"Financial guarantors" refers to individuals or companies that promise to cover potential financial losses or obligations in case another party fails to fulfill their financial commitments. They act as a safety net or an insurance policy, ensuring that people or organizations receive their promised payments even if the original debtor is unable to pay.
Full definition
I quote S&P from a paragraph entitled, «Time is On Their Side,» in their December 19, 2007 report: «Detailed Results of Subprime Stress Test
of Financial Guarantors.»
I never, ever, fully bought into the ratings agencies views
on financial guarantors, mortgage guarantors, and the GSEs.
MBIA Corp.'s ability to attract new business and to compete with other triple - A
rated financial guarantors has been adversely affected by these rating agency actions.
I offered him four macro topics, and he took the most topical one, Buffett's offer to reinsure the muni business of the
major financial guarantors.
Each agency has its own ratings criteria
for financial guarantors and employs proprietary models to assess MBIA's risk adjusted leverage, risk concentrations and financial performance relative to the agency's triple - A standards.
With the major rating agencies and the
major financial guarantors, they are locked in a co-dependent relationship, one that I highlighted in a RealMoney article three years ago.
As with the rating agencies actions on the
other financial guarantors, once a guarantor is pushed below AAA, the rating no longer matters as much.
Here's my view:
The financial guarantors have been too profitable for too long.
The financial guarantors are next to a cliff, and the rating agencies have a choice:
The thing is, there are enough levers here that GM can keep the debt ball in the air for some time, as can many of
the financial guarantors, so long as they can make their interest payments.
Avoid
the financial guarantors, and economic areas affected by the overleveraging of our credit markets.
They overrated
the financial guarantors, who were their major clients.
We talk about Buffett and
the Financial Guarantors, then move to stocks.
Unfortunately,
the financial guarantors have had a tendency to reinsure each other.
3) The loss of confidence in
financial guarantors has not changed the operations of many muni bond funds much.
1) With structured finance, the initial choice is «Do we ask
a financial guarantor to bring the credit up to AAA, or do we do it through a senior - subordinate structure?»
On to part two,
the financial guarantors:
1) Here are two Fortune articles where Colin Barr quotes me regarding Buffett's offer to reinsure the muni liabilities of
the financial guarantors.
The Financial Guarantors are receiving a lot of attention these days, and for good reason.
Is there a possibility that
the financial guarantors will have to take a premium deficiency reserve for their structured finance business?
Secondary stress is in the investment banks and
financial guarantors.
I said that early on with
the financial guarantors.
6) Beyond that,
the financial guarantors have their problems.
Now that Ajit Jain says that Berky might buy into one of
the financial guarantors, I am not going to say that I predicted that, because I didn't.
I have another set of writings as
the financial guarantors were downgraded.
All in all, over the next five years I wrote over 30 times about
the financial guarantors.
In the short run, I viewed the rating agencies and
financial guarantors as co-dependent.
As
the Financial Guarantors found, when your stock price gets too low, the jig is up.
Could be done, and has already happened with
the Financial Guarantors, which has largely sealed the fate of the tarnished incumbents.
8) Downgrades of the major
financial guarantors.
Again, my view was that
the financial guarantors would eventually be downgraded, but that the rating agencies would delay it for as long as they possibly could.
I believed that it would be very difficult for the rating agencies to downgrade
the financial guarantors, because they were such a large part of their AAA ratings, and because they would lose money in the short run from doing so.
Financial guarantors, who promise to reimburse investors for any losses on the CDO tranches in exchange for premium payments; and
The ratings agencies are an inherent part of the business model of
the financial guarantors.