To reiterate, this illustrates that individual model simulations do predict decades where there are
flat trends even in periods where the overall, multi-decadal trend is positive.
Not exact matches
Therefore, don't be hoodwinked by superficial comparisons into believing that gold stocks are now priced for a hundreds - of - dollars - per - ounce lower gold price and, as a consequence, that massive gains lie ahead for gold stocks
even if the gold price
flat - lines or continues to
trend downward.
As
flats become
even more on
trend this season & next I think we'll see a lot more
flats at fashion week.
It also, at times, was unfortunately a hi - bred mix of the boyfriend Jean, The Baggy Jean and The Flare — NOT a
flattering combination at all, and that in fact
even celebrities failed to look good in (a sure sign of a
trend gone wrong!)
Pointed - toe
flats are on -
trend, make your legs look longer, and look a little more dressy (
even if you're just rocking them on the way to the office).
I went for a formal - meets - casual look here, styling a dressy white shirt and
evening earrings with patchwork denim (one of my favorite
trends this fall) and comfy
flats.
Don't buy clothes that do not
flatter you,
even if it's the
trends this season.
They're cute and were surprisingly
flattering on
even my thicker stems but I don't think I'm cut out for this patterned pants
trend.
Spring's hottest hair
trend flatters everyone and doesn't
even require a comb: Just make a deep side part.
The off the shoulder design with bell sleeves is on
trend for the season and the tie at the waist makes the dress
even more
flattering and form fitting.
Cuffing jeans to wear with
flats, booties, moto boots and heels is on -
trend even in wet, colder weather like the Pacific Northwest.
And there are so many shoe options, pair with
flat sandals, espadrilles, a wedge or
even the on
trend, white sneaker.
In education, that phenomenon explains why some aggregate
trend lines look
flat or worse,
even though every student subgroup is improving, because of the changing demographic composition of the total student population (e.g., lower - scoring Latino students are gradually replacing higher - scoring white students).
Some years it may be
flat or
even go down but generally speaking this is the national
trend.
This movement can cause a trader to long for a simple
trending market or
even a boring
flat market.
0.5 million km2 per decade in the last decades, the yearly average temperature
trend was
flat 1880 - 1920, +3.5 Â °C 1920 - 1930, variable (around a
flat trend) 1930 - 1948, -3 Â °C 1949 - 1994, +3 Â °C 1995 - 2004
Even more interesting: the summer (June, July, August) temperatures dropped from average +7 Â °C in 1900 - 1980 to +3.1 Â °C in 1983, and slowly went up again to +6 Â °C in 2003 - 2004.
As a consequence,
even in regions or states where there is a strong increasing
trend in heavy precipitation, the
trend at an individual precipitation gauge that represents the official total for a city may be equivocal,
flat, or
even down.
The
trend itself is (near) independent of temperature, simply look at three different periods: 1959 - 1975 and 1998 - 2008 with near
flat or
even cooling temperatures and 1976 - 1997 with increasing temperatures.
First, this is a transient «offsetting» phase — as forcing continues and temperatures continue to rise,
even the DJF NH winter
flat trend will be overprinted.
even with the correction made the
trend is still basically
flat, it is still clear that the AGW alarmists are the ones promoting bad science.
As you yourself have pointed out the longterm warming
trend can continue, or
even increase, despite a
flat OLS for some period.
But
even then, using the data above that you have provided, NONE of the years can be used at a start year and obtain a downward or
flat linear
trend.
Even if it only accounts for a small part of these two «features» (say 0.2 C for 4 - 5 years) the perceived excessive «warming 1910 - 1940» and «the
flat trend between mid 1940 ′ s and mid 1970 ′ s» look far less significant.
It is possible for the «true
trend», as estimated statistically, to be
flat because of the composite phenomena operating over the specified interval,
even though the longer
trend is positive (for the last century) or negative (during certain paleoclimatologic intervals).
Assuming for argument's sake that the IPCC's calculation of the long term
trend was broadly correct, would you expect temps to rise in a more or less linear fashion or would you expect there to be periods when temps were
flat or
even falling?
Even now the only reason there is not a basically
flat trend since 1995 is because of the huge numbers around 1998 which almost everyone agrees is an outlier and completely untypical.
How much healthier might the nation have been if these
trends had been reversed (
even if NIH funding had stayed
flat!)?
«Over relatively short, non-climate timescales (less than 20 - 30 years), these patterns of natural variability can lead to all kinds of changes in global and regional near - surface air temperature:
flat, increasing, or
even decreasing
trends,»
If, say, the proxy values are roughly
flat, and if the Betas sum to
even slightly more than one, don't we expect some spurious upward
trend?
This basically means that during all of this period when it warmed it warmed more in the north and when it cooled it cooled more in the south» I think that it is the slope of the graph that indicates differing
trends and
even though there was a high N - S anomaly for the 30s - 50s (+ / --RRB- the fact that it is basically
flat for that period means there was no difference in what ever was going on, be it warming, cooling or stasis.
Now I realize that according to Ben Santer a
trend (
even a
flat one) only becomes «statistically significant» after 17 years.
My model has an underlying 0.75 C per century
trend after 1945, but
even with this
trend actual temperatures hit a 30 - year
flat spot after the year 2000.
Now, I don't suggest this is an appropriate way to determine temperature
trends - starting with 1998 - but
even working within that parameter, the
trend has not been cooling or
flat, it has been warming.
The long,
flat «handle» of the stick — extending back a full thousand years and sloping slightly downward in a cooling
trend from the deeper past toward more recent times — balanced with the dramatic upward jut of the «blade», made a satisfying and
even arresting image.
We can then see that, first, in recent years the lower stratosphere has had a
flat trend, or possibly
even a slightly warming
trend.
The model outputs are generally presented as an average of an ensemble of individual runs (and
even ensembles of individual runs from multiple models), in order to remove this variability from the overall picture, because among grownups it is understood that 1) the long term
trends are what we're interested and 2) the coarseness of our measurements of initial conditions combined with a finite modeled grid size means that models can not predict precisely when and how temps will vary around a
trend in the real world (they can, however, by being run many times, give us a good idea of the * magnitude * of that variance, including how many years of
flat or declining temperatures we might expect to see pop up from time to time).
Chrometa —
Even with the
trend towards
flat fees and other alternative billing arrangements, the billable hour is not dead yet.