But if 2014 IS relatively low - turnout, a small extra bump in numbers for one side or another can also make a big difference in
the final vote percentages.
Not exact matches
For instance, in Pennsylvania and Michigan, Clinton's total
percentage of the
final vote fell within 2 points of what had been predicted for her in the polling average.
Even though results showed his Democratic opponent Doug Jones defeated him by 1.5
percentage points, Moore said he was awaiting certification of the
final votes, declining to rule out the possibility he would request a recount.
A more dramatic twist: Double the size of the House - every district now elects two seats: The
final two opponents with the most
votes, and each one gets a
vote value based on their
percentage of the voters, so they loser with 49 % of the
vote gets 0.49
votes in the house and the winner with 51 % of the
vote gets 0.512
votes in the house - this way the losing side gets represented too.
«
final polling averages in the US have missed the presidential popular
vote by only 2
percentage points on average.
[16] The
final total
percentage votes for the two main candidates after redistribution were almost identical to those of the
final round of the 1981 contest.
The November 2012
percentage can't be known exactly until the New York State Board of Elections reports the
final vote, but it appears it was also 3.3 %.