If the modelers pointed out all of
the flaws in the climate models in the same manner (unrealistic type and size of dissipation, unresolved spectra and incorrect cascade of enstrophy, unphysical tuning, ill posedness of the continuum system, etc.), then no one would believe any of their results.
The «smoking gun» that could undo the endangerment finding is to find
flaws in the climate models, said Pat Michaels, director of the Center for the Study of Science at the Cato Institute.
Mann suggests that differences between the palaeo record and model simulations are a result of shortcomings in the proxy data, not
flaws in climate models, as he explains to Carbon Brief:
It now seems possible, though, that
flaws in climate models are leading them to underestimate even shorter - term feedbacks.
Scientists unaffiliated with the study said it highlights
a flaw in climate models and can help update their assumptions about the ability of forests to sequester carbon.
Before anyone yells «adjustments», this appears to be a real difference of instruments, but solving this mystery turns up a rather major
flaw in climate models.
Not exact matches
Despite these
flaws, global
models are increasingly credible: when fed the factors at play
in climate over the past 100 years, they accurately match what has been observed to occur.
In summary the projections of the IPCC — Met office models and all the impact studies (especially the Stern report) which derive from them are based on specifically structurally flawed and inherently useless models.They deserve no place in any serious discussion of future climate trends and represent an enormous waste of time and money.As a basis for public policy their forecasts are grossly in error and therefore worse than useless.For further discussion and an estimate of the coming cooling see http://climatesense-norpag.blogspot.c
In summary the projections of the IPCC — Met office
models and all the impact studies (especially the Stern report) which derive from them are based on specifically structurally
flawed and inherently useless
models.They deserve no place
in any serious discussion of future climate trends and represent an enormous waste of time and money.As a basis for public policy their forecasts are grossly in error and therefore worse than useless.For further discussion and an estimate of the coming cooling see http://climatesense-norpag.blogspot.c
in any serious discussion of future
climate trends and represent an enormous waste of time and money.As a basis for public policy their forecasts are grossly
in error and therefore worse than useless.For further discussion and an estimate of the coming cooling see http://climatesense-norpag.blogspot.c
in error and therefore worse than useless.For further discussion and an estimate of the coming cooling see http://climatesense-norpag.blogspot.com
By Larry Hamlin The record snowfalls of 2018 that are sweeping across the Northern Hemisphere and continuing the growth trend
in winter snowfall levels provide yet more compelling evidence that the UN IPCC AR5 WG1
climate report and
models are
flawed because this report concludes that future snowfall level trends will only decline.
These
flaws have no bearing whatever on the manner
in which the greenhouse effect is actually computed
in climate models.
People
in the strong warming camp think you can make useful long term
climate predictions from seriously
flawed models.
Because of the «predictions» of highly
flawed and dubious
climate models, most of which have a problem
in making accurate hindcasts.
So pointing out a
flaw in software being used to
model the
climate is being a «denier»?
The alleged absence of pronounced warming
in the tropical mid-troposphere is claimed by some as evidence of
flawed climate models and that greenhouse gases can not be the main cause of observed surface warming.
In the climategate emails it was also noted that scientists conspired on both sides of the Atlantic to adjust historic ocean temperatures to make them appear more like their
flawed climate models.
Instead what should rightfully evoke our greatest concern is how
climate change alarmism is eroding objective science, allowing untestable hypotheses and
flawed models to become codified
in our legal system.
Over the last year, it has become painfully obvious that the IPCC «
climate science» has been terribly
flawed due to political agendas, resulting
in the bogus and inaccurate IPCC
climate model simulations.
California is proceeding down this absurd emissions reduction path while the «science» supposedly supporting
climate alarmism claims is crumbling with global
climate models shown to be
flawed and failed by
climate scientist testimony before Congress and UN IPCC acknowledgements of the undeniable truth that it is impossible to create credible global
climate models which,
in fact, has been the case for the last 25 years.
Along with numerous colleagues, I was an author on a successful large NSF
climate grant application and a paper
modelling effects of temperature increases on precipitation (and also papers pointing out
flaws in models in other systems).
