Looking at the past 50,000 years of temperature and CO2 we can see that changes in CO2
follow changes in temperature.
Clearly any changes in CO2 levels HAD TO
follow changes in temperature, at least initially, and this is obvious, well understood in general terms and no one is trying to hide the fact, for goodness sake, as Monckton implies.
Clearly any changes in CO2 levels HAD TO
follow changes in temperature, at least initially, and this is obvious, well understood in general terms and no one is trying to hide the fact, for goodness sake, as Monckton implies.
However, based on Antarctic ice core data, changes in CO2
follow changes in temperatures by about 600 to 1000 years, as illustrated in Figure 1 below.
On the contrary, he explained to the perplexed MPs: «The CO2 value
follows the change in temperature, not the other way around.»
Not exact matches
RHIC was initially the only machine
in the world capable of re-creating the environmental conditions and
temperature adjustments
in which matter can rapidly
change forms, just like
in the microseconds
following the Big Bang.
They drew on estimates of how fast
temperatures changed in the thousands of years
following that maximum, indentifying regions of rapid climate shifts.
While the study suggests past surges
in temperature have boosted conflicts, it doesn't necessarily
follow that steady warming due to climate
change over the coming decades will have the same effect.
Relevant to this issue, there is currently a debate among paleoclimatologists with respect to the
following condundrum: A dramatic recession of the more - than - 11,000 year old ice cap of Mt. Kilimanjaro
in tropical East Africa is taking place despite any clear evidence that
temperatures have exceeded the melting threshold (one explanation is that the
changes are largely associated with a drying atmosphere
in the region; the most recent evidence, however, seems to indicate that melting may indeed now be underway).
He's playing the tired game of pretending that because CO2 levels clearly
followed temperature changes in glacial / interglacial transitions, at least initially, that ergo CO2 levels can ONLY
follow temperature changes.
Climate
change impact analyses typically project increasing pest survival and crop damage with increasing
temperatures (e.g., NCA 2014a), and wheat stem sawfly (WSS) may well be generally consistent with that pattern, but the
following caveats help to show why generalizations across all landscapes
in Montana, for all insect pests, are risky.
A small
change in average global
temperature leads to a dramatic
change in the frequency of extreme events.23 24 25 The
following graphs
in Figure 5 help to illustrate this point.
In preparation for in situ hybridization, tissue specimen slides at room temperature were deparaffinized by soaking in three changes of Hemo - De solvent (Scientific Safety Solvents, Keller, TX) for 5 min each, followed by two 1 - minute rinses in 100 % ethanol, an incubation in a solution of 45 % formic acid (Fisher) / 0.3 % hydrogen peroxide (Calbiochem) for 15 min, and a rinse in water for 3 mi
In preparation for
in situ hybridization, tissue specimen slides at room temperature were deparaffinized by soaking in three changes of Hemo - De solvent (Scientific Safety Solvents, Keller, TX) for 5 min each, followed by two 1 - minute rinses in 100 % ethanol, an incubation in a solution of 45 % formic acid (Fisher) / 0.3 % hydrogen peroxide (Calbiochem) for 15 min, and a rinse in water for 3 mi
in situ hybridization, tissue specimen slides at room
temperature were deparaffinized by soaking
in three changes of Hemo - De solvent (Scientific Safety Solvents, Keller, TX) for 5 min each, followed by two 1 - minute rinses in 100 % ethanol, an incubation in a solution of 45 % formic acid (Fisher) / 0.3 % hydrogen peroxide (Calbiochem) for 15 min, and a rinse in water for 3 mi
in three
changes of Hemo - De solvent (Scientific Safety Solvents, Keller, TX) for 5 min each,
followed by two 1 - minute rinses
in 100 % ethanol, an incubation in a solution of 45 % formic acid (Fisher) / 0.3 % hydrogen peroxide (Calbiochem) for 15 min, and a rinse in water for 3 mi
in 100 % ethanol, an incubation
in a solution of 45 % formic acid (Fisher) / 0.3 % hydrogen peroxide (Calbiochem) for 15 min, and a rinse in water for 3 mi
in a solution of 45 % formic acid (Fisher) / 0.3 % hydrogen peroxide (Calbiochem) for 15 min, and a rinse
in water for 3 mi
in water for 3 min.
First let's define the «equilibrium climate sensitivity» as the «equilibrium
change in global mean surface
temperature following a doubling of the atmospheric (equivalent) CO2 concentration.
