Spencer has shown, and this part is not controversial, that the presence of any radiative forcing decorrelates
the flux response to temperature; more specifically any radiative forcing would make Dessler's 2010 zero - lag flux - temperature regression less useful than a bag of horse manure.
Not exact matches
[
Response: weaker cosmic ray
flux - > fewer low clouds - > decrease in sunlight reflected back
to space), then you need
to explain why the night
temperatures appear
to increase faster then day
temperatures (for any amplification mechanism involving te albedo, you'd expect the opposite, as there is no sunlight
to reflect on the dark side of the planet...).
(change in forcing from bottom
to top of a layer = forcing of that layer; equilibrium
temperature response of a layer changes the LW and convective
fluxes to restore balance).
In this way, the
response of LW
fluxes (PR) and convection (CR) tend
to spread the
temperature response vertically from where forcings occur — not generally eliminating the effect of RF distribution over height, although in the case with convection driven by differential radiative heating within a layer, CR can
to a first approximation evenly distribute a
temperature response over such a layer.
Starting from an old equilbrium, a change in radiative forcing results in a radiative imbalance, which results in energy accumulation or depletion, which causes a
temperature response that approahes equilibrium when the remaining imbalance approaches zero — thus the equilibrium climatic
response, in the global - time average (for a time period long enough
to characterize the climatic state, including externally imposed cycles (day, year) and internal variability), causes an opposite change in radiative
fluxes (via Planck function)(plus convective
fluxes, etc, where they occur) equal in magnitude
to the sum of the (externally) imposed forcing plus any «forcings» caused by non-Planck feedbacks (in particular, climate - dependent changes in optical properties, + etc.).)
In some conditions, saturation can occur while holding
temperatures steady, but the climate
response can still change the
fluxes — this won't generally add a significant net
flux where optical thickness has brought the net
flux to zero, but it can change the net
flux at TOA even if the effect of optical thickness has been saturated at TOA, and the climatic
response could «unsaturate» the effect at TOA by creating a thinner layer of different
temperature.
(the
temperature response to a forcing tends
to be spread out from the location of that forcing, because the
temperature change at one location changes the LW
fluxes reaching other areas.
Responses of N2O
fluxes to temperature, water table and N deposition in a northern fen.
With the lower net ocean
to atmosphere heat
flux during this La Niña like condition, it means measuring the climate
response to GH forcing based on tropospheric
temperatures alone is a weaker and less accurate measurment tool.
«c) the information content in the
temperature and OHC series is not sufficient
to allow accurate estimation of ECS and equilibration time; a
flux response function with a very long tail (high ECS, high equilibration time) may give a result similar
to the Schwartz exponential
response function with a low ECS and low equilibration time.»
In a new paper, researchers conclude that changes in sensible heat transfer and evaporation
fluxes — in
response to strong regional trends in the air - surface
temperature contrast related
to the changing character of the sea ice cover — are becoming increasingly consequential
to Arctic climate variability and change.
It does not matter whether the
temperature change was externally forced or not — the CO2
flux is a direct
response to the
temperature change.
LC09 purported
to determine climate sensitivity by examining the
response of radiative
fluxes at the Top - of - the - Atmosphere (TOA)
to ocean
temperature changes in the tropics.