Despite our expectation
for dollar weakness, technical and sentiment indicators suggest the potential for a near term dollar rebound.
Not exact matches
Progress to overhaul the U.S. tax system and President Donald Trump's choice to lead the Federal Reserve could be two major events that lead to
weakness for the
dollar, according to one currency expert.
Even if you do trust your car, take its strengths and
weaknesses into account, says Tara Baukus Mello, Bankrate's Driving
for Dollars columnist.
But
for now, the
weakness of the U.S.
dollar is another headache
for the European Central Bank.
In the last couple of months, oil has tended to move inversely to the
dollar, as
weakness in the currency makes it cheaper
for non-U.S. investors in crude to buy and vice versa.
Given the recent
weakness in the
dollar, the modest acceleration in hourly wages and stable leading indicators,
for now my view is that the U.S. economy will continue to expand in the coming quarters.
Dollar weakness, which continued into early January after its biggest annual drop since 2003, had helped to lift assets priced in the U.S. currency, with gold last week registering a fourth straight weekly gain
for the first time since April.
To the extent that
dollar weakness reflects disproportionate improvement abroad, it undercuts claims that US policy is the reason
for recent strong performance since Donald Trump is not president of the whole world.
Elsewhere in forex markets, it's a relatively calm day, with a slight correction in the risk - off trade that we have been monitoring
for weeks, as the yen is a tad lower today against all of its major peers, while the
Dollar couldn't gain on risk - on currencies, despite the equity
weakness.
Investors should monitor current events, as well as the ratio of national debt to gross domestic product, Treasury yields, credit ratings, and the
weaknesses of the
dollar for signs that default risk may be rising.
The
weakness in the U.S.
dollar is essentially a reflection of very weak demand conditions in the U.S., both
for goods, and
for U.S. security investments by foreigners.
With
dollar weakness complicating the investment case
for U.S. fixed income assets, flows to U.S. Bond Funds were close to neutral going into March as investors pulled back from all the major groups except Emerging Markets Hard Currency Bond Funds...
The concerted weakening in commodity prices already suggests a global force to this economic downturn, while further
weakness in the U.S.
dollar would suggest that demand
for U.S. goods and securities was softening even more sharply than internationally.
Following a January rally, the global commodities complex underwent declines in February before partially recovering in March;
for the first quarter as a whole, the benchmark Thomson Reuters CoreCommodity CRB Index (CRB) gained 0.8 % on a price - only basis.1 Among the 19 component commodities tracked by the CRB, advancers had a slight edge over decliners, buoyed by growth in global economies and
weakness in the trade - weighted US
dollar, which retreated 2.1 %, according to the Federal Reserve's (Fed's) US Dollar Index.1 Aside from robust gains for a host of agricultural products, oil and gold were also among the commodity wi
dollar, which retreated 2.1 %, according to the Federal Reserve's (Fed's) US
Dollar Index.1 Aside from robust gains for a host of agricultural products, oil and gold were also among the commodity wi
Dollar Index.1 Aside from robust gains
for a host of agricultural products, oil and gold were also among the commodity winners.
EM currencies have seen broad
weakness driven mostly by the USD rally and higher
dollar rates, and this week looks pivotal
for the
dollar outlook.
It is highly unusual
for both to occur together, so a simultaneous drop in both Treasury yields and the
dollar would be a very powerful signal of impending economic
weakness.
Gold performed as expected during the quarter, serving as a safe haven and delivering positive returns, while the price of oil surged more than 5 percent on U.S.
dollar weakness and news that OPEC and Russia could be cooperating to limit output
for a long period.
Weakness in the U.S. currency rather than factors on the Canadian side are likely to be the primary catalyst
for a slide in USD / CAD, according to BMO's global head of foreign - exchange strategy Greg Anderson, who cited a market that's gotten ahead of itself with regard to Federal Reserve tightening and a tax proposal that's likely to be
dollar negative.
Recent
weakness in the Australian
dollar may have reflected the fact that the market had become over-extended as the exchange rate had risen
for six months in a row, with a cumulative rise of 25 per cent.
As usual, I don't place too much emphasis on this sort of forecast, but to the extent that I make any comments at all about the outlook
for 2006, the bottom line is this: 1) we can't rule out modest potential
for stock appreciation, which would require the maintenance or expansion of already high price / peak earnings multiples; 2) we also should recognize an uncomfortably large potential
for market losses, particularly given that the current bull market has now outlived the median and average bull, yet at higher valuations than most bulls have achieved, a flat yield curve with rising interest rate pressures, an extended period of internal divergence as measured by breadth and other market action, and complacency at best and excessive bullishness at worst, as measured by various sentiment indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling risk of an oncoming recession, which would become more of a factor if we observe a substantial widening of credit spreads and
weakness in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial potential
for U.S.
dollar weakness coupled with «unexpectedly» persistent inflation pressures, particularly if we do observe economic
weakness.
