Climatologist Stephen Sitch of the Met Office Hadley
Centre for Climate Prediction and Research in Exeter, England, and his colleagues used a climate model to examine the impact of rising O3 levels.
Claiming that the forced climate response must be larger than the weather noise
for climate prediction on all time scales is just silly.
«The deficit in groundwater is so severe that even with a normal or above - normal winter, you'd have to expect a two to three year recovery period,» said Dr. Matthew A. Barlow, an author of an analysis of the drought by the International Research
Institute for Climate Prediction at Columbia University.
Westerling and colleagues from the Scripps Institution, the Desert Research Institute and the U.S. Geological Survey used statistical methods
developed for climate predictions to analyze 20 years» worth of data.
As the increasing levels of anthropogenic CO2
used for climate prediction are essentially predicated by the increase in economic activity world - wide and the effects thereof, has the IPCC's SRES model been adjusted in the light of the criticisms made by Castles and Henderson in 2002/3 and subsequently presented at the IPCC TGCIA meeting in Amsterdam, Jan 2003?
Drift analysis is however
necessary for climate predictions given the non-stationarity of the systematic error along the forecast time as the model evolves from the initial condition space to the model climate.
Shukla, J., R. Hagedorn, B. Hoskins, J. Kinter, J. Marotzke, M. Miller, T. Palmer, and J. Slingo, 2009: Revolution in climate prediction is both necessary and possible: A declaration at the World Modelling
Summit for Climate Prediction.
RESEARCH to study natural variation, important
for climate predictions for agricultural industry and emergency services etc is scoffed at and simply NOT granted.
The graph, shown by James Murphy of the Met Office's Hadley
Centre for Climate Prediction, had a long «tail» at the higher end, reaching up to 6, 8 and even 10 °C.
Moreover, their results were nonsynchronous: «Their analysis doesn't consider whether the warm / cold periods occurred at the same time,» says Peter Stott, a climate scientist at the U.K.'s Hadley
Center for Climate Prediction and Research in Bracknell.
Climate connections: The International Research
Institute for Climate Prediction (IRI) specializes in providing climate prediction information in support of human development.
Crucifix, M. and J. Rougier, 2009, «On the use of simple dynamical
systems for climate predictions: A Bayesian prediction of the next glacial inception», Published in Eur.
The development of a fully coupled ocean - ice - atmosphere prediction system is a key issue for a better Outlook and
for climate predictions on a decadal time scale.
John Austin of Britains's Meteorological Office, Neal Butchart of the Hadley Centre
for Climate Prediction and Keith Shine of the University of Reading calculate that if the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere doubles — as is likely to happen by the middle of the 21st century — almost all the ozone in the lower stratosphere above the Arctic will be destroyed (Nature, 19 November, p 221).
The new modeling «is a definite advance,» says climate forecaster Doug Smith of the Hadley Centre
for Climate Prediction and Research in Exeter, U.K. «It's consistent with what we're finding from a range of models.
Chris Folland and colleagues at the British Meteorological Office's Hadley Centre
for Climate Prediction and Research in Berkshire have studied variations in sea - surface temperature in this region.
The kinder, gentler model from the Hadley Centre
for Climate Prediction and Research in the United Kingdom estimated a wetter, warmer future: Rainfall may increase 20 percent to 25 percent, mean annual temperatures could increase 2 degrees Fahrenheit by 2030 and 4 degrees by 2100.
After the 2003 summer heat wave in Europe, researchers from the University of Oxford and the Hadley Centre
for Climate Prediction and Research showed that human - induced rises in the concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere had at least doubled the risk of a heat wave exceeding the magnitude of the one experienced that summer.
Using climate models developed by Britain's Hadley Centre
for Climate Prediction and Research, Beerling and his collaborator, Professor Paul Valdes, at Bristol University, analyzed the meteorological parameters for the Eocene, including data on carbon dioxide.
Some 200 internationally renowned scientists from 30 countries gathered February 1 - 3 at the new headquarters of the Met Office's Hadley Centre
for Climate Prediction and Research, the UK's leading center for climate research.
It is the home of the Hadley Centre
for Climate Prediction and Research, one of ICAO's two World Area Forecast Centres (WAFC) and is also involved in other, broader meteorological research and in applied and operational meteorology.
Further confusing the policy debate, the models that scientists have come to rely on
for climate predictions have greatly overestimated warming.
David Parker, at the Hadley Centre
for Climate Prediction and Research in Berkshire, says ultimately, British children could have only virtual experience of snow.
Researchers abroad, most notably at Britain's Hadley Center
for Climate Prediction and Research, can run simultaneous sets of climate simulations that compress 1,000 years of climate change into a day of computer crunching.