We will also eliminate the 10
favorites fitting this criteria (4 - 6 ATS) by selecting underdogs from the «favorite / dog» filter.
Not exact matches
This development supported our hypothesis, but we wanted to know what happened when that
favorite also
fit our betting against the public
criteria.
Since 2007,
favorites fitting that
criteria have gone 880 - 836 -LRB--19.3 units) at home and 106 - 65 (+16.1 units) on the road.
After narrowing our focus to look at home
favorites in low - scoring games, we found that teams
fitting these
criteria have produced a 198 - 140 (58.6 %) ATS record which increases both our units won (48.39) and ROI (14.3 %).
It's also worth noting that most of the teams
fitting these
criteria have been underdogs, although it has been profitable to take contrarian
favorites as well.
This is one of Saturday's most heavily bet games, which means they
fit the aforementioned
criteria for contrarian
favorites.
-- Via our Bet Labs software: College football home
favorites receiving less than 30 % of spread bets have gone 40 - 29 for +9.1 units and a 13.2 % ROI since 2005 and Illinois almost
fit that
criteria before closing at 31 % as a 3 - point
favorite (Won and covered).
We have also found that home
favorites tend to be overvalued following a double - digit win, and Seattle
fits that
criteria after beating San Francisco 29 - 13 last week.
It turns out, more than half of spread bets took the
favorite in 60.5 % of all games
fitting this
criteria, meaning these teams don't fall under the «trendy underdog» umbrella.
Members can also message,
favorite, send winks, and send out a mass message to anyone on Fling who
fits their search
criteria.