Attempts to export its excess savings can only lead to one of three outcomes: A) global growth rises because Europe's savings are all directed at developing countries with significant infrastructure investment needs and insufficient capital, B) global growth drops sharply, global unemployment rises, and China's adjustment
becomes all but impossible, C) international trade and capital
flows collapse in a repeat of the 1930s, so that Europe is forced to resolve its savings
imbalance either by a massive increase in unemployment or a wave of sovereign defaults.