Treasury yields, credit ratings, and the
weaknesses of the
dollar for signs that default risk may be rising.
Gold benefited from the
weakness of the
Dollar as it finally broke through the $ 1300 level that held back the precious metal
for almost a year.
But further strength in the U.S.
dollar would likely be good
for equity markets that traditionally outperform on their currency's
weakness, such as Japan and the eurozone, as a stronger
dollar will make their exports more competitive.
It really creates a difficult situation
for the Fed if the
dollar weakness continues because it completely ties their hands in responding to the next down term here.
A strong jobs number
for June, (which is not being forecast based on previous June vs May
weakness) would likely result in the US
Dollar turning up vs quite a few developed and Emerging market currencies.
I'm struggling to ascertain if POUND strength is indicative of overall
DOLLAR weakness as the market is searching
for all alternatives.
The US
Dollar index could begin a larger rally given the
weakness in Pound sterling which has a lot of momentum vs USD while the BOJ meeting is on deck
for the Japanese, with most eyeing Kuroda to attempt to weaken the Yen using new methods.
Currency Hedges Because of the U.S.
dollar's continued
weakness relative to other global currencies, we added to existing hedge positions and initiated a hedge
for part of the Fund's euro exposure.
Gold performed as expected during the quarter, serving as a safe haven and delivering positive returns, while the price of oil surged more than 5 % on U.S.
dollar weakness and news that OPEC and Russia could be cooperating to limit output
for a long period.
The US
dollar's
weakness extended into another month, making the US currency's performance against other major currencies over the first seven months of 2017 its worst start to a year
for more than three decades.
The gap
for next year is estimated to be around $ 2 billion
dollars, and comes at a time of continued economic
weakness in New York and the nation.
Now I understand that it would be bad business to highlight the
weaknesses of the organization, but if what's good
for TFA is bad
for the country's education system then it is quite irresponsible
for TFA not to give the whole story so legislators can make informed decisions about,
for example, whether or not to spend millions of
dollars of tax payer money to bring more TFAers to their districts.
You pay
for the vehicle's incredible off - road capability (whether you use it or not) and, in terms of parts and tuneup work, you will pay
for the
weakness of the
dollar against the British pound.
But further strength in the U.S.
dollar would likely be good
for equity markets that traditionally outperform on their currency's
weakness, such as Japan and the eurozone, as a stronger
dollar will make their exports more competitive.
Gold RisesThe gold prices have moved higher in a slow and steady manner as a combination of increase in risk and the
weakness in the
dollar has given some well needed respite
for the gold markets over the last 24 hours.
Rising Global Equity Markets Pressure
Dollar Overnight Stronger global equity markets are contributing to the
weakness in the
Dollar as traders are once again increasing demand
for more risky assets after reassessing U.S. economic data and the odds of an interest rate increase by the Federal Reserve.
Stronger global equity markets contributed to the
weakness in the
Dollar early in the trading session as traders once again increased demand
for more risky assets after reassessing U.S. economic data and the odds of an interest rate increase by the Federal Reserve.This morning, traders drove equities higher after taking a look at the U.S. em...
Stronger global equity markets contributed to the earlier
weakness in the
Dollar as traders once again increased demand
for more risky assets after reassessing U.S. economic data and the odds of an interest rate increase by the Federal Reserve.
The third quarter GDP figures released this week showed a rebound to a 2.3 % annual growth pace, largely the result of an improvement in exports — not surprising given the robust demand
for autos in the U.S and the
weakness in the Canadian
dollar.
The Canadian
Dollar saw an immediate bout of
weakness after inflation fell short of expectations, which in turn reduces the need
for the BoC to hike rates aggressively as inflation...
So while a further move higher in oil prices is possible and could boost the loonie in the near term, we also can't rule out the potential
for renewed
weakness in the Canadian
dollar given the weight of these persistent challenges.
Companies with a large share of global sales have outperformed other groups of stocks this year based on the uncertain prospects
for the US economy, U.S.
dollar weakness, and high hopes
for a global economic recovery, spurred by developing economies.
Here are some ETFs that may continue to see strength due to continued
dollar weakness and inflation fears given the latest round of Treasury purchases (with the door open
for more to come in the future):
Dollar weakness has carried on
for the past few days as traders continued to adjust positions to account
for the downbeat inflation outlook shared by Yellen and most FOMC policymakers.