Our first estimate of global temperature for the remainder of the Cenozoic assumes that ΔTs = ΔTdo prior to 5.33 Myr BP, i.e. prior to the Plio - Pleistocene, which yields a peak Ts of approximately 28 °C at 50 Myr BP (figure 4).
Not exact matches
«It's the
first time that a scientific study compared different methods
of estimating temperature impacts on
global crop production.
The concatenation
of modern and instrumental records [52] is based on an
estimate that
global temperature in the
first decade
of the 21st century (+0.8 °C relative to 1880 — 1920) exceeded the Holocene mean by 0.25 ± 0.25 °C.
First, it provides a compilation
of global trends in glacier terminus positions since 1600 A.D. Second, it uses this compilation to create a new
estimate of global temperature change.
In addition to a discussion
of some
of the extreme events
of 2011 this also comes with a
first estimate of the 2011
global temperature, see their graph below:
Jim's and the British group are the longest standing
of the three, having both published their
first global temperature estimates in 1981.
The concatenation
of modern and instrumental records [52] is based on an
estimate that
global temperature in the
first decade
of the 21st century (+0.8 °C relative to 1880 — 1920) exceeded the Holocene mean by 0.25 ± 0.25 °C.
Despite the stability
of those ice sheets in the Holocene, there is evidence that sea level was much more variable during the Eemian, when we
estimate the peak
global temperature was only +1.0 °C warmer than in the
first decade
of the twenty -
first century.
We obtain an absolute
temperature scale using the Jones et al. [69]
estimate of 14 °C as the
global mean surface
temperature for 1961 — 1990, which corresponds to approximately 13.9 °C for the 1951 — 1980 base period that we normally use [70] and approximately 14.4 °C for the
first decade
of the twenty -
first century.
As the
first figure above shows, the IPCC
estimates the
temperature influence
of internal variability since 1950 at ± 0.1 °C, during which time we've seen about 0.65 °C
global surface warming.
Well, I
estimated the
first derivative
of global mean surface
temperature using a Bayesian state model, and I got something around 0.01 degrees Celsius per year increase (see here and here), which is consistent with the Cowtan and Way
estimate.
In the
first IPCC report there was a graph
of estimated global temperatures for the last two centuries.
He did do the
first quantitative outlook
of the effects
of CO2 changes on
global temperature (
of which he got very lucky in being close to modern
estimates), but his target was largely to examine the coming and going
of ice ages.