For a variety of reasons (including the impact of high levels of undecided voters in a specific poll), the actual result of an
election contest may vary from the
figures suggested
by an opinion poll, even if the poll is carried out relatively close to
election day, or on
election day itself as in the case of exit polls, but the likelihood of such variation is not something that can be factored into this model.
He will also continue to be the main draw in a fund - raising campaign that has a goal of taking in at least $ 750 million
by Election Day, which would match his 2008
figure even though he does not face the long primary battle that he did four years ago.