GEOG 5100: Climate System Modeling This is a hands on research seminar
focusing on climate model development from the simplest to most complex models culminating with a final research project designing and analyzing a General Circulation climate model experiment.
Dr. Robert Brecha, Visiting Scientist Highly experienced scientist with
a focus on climate modelling and science - policy interface >> > Javascript deactivated.
Most of the talk
focusses on climate models, and the kinds of experiments you can do with them.
We have been
focused on climate models rather than on climate dynamics and theory that is needed to understand the effects of the sun on climate, the network of natural internal variability on multiple time scales, the mathematics of extreme events, and the predictability of a complex system characterized by spatio - temporal chaos.
Not exact matches
The main efforts of governments continues to
focus too
on a top - down structure of
climate governance, guided by a «targets and timetables» approach that mirrors the Montreal
model.
During a first postdoc, she
focused on the theoretical side, producing a mathematical
model complex enough to represent the physical processes at play yet simple enough that it could also be included in a global
climate model, she says.
One area of rapid growth — and a good illustration of the current trends — is the increased
focus on developing geographically precise
climate models that can forecast conditions one to several years out.
And by carefully measuring and
modeling the resulting changes in atmospheric composition, scientists could improve their estimate of how sensitive Earth's
climate is to CO2, said lead author Joyce Penner, a professor of atmospheric science at the University of Michigan whose work
focuses on improving global
climate models and their ability to
model the interplay between clouds and aerosol particles.
«Depending
on the
model aspect you
focus on, they can reproduce
climate features effectively — or not at all.
But most
models have
focused on short - term timescales, decades or a few centuries at most, says Anders Levermann, a
climate scientist at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany and co-author of the new
climate scientist at the Potsdam Institute for
Climate Impact Research in Germany and co-author of the new
Climate Impact Research in Germany and co-author of the new paper.
Currently, ACME collaborators are
focused on developing an advanced
climate model capable of simulating 80 years of historic and future
climate variability and change in 3 weeks or less of computing effort.
The latter is something that current
climate change
models can not capture because they do not
focus on the community as a whole.
«A lot of the
focus in
climate models has been
on black carbon, because it's a pollutant and it's very dark,» Doherty said.
The researchers suggest that
modeling the effects of future
climate variations should
focus on human response to transient short - term changes in addition to the traditional
focus on long - term mean changes in
climate.
This study is
focused on three specific aspects: to assess the impact of vegetation density
on energy efficiency of a roof located at a Mediterranean coastal
climate; develop a simplified numeral
model that can estimate thermal resistance values equivalent to plants and substrates, and finally, to verify the numerical
model by using experimental data.
The National Weather Service outlooks, and most
climate models,
focus primarily
on the connection between El Nino / La Nina (cycles of warmer and cooler water temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean) and weather in the continental U.S..
15:45 - 16:00 Integrated
climate - proxy
modeling using the isotope - enabled SPEEDY - IER with a
focus on tropical
climate Sylvia Dee, David Noone, Julien Emile - Geay, Nikolaus Buenning
Now her interests encompass geoengineering,
climate mitigation and
model intercomparisons, with a
focus on understanding the ever - complex interactions among biophysical and biogeochemical feedbacks.
However, to make
climate models more accurate, we are
focused on developing a better understanding of the dynamics of organic aerosols formed from plant - based organic vapors and their interaction with aerosols emitted from human activities,» said Dr. Chen Song, a PNNL atmospheric scientist.
These programs
focus on climate, aerosol and cloud physics; global and regional scale
modeling; integrated assessment of global change; and complex regional meteorology and chemistry.
Studies of
climate change using global
climate models with a
focus on changes in the hydrological cycle.
DOE's Accelerated
Climate Modeling for Energy (ACME) project is focused on how global water cycles, water resources, biogeochemical cycles, and rapidly changing ice or snow interact with climate systems and climate
Climate Modeling for Energy (ACME) project is
focused on how global water cycles, water resources, biogeochemical cycles, and rapidly changing ice or snow interact with
climate systems and climate
climate systems and
climate climate change.
Many
climate model simulations
focus on the amount of warming caused by emissions sustained over decades or centuries, but the timing of temperature increases caused by particular emission has been largely overlooked.
While Pollard's research
focuses on understanding the microbiome through bioinformatics and
modeling, other projects study human disorders such as diabetes and asthma, the impact of the ocean and soil
on climate change, and the influence of plants, animals, and water
on food production.
Future emission scenarios used as input to
climate models are derived using integrated assessment
models, and
focus on greenhouse gas emissions.
