One was published several months ago in Geophysical Research Letters by James Screen and Ian Simmonds, who looked
for changes in jet stream characteristics using a different methodology than that of Francis and Vavrus.
Not exact matches
Virtually ice - free summers
in the arctic sea could well arrive by 2030, with troubling implications
for accelerated albedo feedback and possibly disruptive
changes in the
jet stream.
For instance,
changes in ocean convection over the north Atlantic would affect the
jet stream, which would have a dramatic effect upon regional precipitation, probably leading to acute drought
in the northern hemisphere, which will weaken and push the northern
jet stream toward the Arctic.
One minute
change in the atmospheric regime can slowly effect further
changes in the system and the chain reaction can occur, which,
in the end, could shift a
jet stream a few kilometres and create conditions possible
for storm intensification, which may result
in the flooding of an area where the storm would not have been or would have been greatly minimised.
But passengers won't just have to keep their seat belts locked, they may have to stay locked
in for longer, as
jet stream wind patterns
change.
I think there is evidence that AGW has caused the decline
in arctic sea ice, which may be responsible
for the
changes seen
in the paths of the
jet stream, which may be responsible
for the blocking high over Greenland which was responsible
for Sandy's left turn.
You say that there is evidence that AGW has caused the decline
in arctic sea ice, which may be responsible
for the
changes seen
in the paths of the
jet stream, which may be responsible
for the blocking high over Greenland which was responsible
for Sandy's left turn.
There have been many primarily anthropogenic
changes in the past, but the major
jet stream changes caused by the retreat of the North American Ice Shield seems to be much more determinative
for Holocene
changes in Saharan rainfall.
The reason
for the
change in the shape and positions of atmospheric
jet streams is,
for now, an issue of debate, with AA as one of the potential candidates (see, e.g., refs.
The advantage of recognising a reversed sign
for the solar effect high up
in the atmosphere is that it enables a scenario whereby the bottom up effects of ocean cycles and the top down effects of solar variability can be seen to be engaged
in a complex ever
changing dance with the primary climate response being
changes in the tropospheric air circulation systems to give us the observed natural climate variability via cyclical latitudinal shifts
in all the air circulation systems and notably the
jet streams.
This can
change the path of the
jet stream and slow it down, leaving weather systems
in the same place
for a longer time.
While climate
change does not affect Earth's tilt, it does have potential implications
for many of the other factors that influence winter weather
in the US, including Arctic sea ice, the polar
jet stream, the polar vortex, and El Niño.