Upland (i.e., well - drained, oxic) soils are a net sink
for atmospheric methane; as methane diffuses from the atmosphere into these soils, methane consuming (i.e., methanotrophic) bacteria oxidize it.
The baseline
for atmospheric methane used in the study is just under two parts per million — a figure accepted by most experts as well within the range of naturally occurring gas levels.
The IPCC Third Assessment Report projections
for atmospheric methane concentrations, CO2 emissions and atmospheric concentrations, and resultant temperature increases (i.e. 1.4 to 5.8 degrees Celsius from 1990 to 2100) constitute the greatest fraud in the history of environmental science:
«Such information may not only be relevant
for atmospheric methane budget studies but may also be important for understanding the leaking potential of petroleum systems, whether they are commercial or not.»
Not exact matches
The main objectives of this mission are to search
for evidence of
methane and other trace
atmospheric gases that could be signatures of active biological or geological processes and to test key technologies in preparation
for ESA's contribution to subsequent missions to Mars.
In addition to the isotope concentration, the air bubbles trapped in the ice cores allow
for measurement of the
atmospheric concentrations of trace gases, including greenhouse gases carbon dioxide,
methane, and nitrous oxide.
The scientists knew that under
atmospheric pressure all compounds of carbon, hydrogen, and oxygen, except
for methane, water, and carbon dioxide, are thermodynamically unstable.
During the early 2000s, environmental scientists studying
methane emissions noticed something unexpected: the global concentrations of
atmospheric methane (CH4)-- which had increased
for decades, driven by
methane emissions from fossil fuels and agriculture — inexplicably leveled off.
For months of weekly press conferences, reporters had been asking about Curiosity's analyses of
atmospheric methane on Mars.
The amount of
atmospheric methane has remained relatively stable
for about a decade, but concentrations began to rise again in 2007.
For example, research in Los Angeles is showing that small
methane leaks in homes between the gas meter and heaters and stoves could be leading to higher
atmospheric methane concentrations there, he said, whereas other cities may have old, leaking gas pipes.
Rice serves as the staple food
for more than half of the world's population, but it's also the one of the largest humanmade sources of
atmospheric methane, a potent greenhouse gas.
THE rise in
atmospheric carbon dioxide predicted
for this century could blunt the appetite of soil microbes that consume a large chunk of
atmospheric methane, adding to the greenhouse effect, claim researchers in North Carolina.
http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/1994JGR….9916913L «Concentration and 13C records of
atmospheric methane in New Zealand and Antarctica: Evidence
for changes in
methane sources» Lowe et al 1994
On March 19, 2008, astronomers using the Hubble Space Telescope announced confirmation of the presence of water and the detection of more
methane in the atmosphere of the planet than would be predicted by conventional
atmospheric models
for «hot Jupiters» (Hubble news release and videos; ESA news release and videos; and Swain et al, 2008 — more below).
It's correct that an extra
methane molecule is something like 25 times more influential than an extra CO2 molecule, although that ratio is primarily determined by the background
atmospheric concentration of either gas, and GWP typically assumes that forcing is linear in emission pulse, which is not valid
for very large perturbations.
For decades,
atmospheric scientists cast
methane in the leading role.
Here we present a chronology
for the deep part of the core (67.8 - 31.2 ka BP), which is based on stratigraphic matching to annual - layer - counted Greenland ice cores using globally well - mixed
atmospheric methane.
... The Earth's
atmospheric methane concentration has increased by about 150 % since 1750, and it accounts
for 20 % of the total radiative forcing from all of the long - lived and globally mixed greenhouse gases (these gases don't include water vapor which is by far the largest component of the greenhouse effect).
Bruhwiler, L., et al. (2014), CarbonTracker - CH4: An assimilation system
for estimating emissions of
atmospheric methane, Atmos.
Response: I recommend you read the paper (or a recent popular summary)
for the detailed answers, but essentially Hansen posits that concentrations of key
atmospheric forcings (especially
methane and black carbon) can be realistically controlled more effectively than the standard scenarios allow.
Evaluating
atmospheric methane inversion model results
for Pallas, northern Finland.
The study shows that during drilling, as much as 34 grams of
methane per second were spewing into the air from seven natural gas well pads in southwest Pennsylvania — up to 1,000 times the EPA estimate
for methane emissions during drilling, Purdue
atmospheric chemistry professor and study lead author Paul Shepson said in a statement.