Thermography as a physiologic test, demonstrates heat patterns that are strongly indicative of breast abnormality, the test can detect subtle
changes in breast
temperature that indicate a variety of breast diseases and abnormalities and once abnormal heat patterns are detected
in the breast,
follow - up procedures including mammography are necessary to rule out or properly diagnose cancer and a host of other breast diseases such as fibrocystic syndrome, Pagets disease, etc..
With 755 horsepower the 2019 Chevrolet Corvette zr1 is the most powerful Corvette ever it's also the most technologically advanced behind me are the rolling s's at Road Atlanta and we're here to see if we can reach to the supercar levels of performance afforded by this thing's massive power big tires and the tall wing on the back after that we'll take to the streets to see if a car this powerful can behave itself
in public this is a monster of a car I've had some brief track opportunities moving this morning to get used to the pace of this machine which is phenomenal we're gonna warm up as we get out to the road Atlanta and sort of build up to the pace that this car can operate at now initially when you hop
in this car you have this shrine to the engine right above you you see the line of the hood it kind of dominates the center of the view you can see over it it doesn't affect visibility but it's immediately obvious and that kind of speaks to what makes this car special it's a monster of an engine listen to that [Music] that is tremendous tremendous acceleration and incredible power but what I finding so far my brief time here at the Atlanta is that everything else
in the car is rut has risen to match hurt me while I lay into it on the back straight look you know 150 mile - an - hour indicated we're going to ease up a little bit on it because I need to focus on talking rather than driving but like I was saying the attributes of the rest of the car the steering the braking capability the grip every system of this car is riding to the same level of the power and I think that's what makes it really impressive initially this is undoubtedly a mega mega fast car but it's one that doesn't terrify you with its performance potential there's a level of electronic sophistication that is unparalleled at this price point but it's hard not to get you know totally slipped away by the power of this engine so that's why I keep coming back to it this car has an electronically controlled limited slip differential it has shocks filled with magnetically responsive fluid that can react faster to inputs and everything this car has a super sophisticated stability control system that teaches you how to drive it quick but also makes you go faster we haven't even gotten into exploring it yet because the limits of this car are so high that frankly it takes a while to grow into it but [Music] I think what's impressive about this car is despite how fast it is it is approachable you can buy this car to track dates with it and grow with it as a driver and as an owner I think that's a really special [Music] because you will never be more talented than this car is fast ever unless you are a racing driver casually grazing under 50 miles an hour on this straight okay I'm just going to enjoy driving this now [Music][Applause][Music] this particular Corvette zr1 comes with the cars track performance package a lot of those
changes happen underneath the sheet metal but one of the big differences that is immediately obvious is this giant carbon fiber wing now the way this thing is mounted is actually into the structure of the vehicle and it makes you know loading the rear hatch a bit more difficult but we're assuming that's okay if you're looking for the track performance this thing delivers also giving you that performance are these Michelin Pilot Sport cup tires which are basically track oriented tires that you can drive on the street but as we wake our way to the front of the thing what really matters is what's under the hood that's right there's actually a hole
in the hood of this thing and that's because this engine is so tall it's tall because it has a larger supercharger and a bunch of added cooling on it to help it you know keep at the right
temperature the supercharger is way larger than the one on the zo six and it has a more cooling capacity and the downside is it's taller so it pops literally through the hood the cool thing is from the top you can actually see this shake when you're looking at it from you know a camera from the top of the vehicle this all makes for 755 horsepower making this the most powerful Corvette ever now what's important about that is this not just the power but likewise everything
in the car has to be built to accommodate and be able to drive to the level of speed this thing can develop that's why you had the massive cooling so I had the aerodynamics and that's why I had the electronic sophistication inside [Applause] we had a lot of time to take this car on the track yesterday and I've had the night to think about things Matt today two crews on the road and see how this extreme performance machine deals with the sort of more civil minded stuff of street driving the track impressions remain this thing is unquestionably one of the most capable cars you can get from a dealer these days a lot of that's besides the point now because we're on the street we have speed limits they have the ever - present threat of law enforcement around every corner so the question is what does this car feel like
in public when you slow this car down it feels like a more powerful Corvette you don't get much tram lining from these big wheels though we as the front end doesn't want to
follow grooves
in the pavement it is louder it is a little firmer but it's certainly livable on a day to day basis that's surprising for a vehicle of this capability normally these track oriented cars are so hardcore that you wouldn't want to drive them to the racetrack but let's face it you spend more time driving to the track than you do on the track and the fact that this thing works well