Proposed campaigns should
focus on research that addresses the ARM mission of improving the understanding and representation of clouds and aerosols in
climate and earth system
models, as well as their interactions and coupling with Earth's surface.
And at the Met Office, we're really
focused on two aspects of improving
climate models.
Such
models focus on changes in the distribution or extent of species» «
climate space», but the broad range of
climate - change - related stresses that affect population ecology and physiology and that may have consequences at ecosystem and community levels [12] are not fully reflected.
This last article presents IDRA's major findings in the classroom level indicators,
focusing on the program
model, classroom
climate, curriculum and instruction, teacher expectations, and program articulation.
The aim is to translate research into practice by establishing meaningful and relevant guidelines, programs and services that support a
model for whole school improvement with a
focus on school
climate.
The Community Schools
model has been implemented across the country, showing that authentic engagement and shared leadership, combined with coordinated community partnerships
focused on equity, can improve educational outcomes, school
climate, and investment in local neighborhoods.
The last two lessons
focus on model - based
climate change projections in relation to the possible fates of different regional species of vegetation.
In reply to Lynn, I'd also find it useful, if there was some
focus on modelling the positive aspects of
climate change.
Presentations
focused on deepening inequality, the evidence for dangerous
climate change, population trends, urban problems, new economic
models and more.
Using
models to distinguish between the forcing histories is thus likely to require a tighter
focus on regional changes, or in
climate patterns, more than the just the mean temperature.
Focusing especially
on anything in that which might enhance our solving the coming
climate change catastrophe before it happens or enabling
climate models to be enhanced in their predictive power.
This is of course one big reason why
climate science has
focussed on this particular metric — because the
models can do a reliable and credible (validated through hindcasting recent and paleo
climates) job at it!
There's been a lot of push back from the
climate modeling community over the work (and of course from
climate campaigners
focused on «bombshells» and «shockers «-RRB-.
Ironically, while some continue to attack this nearly decade - old work, the actual scientific community has moved well beyond the earlier studies,
focusing now
on the detailed patterns of
modeled and reconstructed
climate changes in past centuries, and insights into the roles of external forcing and internal modes of variability (such as the North Atlantic Oscillation or «NAO» and the «El Nino / Southern Oscillation» or «ENSO») in explaining this past variability.
Also, even though we
focus on the ensemble - mean response, the range of
model responses is also interesting and important to understand; and the
climate model response of large - scale environmental conditions needs to be more explicitly connected to the response of tropical storms.
We've seen a bizarre (well, if you know the
climate denialist scene, not so bizarre) misreporting about Millar et al.,
focusing on the claim that
climate models have supposedly overestimated global warming.
As
climate models had now proven the existence of
climate change, the organization's next
focus will be
on a different vantage point: «What do we do about it [and] how can we find solutions for the
climate we will be living with?»
His work at the Pacific
Climate Impacts Consortium focuses on the impacts of internal climate variability on the hydrological cycle of British Columbia and streamflow temperature mo
Climate Impacts Consortium
focuses on the impacts of internal
climate variability on the hydrological cycle of British Columbia and streamflow temperature mo
climate variability
on the hydrological cycle of British Columbia and streamflow temperature
modeling.
But even as the certainty of the
models improved, Exxon
focused instead
on their uncertainty in its campaign to delay
climate action.
The Office will support the development of
climate models and projections of future
climate, facilitate cooperation between regions and countries, and promote knowledge exchange and capacity building with a particular
focus on developing regions.
Comparing
model predictions of GHG - induced warming with recent natural temperature fluctuations also indicates the potential scale of man - made
climate change.Early
modelling experiments
focused on the total long - term change resulting from a doubling of carbon dioxide (CO2) levels.
Newspaper reports of
climate modelling experiments normally
focus on predicted changes in global temperature.
A new generation of
models is needed in all three of
climate science, impact and economics with a still stronger
focus on lives and livelihoods, including the risks of large - scale migration and conflicts.
The scientific
focus is
on better understanding of
climate variability and
climate trends using paleo (past)-
climate data, instrumental data, and numerical
models and theory to assess the importance of internal and external forcing of past, present and future
climate.
Over the last three decades, five IPCC «assessment reports,» dozens of computer
models, scores of conferences and thousands of papers
focused heavily
on human fossil fuel use and carbon dioxide and greenhouse gas emissions, as being responsible for «dangerous» global warming,
climate change,
climate «disruption,» and almost every «extreme» weather or
climate event.