Sentences with phrase «for betting against»

As a result, ACS has become a proxy for betting against Spain with over 30 % of the stock's free float being shorted.

I ordered those questions from least to most risky in order to properly frame the most commonplace reasons for betting against the market.

This system, which examines the sweet spot for betting against the public, has gone 147 - 84 ATS (63.6 %) all - time including an 11 - 7 ATS (61.1 %) record this season.

Miami received just 35 % of spread bets in this matchup, helping contribute to another profitable week for our betting against the public strategy.

Week 2 was very profitable for Betting Against the Public in the NFL as teams receiving 30 % or fewer of spread wagers went a staggering 7 - 2 (77.8 %).

On the other side of the spectrum, square sportsbooks shade their lines towards public favorites which has provided additional value for our betting against the public strategies.

There is fairly lopsided public betting in two of these four games, and we have observed mix results for betting against the public this year.

-- It was an awful week for betting against the public, with teams receiving less than 50 % of spread bets posting a 4 - 11 ATS record.

None of these teams are receiving more than 25 % of spread bets, which has been a sweet spot for betting against the public in the past.

This season the optimal threshold for betting against the public has been teams receiving 35 % of spread bets or less.

With this atrocious performance for betting against the public, teams receiving less than 30 % of spread bets have dropped to 28 - 29 ATS on the season.

The table below displays how this system has fared when we look at various datapoints for betting against the public.

Last week was one of the worst weeks for sportsbooks, and that typically correlates with poor returns for betting against the public.

With March Madness right around the corner, we did some digging and came up with the following results for betting against the public during the NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament.

Incredibly, the first profitable data point for betting against the public on the under comes on teams receiving 21 % of public bets or less (54 - 50, +3.41 units).

However, this season public betting actually becomes unprofitable at the 30 % level which is ironic because that's the ideal range for our betting against the public system.

Since 2005, Major League Baseball has arguably been the best sport for Betting Against the Public and the first half of the 2012 season was certainly no different, earning bettors +26.55 units.

Sports Insights» analysis of College Basketball Betting Trends shows the most profitable level for betting against the public in college basketball is when one team is receiving less than 25 % of spread bets.

Based on this data, the optimal range for betting against the public during the NHL Playoffs comes at the 40 % threshold where favorites have gone 35 - 14 (71.4 %) with +14.96 units won.

Since the beginning of the 2005 season, we have released a College Football Betting Against the Public Report before the start of each new season which examines the optimal threshold for betting against the public using the ticket percentages from our contributing sportsbooks.

This dragged down the cumulative average for Betting Against the Public to an underperformer (green row in the chart below).

But what are the sweet spots for betting against the public?

The screenshot above displays a basic system for betting against the public in baseball.

Using our Bet Labs software, we have examined over 27,000 games to determine the optimal level for betting against the public.

In order for betting against the public to be profitable, there can't be any sharp money indicators on their opponent.

Using our Bet Labs software, we analyzed over 13,000 NBA games played since the start of 2005 season to pinpoint the optimal level for betting against the public.

Once we had created this profitable baseline, we wanted to utilize our public betting trends to find the sweet spot for betting against the public.

To determine the sweet spots for betting against the public, our first move was to consult our Bet Labs software and create a new NHL betting system.

Before the start of every new season, we detail the sweet spots for betting against the public in baseball and we constantly preach the importance of shopping for the best line before placing your wager.

Although teams receiving less than 50 % of spread bets have posted a winning record, the optimal threshold for betting against the public comes at the 40 % level.

The Clippers are being hammered by sharp money and fit the ideal threshold for our betting against the public criteria, but there's yet another reason to like LA's other team this evening.

We were already well aware that our contrarian philosophy had been historically profitable, so our first objective was to find the ideal betting percentages for betting against the public.

Although this system has been historically profitable and shows a definitive edge for betting against the public, there are a number of filters we knew could be added to easily increase our return on investment.

Teams receiving less than 30 % of moneyline bets represent the optimal threshold for betting against the public during the regular season, but teams rarely fit that criterion during the playoffs.

Historically this has created value on underdogs and unders, but every season we update our betting percentage data to find the optimal betting percentage threshold for betting against the public.

We also reveal the optimal betting percentage threshold for betting against the public.

Using our Bet Labs software, we analyzed over 20,000 MLB games played since 2005 to pinpoint the ideal level for betting against the public.

While everyone loves a good underdog story, our reason for betting against the public has nothing to do with cheering for the little guy... and everything to do with value.

In order for betting against the public to be an effective strategy, oddsmakers need to take enough action on one side to warrant a line move.

This approach yields a 54.8 % winning percentage (bolded in the chart below)-- for betting against the public on Visiting teams at the 25 % «bet - against level.»

With the 2012 - 13 NBA season underway, we decided to fire up our Bet Labs software and update our analysis on the optimum levels for Betting Against the Public in the NBA.

In the chart below, we see that there is a slight bias for betting against the public.

Back in April we detailed a system for betting against the public during the regular season that has gone 314 - 380 (+112.45 units, 16 % ROI) since 2005 including a 16 - 13 mark (+11.72 units, 40 % ROI).

These percentages are integral for our betting against the public philosophy.

12/22/11 — Large NFL Home Underdogs Provide Late Season Value 12/14/11 — College Football Bowl Season 70/30 Betting System 12/07/11 — In the 13th Week He Rose Again: Public Bettors Back on Tebow 11/30/11 — Identifying False Line Moves 11/16/11 — How to Win with Steam Moves 11/09/11 — Optimum Levels for Betting Against the Public 11/02/11 — Boston Bruins Pounding the Public 10/19/11 — The Tim Tebow Effect 10/12/11 — Public Chasing Their Way to Even in 2011 10/05 / 11 — The Public's Love / Hate Relationship with the 2011 Buffalo Bills

When you drop that public betting percentage to 30 % — which is typically a key number for betting against the public — the number of games which fit the criteria drops sharply, as do the units earned.

We're more than halfway through the NBA season and already it has been a terrific year for betting against the public.

The table below shows the optimum levels for Betting Against the Public for College Football, NFL, NBA, College Basketball, MLB and NHL.

Bass is the founder and managing partner of Hayman Capital Management, where he gained a reputation for betting against subprime mortgages during the financial crisis.

Not exact matches

If someone would have put a wager on a reality show about a family - run small business selling products for duck hunters being a blockbuster success, I would have bet against it.