TRUTH: Only a small percentage of
atmospheric methane comes from ruminant flatulence; the largest source is the burning of fossil fuels
for electricity, heat, and transportation.
We find (i) measurements at all scales show that official inventories consistently underestimate actual CH4 [
methane] emissions, with the natural gas and oil sectors as important contributors; (ii) many independent experiments suggest that a small number of «super-emitters» could be responsible
for a large fraction of leakage; (iii) recent regional
atmospheric studies with very high emissions rates are unlikely to be representative of typical natural gas system leakage rates; and (iv) assessments using 100 - year impact indicators show system - wide leakage is unlikely to be large enough to negate climate benefits of coal - to - natural gas substitution.
The climate models as described here won't produce glacial / interglacial cycles if run
for a long time, and that is because they treat the
atmospheric content of trace IR - absorbing gases (CO2,
methane and N2O) as external forcings.
http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/1994JGR….9916913L «Concentration and 13C records of
atmospheric methane in New Zealand and Antarctica: Evidence
for changes in
methane sources» Lowe et al 1994
As an example of the possible extreme change in radiative forcing in a 50 - year time horizon
for Isaken et al (2011)'s 4 x CH4 (i.e. quadrupling the current
atmospheric methane burden) case of additional emission of 0.80 GtCH4 / yr is 2.2 Wm - 2, and as the radiative forcing
for the current
methane emissions of 0.54 GtCH4 / yr is 0.48 Wm - 2, this give an updated GWP
for methane, assuming the occurrence of Isaksen et al's 4 x CH4 case in 2040, would be: 33 (per Shindell et al 2009, note that AR5 gives a value of 34) times (2.2 / [0.8 + 0.48]-RRB- divided by (0.54 / 0.48) = 50.
For example, Isaken et al (2011) quantify how as
atmospheric methane concentrations increase, the global warming potential, GWP, of
methane also increases (see references at end of post).
The
methane chart
for Barrow, Alaska confirms a big jump in
atmospheric methane in the most recent data.
The IPCC Third Assessment Report's (TAR's) projections
for methane atmospheric concentrations, carbon dioxide emissions and
atmospheric concentrations, and resultant temperature increases constitute the greatest fraud in the history of environmental science.
As Steve mentioned in his e-mail, our ability to measure
atmospheric methane has been subject to tight budget constraints
for many years.
Also, haven't
atmospheric methane levels been dropping
for around ten years?
For example, according to the IPCC, there is approximately a 50/50 chance that
atmospheric methane concentrations will rise to approximately 2500 ppb by 2060, from a value of approximately 1750 ppb in 2000.
If so, I think we want to include tightly coupled chemical and biological processes, in that case —
for example, the chemical fate of
atmospheric methane over time, the effects of increasing
atmospheric CO2 on oceanic acid - base chemistry, and the response of the biological components of the carbon cycle to increased temperatures and a changing hydrologic cycle.
Evaluating
atmospheric methane inversion model results
for Pallas, northern Finland.
Exceeding the 400 parts per million level of worldwide
atmospheric carbon dioxide later this decade continues a troubling trend which brings the world closer to the potential to reach a global warming tipping point in which global warming accelerates rapidly as the potent greenhouse gas
methane is liberated from the frozen state that it has been in
for millions of years.
On longer timescales,
atmospheric composition and climate have been intertwined
for billions of years, especially via
methane, which is both a powerful greenhouse gas and is chemically reactive.
Bruhwiler, L., et al. (2014), CarbonTracker - CH4: An assimilation system
for estimating emissions of
atmospheric methane, Atmos.
Isro will launch two satellites — one
for atmospheric change and another to study the
methane and carbon dioxide content in the atmosphere, crucial
for climate change study by 2011, chairman G. Madhavan Nair said.
The amount of
atmospheric methane had remained relatively stable
for about a decade, but concentrations began to rise again in 2007.
Last year
atmospheric methane was the subject of 600 peer - reviewed publications, compared with 2,000
for CO2.
