The magic isn't all in the infrastructure (the allocation software), it has a lot to do with
finding predictive value in the mutual fund picks.
The researchers also
found no predictive value in seeking insights from trends in conditions like sea - ice thickness.
Not exact matches
Third, academic research has
found that valuation metrics, such as the earnings yield (E / P) or the CAPE 10 earnings yield, and valuation spreads have
predictive value in terms of future returns.
In the present study the authors
found that the negative
predictive value of SB100 is 99.6 %, and they «conclude that S100B levels below 0.105 µg / L can accurately predict a normal CCT scan after MHI in older patients and those on antiplatelet medication.»
said Judith K. Wolf, MD, Chief Medical Officer of Provista Diagnostics, Inc. «This study shows that, with an over 99 percent negative
predictive value (NPV), clinicians can confidently use Videssa Breast to detect cancer in women with dense breasts and better determine when biopsy is truly warranted to assess suspicious
findings.»
The researchers
found that with application of a low troponin I cutoff
value of 6 ng / L, the rule - out algorithm showed a high negative
predictive value of 99.8 percent after 1 hour for AMI, allowing for accurate and rapid exclusion of AMI.
This
finding supports the negative
predictive value of using PET imaging to identify patients unlikely to decline, which has important implications for both clinical research and treatment.
Add to this the
findings (from Bowen, Chingos and McPherson's Crossing the Finish Line) that high school grades have a more
predictive value of college success than standardized tests, and you may just see a shift from standardized test scores to high school GPA by some college admissions officers.
There are a number of potential explanations for this
finding, including a limited supply of effective teachers (it's rational to keep a mediocre teacher if the likely replacement will be no better), a lack of administrator ability to discern teacher quality (their observations are less
predictive of
value - added than those of outside observers), or a simple unwillingness to make the unpleasant decision of firing someone.
And studies have
found teachers»
value - added scores in one year to be partially
predictive of impact on student performance in subsequent years.
A
value - added measure based on a standardized test score is primarily
predictive of the influence of teaching on standardized test scores; and
value - added measures are
found to be strong predictors in this capacity.
After thousands of trials and errors, I
found a way to pick mutual funds that have a one - to two - year
predictive value.
The
Value Factor: Forecast vs. Actual Alpha To provide context for a discussion and demonstration of the predictive ability of starting valuations to forecast five - year performance, we use the value factor to illustrate one of our major findings from the first art
Value Factor: Forecast vs. Actual Alpha To provide context for a discussion and demonstration of the
predictive ability of starting valuations to forecast five - year performance, we use the
value factor to illustrate one of our major findings from the first art
value factor to illustrate one of our major
findings from the first article.
Loughran and Wellman
find that for nearly the entire market
value of largest stock market (the US) over the most important time period (post-1963), the
value premium does not exist, which means that book - to - market is not
predictive in stocks other than the smallest 6 percent by market cap (and even there the returns are suspect).
In other words, our elaborate mutual fund screening process has evolved since the late 80's to the point where we can
find adequate
predictive value of about a year and an half.
Tomorrow, I show in an extract from Quantitative
Value how we independently tested gross - profits - on - total - assets and
found it to be highly
predictive.
«Indeed, even those litigation professionals who have experienced frustration with emerging eDiscovery technology promises — such as
predictive coding and other technology assisted review applications — have
found the
value of EDA.»
Using Ioannidis» formula for positive
predictive value, we
find:
Renty et al. (2007) examined the
predictive value of marital adaptation in adult men with ASD and their spouses; the authors
found that informal support was a strong predictor of adaptation among the spouses.
They
found that an optimum cut - off score for the IES (which comprises the avoidance and intrusion subscales) of 35.0 produced the highest
predictive value.
Furthermore,
findings document the
predictive value of particular trauma events related to early adolescents» severity of self - reported traumatic stress.