The «
flaw» of low - ECS
climate model studies may not be so much
in aerosols, the NASA study suggests, as the effective radiative forcing scenario (with high
climate sensitivity) is accompanied with relatively low value for aerosol efficacy:
More than a dozen
climate experts, including professors at the most prestigious universities in the world and scientists who worked with the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), also told The New American in recent months that the global warming models were deeply flawed a
climate experts, including professors at the most prestigious universities
in the world and scientists who worked with the UN Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC), also told The New American in recent months that the global warming models were deeply flawed a
Climate Change (IPCC), also told The New American
in recent months that the global warming
models were deeply
flawed at best.
The
flaws in the alarmist position Lindzen exposed
in 1992 remain the same today: the global warming scare story depends on hopelessly inadequate computer
models which place too much emphasis on man - made CO2 and which therefore produce a «disturbingly arbitrary» picture of the state of
climate.
In a paper last year, Professor Robert Pindyck from the Massachusetts Institute Technology concluded the so - called integrated assessment
models used to combine
climate science with economics have «crucial
flaws that make them close to useless as tools for policy analysis».
There are mathematical fatal
flaws in all the
models that can not be overcome even if supercomputers improve by an order of magnitude, and if Rob Ellisons nonlinear dynamic chaos concerns can be overcome by enough ensemble runs to discern their main
climate strange attractors.
Previous
climate change
models predicted that global sea levels would rise by a meter by the year 2100 due
in part to melting Antarctic ice, but those estimates have proven to be
flawed.
I have too much respect for Allison to get into a spitting match with him over something that there is simply too little data to positively determine, too much corruption and money involved for those who support that mankind can affect and control global weather to any significant amount all while ignoring so many other factors such as solar winds, Sun spot activity and even the amount of water vapor
in the atmosphere, which is never a part of any of the seriously
flawed climate models.
Like Bob Tisdale, you (and apparently many others here) don't understand that it is not a
flaw of the
climate models when the simulations with these
models principally don't reproduce the chronological succession of events, e.g., the succession of El Nino and La Nina - events, how they are observed
in the real atmosphere - ocean system.
Despite long searches for «fatal
flaws»
in modern
climate models, a handful of contrarians still have no supporting evidence.
The British Met Office has issued «erroneous statements and misrepresentations» about the pause
in global warming — and its
climate computer
model is fundamentally
flawed, says a new analysis by a leading independent researcher.
Sponsored by three activist groups — Oil Change International, Environmental Action, and The Other 98 % — the 30 - second ad was part of a crowd - funded campaign to point out the fatal
flaw in ExxonMobil's business
model to maximize oil and gas extraction across the globe regardless of the growing threat to the stability of Earth's
climate system and thus the livability of the planet for our children, their children, and future generations.
Since
climate models are dependent on the CO2 greenhouse gas being a major driving force
in the simulations, it is not a surprise to those familiar with the subject that the simulated outputs continue to be deeply
flawed.
«I want a solid foundation to base my own work
in sustainability on... so please... anybody who has «the science»... anybody who can meet Lindzen's claims that the IPCC
models had huge
flaws, that CO2 lags behind temperature, that CO2 is not as much of a
climate forcer as we believe... will you please give us the low down.
For a much more detailed discussion of a sceptical scientist's view of the validity of using
model output as the basis for policing making
in climate science, take a look at Dr Roy Spencer's explanation of how these
models work and why he thinks they are
flawed:
For a complete discussion of the uselessness of the IPCC's
modeling approach to forecasting
climate see Section 1 at http://climatesense-norpag.blogspot.com/2014/07/
climate-forecasting-methods-and-cooling.html Here are the conclusions «
In summary the temperature projections of the IPCC — Met office models and all the impact studies which derive from them have no solid foundation in empirical science being derived from inherently useless and specifically structurally flawed model
In summary the temperature projections of the IPCC — Met office
models and all the impact studies which derive from them have no solid foundation
in empirical science being derived from inherently useless and specifically structurally flawed model
in empirical science being derived from inherently useless and specifically structurally
flawed models.
Evans believes he has uncovered a significant and perhaps major
flaw in the mathematics at the core of the
climate models.