1 Positive 1.1 Carbon cycle feedbacks 1.1.1 Arctic
methane release 1.1.1.1 Methane release from melting permafrost peat bogs 1.1.1.2 Methane release from hydrates 1.1.2 Abrupt increases in atmospheric methane 1.1.3 Decomposition 1.1.4 Peat decomposition 1.1.5 Rainforest drying 1.1.6 Forest fires 1.1.7 Desertification 1.1.8 CO2 in the oceans 1.1.9 Modelling results 1.1.9.1 Implications for climate policy 1.2 Cloud feedback 1.3 Gas release 1.4 Ice - albedo feedback 1.5 Water vapor feedback 2 Negative 2.1 Carbon cycle 2.1.1 Le Chatelier's principle 2.1.2 Chemical weathering 2.1.3 Net Primary Productivity 2.2 Lapse rate 2.3 Blackbody ra
methane release 1.1.1.1
Methane release from melting permafrost peat bogs 1.1.1.2 Methane release from hydrates 1.1.2 Abrupt increases in atmospheric methane 1.1.3 Decomposition 1.1.4 Peat decomposition 1.1.5 Rainforest drying 1.1.6 Forest fires 1.1.7 Desertification 1.1.8 CO2 in the oceans 1.1.9 Modelling results 1.1.9.1 Implications for climate policy 1.2 Cloud feedback 1.3 Gas release 1.4 Ice - albedo feedback 1.5 Water vapor feedback 2 Negative 2.1 Carbon cycle 2.1.1 Le Chatelier's principle 2.1.2 Chemical weathering 2.1.3 Net Primary Productivity 2.2 Lapse rate 2.3 Blackbody ra
Methane release from melting permafrost peat bogs 1.1.1.2
Methane release from hydrates 1.1.2 Abrupt increases in atmospheric methane 1.1.3 Decomposition 1.1.4 Peat decomposition 1.1.5 Rainforest drying 1.1.6 Forest fires 1.1.7 Desertification 1.1.8 CO2 in the oceans 1.1.9 Modelling results 1.1.9.1 Implications for climate policy 1.2 Cloud feedback 1.3 Gas release 1.4 Ice - albedo feedback 1.5 Water vapor feedback 2 Negative 2.1 Carbon cycle 2.1.1 Le Chatelier's principle 2.1.2 Chemical weathering 2.1.3 Net Primary Productivity 2.2 Lapse rate 2.3 Blackbody ra
Methane release from hydrates 1.1.2 Abrupt increases in
atmospheric methane 1.1.3 Decomposition 1.1.4 Peat decomposition 1.1.5 Rainforest drying 1.1.6 Forest fires 1.1.7 Desertification 1.1.8 CO2 in the oceans 1.1.9 Modelling results 1.1.9.1 Implications for climate policy 1.2 Cloud feedback 1.3 Gas release 1.4 Ice - albedo feedback 1.5 Water vapor feedback 2 Negative 2.1 Carbon cycle 2.1.1 Le Chatelier's principle 2.1.2 Chemical weathering 2.1.3 Net Primary Productivity 2.2 Lapse rate 2.3 Blackbody ra
methane 1.1.3 Decomposition 1.1.4 Peat decomposition 1.1.5 Rainforest drying 1.1.6 Forest fires 1.1.7 Desertification 1.1.8 CO2 in the oceans 1.1.9 Modelling results 1.1.9.1 Implications
for climate policy 1.2 Cloud feedback 1.3 Gas release 1.4 Ice - albedo feedback 1.5 Water vapor feedback 2 Negative 2.1 Carbon cycle 2.1.1 Le Chatelier's principle 2.1.2 Chemical weathering 2.1.3 Net Primary Productivity 2.2 Lapse rate 2.3 Blackbody radiation
The study found that U.S.
methane emissions could account
for 30 to 60 percent of the global growth of
atmospheric methane over the past decade.
Industry, with the full support of the administration, continues the fait accompli of radically expanded natural gas fracking across the country, with serious unresolved issues about fugitive
atmospheric methane emissions and the potential
for contamination of drinking water aquifers — and with no adequate federal regulatory structure in place.
Simultaneous observations of
atmospheric ethane, compared with the ethane - to -
methane ratio in the pipeline gas delivered to the region, demonstrate that natural gas accounted
for ∼ 60 — 100 % of
methane emissions, depending on season.
For the authors of the paper to assess the spectral results against theory they needed to know the
atmospheric profile of temperature and humidity, as well as changes in the well - studied trace gases like CO2 and
methane.
An instantaneous release,
for example, would cause the
atmospheric methane concentration to spike immediately, then decay back toward the unperturbed value on a time scale of approximately one decade.
Understanding, quantifying, and tracking
atmospheric methane and emissions is essential
for addressing concerns and informing decisions that affect the climate, economy, and human health and safety.
The
atmospheric concentration of
methane above the Arctic is the highest measured
for the last 400,000 years, said the researchers.