eco-friendly twist on many ballpark traditions for Earth Day — activities that will continue throughout the month and even, in some cases, all the way to the
playoff chase.Instead of a bobblehead figure of their
favorite player or a team - logoed «rally towel,» fans entering the stadiums of the Cincinnati Reds, the Cleveland Indians, the Pittsburgh Pirates, the San Diego Padres, the San Francisco Giants, and the Texas Rangers on special days
during the season receive reusable shopping bags, metal water bottles, or baseball caps made entirely from recycled plastic.