Policies, attention and money are focused mostly on
a few marginal seats, because that's where elections are won and lost.
In previous contests, they could and did finesse their resource problems by focusing their local campaign efforts in a relatively
few marginal seats.
Political parties, in league with tech firms, target voters in
a few marginal seats to sway national results.
They are about how we do our politics — particularly the way that we willingly turn our backs of whole swathes of the nation in a quest for short - term advantage in
a few marginal seats.
Moreover, as John Curtice shows [Nuffield appendix], the political geography of the UK has changed in recent years, producing
fewer marginal seats and so making a victorious second election even less likely.
Not exact matches
Its also a redistricting year and the Republicans can make a
few districts districts safer and combine old
marginal districts in the Bronx, Westchester and Queens to keep the majority intact and probably expand it by 2 - 3
seats.
Loss of his
marginal seat in 1945, followed a
few months later by his re-election for the safe
seat of Bromley, was the base for his successful ministerial career after 1951 - housing, the Foreign Office and the Treasury.
Instead of mucking in with the multifarious resistance movement - which, as you rightly state here, does not require universal agreement in order to progress, that sort of Leninist thinking is weedkiller to the grassroots - Labour is already positioning itself for the next election, terrified of doing anything at all which might upset the
few swing voters in key
marginal seats that the party has repositioned itself towards over the past twenty years.
My study of the most
marginal seats the Lib Dems were defending against Labour and the Conservatives, published in June, found the party on course to lose most of its most vulnerable
seats, with a
few notable exceptions.
Just 0.0016 % of voters choosing differently would have given the Conservatives a majority, while the election saw a rise in very
marginal seats: eleven were won by
fewer than 100 votes.
Among other results, Lord Ashcroft's polls suggested that the growth in SNP support would translate into more than 50
seats; [124] that there was little overall pattern in Labour and Conservative Party
marginals; [125] that the Green Party MP Caroline Lucas would retain her
seat; [126] that both Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg and UKIP leader Nigel Farage would face very close races to be elected in their own constituencies; [127] and that Liberal Democrat MPs would enjoy an incumbency effect that would lose
fewer MPs than their national polling implied.
Over the course of the last month, the voluntary party's tour of
marginal seats has clocked up campaign visits to no
fewer than 72 constituencies across England, from St Ives in the South West to Tynemouth in the North East.
If the latest polling from Lord Ashcroft is sustained Labour will do rather better in the
marginal seats that their share of the vote nationally would suggest thus making an outcome where they get
fewer votes but more
seats a greater probability.
Unlike Lord Ashcroft's
marginal polls (which are actually a series of individual constituency polls in
seats that are
marginals, which we can aggregate together to get an extremely large sample across a group of
marginal seats) ComRes's poll is a more traditional
marginals poll — a single poll of a group of
marginal seats, meaning it gives us a measure of those
seats as a whole, but has far too
few people to tell us anything about the individual
seats within that group.
The Tories may lose
fewer close
marginal seats to Labour than might be expected given even a regional swing.
The country became more polarised between the two largest parties in 2015 than was the case at any previous post-1945 election: the Conservatives and Labour have more Very Safe
seats than before, and are contesting
fewer marginal ones — and of the 56
seats won by the SNP in 2015, 28 are classified as Very Safe and a further 18 as Safe.
The 52 - year - old is one of the
few senior Tory MPs to have won a
marginal seat from Labour, taking Hastings and Rye in 2010.
Today's meeting comes against a backdrop of a slight narrowing of the polls, but also a Labour fear that extra spending by the Tories in
marginal seats might mean Cameron winning a majority with just a six - point national lead, three or four points
fewer than many pollsters predict.
Well I don't think the Labour vote fell in many
seats outside Scotland except in a
few LD - Con
marginals.
The consolation for the Liberal Democrats is that relatively
few people in these
seats realise they are in a Lab / LD
marginal — if the party can successfully position themselves as THE party to beat Labour in those
seats, something they have great experience in doing, they could do far better in those
seats and start gaining Labour
seats to balance losses to the Tories.