Sentences with phrase «first tightening cycle»

Fed Chair Janet Yellen last week signaled the U.S. central bank is on track to raise rates this year, despite a weak first quarter that some analysts believe could force the Fed to wait longer before starting its first tightening cycle since 2004 - 2006.

The Fed embarked on its first tightening cycle in more than a decade in December 2015.

Not exact matches

Using duration of the tightening cycle or «time» as the benchmark (i.e. splitting up the various phases by 25 % increments), the S&P 500 was up an average 3.6 % (median +2.4 %); using «duration» or basis - point change as the benchmark, the first 25 % of the cycle sees an average gain of 7.2 % (median of +5.6 %).

Then there is the word «typically» like in «In fact, the first 25 % of the tightening cycle is typically the best part of the stock market cycle».

Here's a nuance: in each of 1961, 1965, 1980, 1983 and 1987, the first 25 % of the tightening cycle was, in fact, the best part of the stock market cycle.

That works well when interest rates are falling, or when the FOMC is on hold at the bottom of the cycle, but once the hint that the first tightening might occur, it doesn't work well until the first loosening is hinted.