in both disciplines is really impressive I can also dial everything back and cruise and not feel like I'm getting punished for driving a hardcore track machine that's a that's a really nice accomplishment that's something that you won't find
in cars that are this fast and costs maybe double this much the engine
in this car dominates the entire experience you can't miss the engine and the whole friend this car is sort of a shrine to it the way it pops out of the hood the way it's covered with coolers around the sides it is the experience of this car and that does make driving this thing special and also the fact that it doesn't look half bad either
in fact I think it has some of the coolest looking wheels currently available on a new car this car as we mentioned this car has the track package the track package on this car gives you what they call competition bucket seats which are a little wide for my tastes but I'm you know not the widest person
in the world this automatic transmission works well I mean there's so much torque again out of this engine that it can be very smooth and almost imperceptible its clunky on occasion I think I'd might opt for the manual although Chevy tells me about 80 % of its customers will go for the automatic I don't think they're gonna be disappointed and that's gonna be the faster transmission drag strip on the street - and on the racetrack man it was a little bit more satisfying to my taste though we've talked about the exhaust I have it set
in the track setting let's quiet it down a little bit so you can hear the difference now I've set that separately from everything else so let's put it stealth what happened to the engine sound that's pretty that's pretty amazing man stealth is really stealth and then go back to track Wow actually a really big difference that's that's pretty great the Corvette has always been a strong value proposition and nowhere is that more evident than this zr1 giving you a nearly unbeatable track performance per dollar now the nice thing is on the road this doesn't feel like a ragged edge track machine either you could genuinely drive it every day the compromises are few and that's what makes this car so special if you like what you see keep it tuned right here and be sure to visit Edmunds.com [Music]
In 2016, the tolino vision 4 HD was
followed by the market launch of a new display feature: using «smartLight» technology, the color
temperature optimally adapts to the light conditions at any time of day or night and
changes from cold white to warm white light as the day progresses.
When viewing the work, the eye of the viewer can
follow a color across the picture plane, he can see how the color moves and vibrates as it
changes gradually
in value,
temperature, intensity or hue.
There are a large number of recent peer - reviewed scientific publications demonstrating how solar activity can affect our climate (Benestad, 2002), such as how
changes in the UV radiation
following the solar activity affect the stratospheric ozone concentrations (1999) and how earth's
temperatures respond to
changes in the total solar irradiance (Meehl, 2003).
Isotopious (# 50) argues that the hockey stick (a thousand years of stable
temperatures followed by a rapid rise) does not constitute evidence of climate
change, that it is
in fact «absolutely nothing out of the ordinary».
I find only that upward
changes in ocean
temperatures are
followed about 6 - 12 months later by upward
changes in CO2.
So, it
follows on phtysical grounds that any
temperature change at the surface gets amplified aloft which means that the variability
in temperature (solely the «dry» energy term) is larger aloft than at the surface.
But
changes in precipitation
in the region — brought about by a combination of deforestation and warmer
temperatures — are making things difficult to
follow their traditional ways.
CO2
in ice core records has
followed not proceeded
temperature changes, indication that it is a proxy of
temperature not a cause of the
change.
The
follow - up to MBH98 by Mann et al (1999) was entitled «Northern Hemisphere
Temperatures During the Past Millennium: Inferences, Uncertainties, and Limitations» (italics added for emphasis), and indeed emphasized the substantial remaining uncertainties
in proxy - based estimates of Northern Hemisphere
temperature change in past centuries.
It could be smaller than that or larger, depending on the way that
temperature varies with height; but it will not be larger than twice that, provided that a temporary saturation doesn't happen and then significantly reverse
in the span of a single doubling —
in other words, provided that the process of any temporary saturation and
following reversal (wherein BTc0 increases, halts, and then decreases, or
in the opposite order) can be sufficiently resolved by the fractional
change in CO2.
The argument that larger sensitivity for natural (mainly solar and volcanic) goes at the cost of the sensitivity for natural and man - made greenhouse gases, or enhanced variability during pre-industrial times, would result
in a redistribution of weight towards the role of natural factors
in forcing
temperature changes, seems to rely on a model like the
following: T = a * ANTHRO + b * NAT
Relevant to this issue, there is currently a debate among paleoclimatologists with respect to the
following condundrum: A dramatic recession of the more - than - 11,000 year old ice cap of Mt. Kilimanjaro
in tropical East Africa is taking place despite any clear evidence that
temperatures have exceeded the melting threshold (one explanation is that the
changes are largely associated with a drying atmosphere
in the region; the most recent evidence, however, seems to indicate that melting may indeed now be underway).
Sufficiently vigorous convection will tend to maintain an adiabatic (dry or moist, depending) lapse rate; near the surface there can be a superadiabatic lapse rate when the differential radiant heating is strong enough, so the
temperature profile diverges from the convective lapse rate; however, the surface
temperature still generally tends to
follow changes in the troposphere — see 63.
The second example
follows a few other papers
in challenging the assumptions behind constraints on the Charney sensitivity derived from historical
changes in temperature and forcings.
Since Te does not
change, it then
follows that the stratospheric
temperature change has to be a cooling effect
in order to maintain SW / LW energy balance and to conserve energy.
[Response I'm not sure what point you are trying to make here, but if you feel that you can only assess whether
temperatures are
changing by looking at 30 - year averages, consider the
following: Global mean
temperature anomalies (
in degrees C, relative to 1961 - 90 reference period): 1885 - 1914: -0.35; 1915 - 1944: -0.18; 1945 - 1974: -0.07; 1975 - 2004: +0.21.
Dr Roy Spencer writes: As seen
in the
following graphic, over the period of the satellite record (1979 - 2012), both the surface and satellite observations produce linear
temperature trends which are below... Climate
Change Is Real.
The equilibrium climate sensitivity refers to the equilibrium
change in average global surface air
temperature following a unit
change in the radiative forcing.
The
following graph is annual NINO3.4 SST anomaly compared to the annual
changes in global
temperature.
There is no tendensy that is only
in the beginning of a
temperature change that the CO2
follows.
If GHG levels do not
change from day to night, maximum and minimum
temperatures will not
change, except
in relation to insolation
changes as the Earth
follows its elliptical orbit around the Sun, etc..
If you graph the co2 ppm per year with the
change in temperature, there is no doubt that co2 is
following temperature.
There are numerous other articles on this co-relation between temp and CO2 as well, but there seems to be broad agreement that initial
changes in temperature are
followed by
changes in CO2 levels, but once CO2
changes feeds back into the system any subsequent
temperature increase may well be magnified.
In general, the lecturers assumed that the trends of the
temperature changes followed the trends of the atmospheric CO2
changes.
From the article: A new study released Monday found that warming
temperatures in Pacific Ocean waters off the coast of North America over the past century closely
followed natural
changes in the wind, not increases
in greenhouse gases related to global warming.
As I mentioned previously, the recent IPCC report has plenty of detractors and failed to mention the issue of melting methyl hydrates and methane emissions from melting permafrost, over strong objections, which the June, 2013 IEA - WEO
follow - up climate
change report did include when it forecast a 3.6 - 5.3 degree Celsius jump
in average global
temperatures by 2100.
Ghil, 2013, explored the idea of abrupt climate
change with an energy balance climate model that
follows the evolution of global surface - air
temperature with
changes in the global energy balance.
If there has been only a fairly small
change in ocean heat flux over the last century and the ratio of global increase
in surface
temperature to increase
in forcing is low (as the evidence certainly suggests), then it
follows that climate sensitivity is low — perhaps of the order of 1.5 C.
Bjorn Lomborg wrote an article
in The Wall Street Journal titled «An Overheated Climate Alarm» which claims that cold
temperatures are more deadly than heat,
following the publication of the US Global
Change Research Program's (US GCRP) overview of the impact of climate change on public health
Change Research Program's (US GCRP) overview of the impact of climate
change on public health
change on public health: [14]
equilibrium climate sensitivity refers to the equilibrium
change in the annual mean global surface
temperature following a doubling of the atmospheric equivalent carbon dioxide concentration.
-- Even during glacial and interglacial periods — mainly being caused by orbital
changes — CO2 content
in atmosphere have
followed temperature changes.
The Little Ice Age
following the Medieval Warm Period ended due to a slight increase
in solar output (
changes in both thermohaline circulation and volcanic activity also contributed), but that increase has since reversed, and global
temperature and solar activity are now going
in opposite directions.
Leaf area index, which is also enhanced by increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide, was the second most important factor, contributing an additional 21.8 percent,
followed by climate
change (precipitation and air
temperature together) and the fraction of photosynthetically active radiation, which accounted for the remaining 18.3 and 14.6 percent increase
in NPP, respectively.
If CO2
change follows temperature change in every record, why are all computer models programmed with the opposite relationship?