Time scales of around a decade
for effects of carbon dioxide suggest environmental changes taken today could be felt within the lifetime of most people.
In just 5 years it was responsible for a 2 % decrease in low clouds (the kind that reflect incoming solar radiation by day) which, in turn, equates to an increase in surface warming of 1.2 Wm - 2 from incident radiation — equivalent to some 85 % of the IPCC's estimate
for the effect of all carbon dioxide increase since the Industrial Revolution.
Not exact matches
The new report «Lights Out
for the Reef», written by University
of Queensland coral reef biologist Selina Ward, noted that reefs were vulnerable to several different
effects of climate change; including rising sea temperatures and increased
carbon dioxide in the ocean, which causes acidification.
The increase in
carbon dioxide that is now occurring is expected to have dramatic consequences
for life on Earth as a result
of the so - called greenhouse
effect which will make the Earth hotter.
Methane gas is second behind
carbon dioxide in contributing to the greenhouse
effect and global warming; cow flatulence and excretion account
for 20 percent, or 100 million tons,
of the total annual global methane emissions.
On 28 May, a Japanese governmental advisory body laid out options
for the mix
of energy sources in 2030, along with projected
effects on the economy and
carbon dioxide emissions.
In a 1968 report prepared
for API in New York City, SRI scientists Elmer Robinson and R.C. Robbins acknowledged some uncertainty concerning the relation between
carbon emissions and rising temperatures, yet said
carbon dioxide was the most likely cause
of the «greenhouse
effect.»
Freshwater such as lakes, though, receive various sources
of carbon dioxide from decomposing organic and inorganic matter swept into them, which makes it hard
for scientists to distinguish between the direct
effects of rising atmospheric CO2 and these other elements.
Hwang also considered metal oxide frameworks that trap
carbon dioxide molecules, but they had the unfortunate side
effect of capturing the desired methane as well and they are far too expensive to make
for this application.
In fact, it will take many thousands
of years
for the excess
carbon dioxide to completely leave the atmosphere and be stored in the ocean, and the
effect on temperature and sea level will last equally long.»
They argued,
for example, over the
effects of agriculture and deforestation in adding or subtracting
carbon dioxide from the air.
SAVANNAH, GEORGIA — The glut
of humanmade
carbon dioxide (CO2) that is spurring global warming may have an unwelcome side
effect for hay fever sufferers: It could help ragweed flourish and crowd out other plants, ecologists say.
Indeed, the reduction in the emission
of precursors to polluting particles (sulphur
dioxide) would diminish the concealing
effects of Chinese aerosols, and would speed up warming, unless this
effect were to be compensated elsewhere,
for instance by significantly reducing long - life greenhouse gas emissions and «black
carbon.»
Although CFCs are extremely persistent, remaining in the upper atmosphere
for decades, and although they are 10,000 times more efficient than
carbon dioxide at trapping heat, the process
of controlling them has been under way
for years,
for reasons having nothing to do with the greenhouse
effect.
The model also accounted
for natural drivers
of change, including the direct influence
of increased
carbon dioxide on ocean -
carbon uptake and the indirect
effect that a changing climate has on the physical state
of the ocean and its relationship to atmospheric
carbon dioxide.
Functioning as a ballast, these platelets are important
for the
carbon transport to the deep ocean — and thus
for the ability
of the oceans to take up
carbon dioxide from the atmosphere and mitigate the
effects of climate change.
«
For all types
of ecosystem the results show that high
carbon dioxide levels can impede plants» ability to absorb nitrogen, and that this negative
effect is partly why raised
carbon dioxide has a marginal or non-existent
effect on growth in many ecosystems,» says Johan Uddling.
THE rise in atmospheric
carbon dioxide predicted
for this century could blunt the appetite
of soil microbes that consume a large chunk
of atmospheric methane, adding to the greenhouse
effect, claim researchers in North Carolina.
Pound
for pound, the
effect of methane on climate change is more than 20 times greater than
carbon dioxide over a 100 - year period, according to the Environmental Protection Agency.
IPCC scientists have suspected
for a decade that aerosols
of smoke and other particles from burning rainforest, crop waste and fossil fuels are blocking sunlight and counteracting the warming
effect of carbon dioxide emissions.
Forget everything government officials, many media outlets, and «activist scientists» have warned about the damaging
effects of carbon dioxide, because in reality there's no cause
for alarm, a group called the CO2 Coalition urges.
Or at least it won't
for many centuries, as the long - lived nature
of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere means that its
effects will be felt
for many human generations, absent efforts to curb emissions or use
[OOOPS; this nonlinear
effect puts their «alternative concept» into the realm
of Trump administration «alternative facts» — BD] Although the deep ocean could dissolve 70 to 80 %
of the expected anthropogenic
carbon dioxide emissions and the sediments could neutralize another 15 % it takes some 400 years
for the deep ocean to exchange with the surface and thousands more
for changes in sedimentary calcium carbonate to equilibrate with the atmosphere.
For his part, Mr. Monckton says there is no need to exploit such events because he and others have exposed fatal weaknesses in the mainstream view that a strong warming
effect is due to rising concentrations
of carbon dioxide — regardless
of the peer - reviewed, Nobel Prize - winning work
of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the conclusions
of various national academies
of science and 100 years
of growing accord on the basics.
According to Sir Nicholas, «Scientists have been refining their assessment
of the probable degree
of warming
for a given level
of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere», and «ranges from 2004 estimates are substantially above those from 2001 — science is telling us that the warming
effect is greater than we had previously thought.»
It is to be noted here that there is no necessary contradiction between forecast expectations
of (a) some renewed (or continuation
of) slight cooling
of world climate
for a few decades to come, e.g., from volcanic or solar activity variations; (b) an abrupt warming due to the
effect of increasing
carbon dioxide, lasting some centuries until fossil fuels are exhausted and a while thereafter; and this followed in turn by (c) a glaciation lasting (like the previous ones)
for many thousands
of years.»
California alone has 1/6
of CA agriculture, add in a need
for more agriculture with a shift to biopower and biofuels, add in the
effect of increased
carbon dioxide on decreasing food quality in many species, and increased temperatures in decreasing food productivity in many cases (rice).
Rate
of percentage annual growth
for carbon dioxide has certainly increased since the beginning
of the 21st century, but this should result in a significant change in the rate
of warming any more quickly than the differences between emission scenarios would, and there (according to the models) the differences aren't significant
for the first thirty - some years but progressively become more pronounced from then on — given the cummulative
effects of accumulated
carbon dioxide.
«
For example, the natural decay
of organic material in forests and grasslands and the action
of forest fires results in the release
of about 439 gigatonnes
of carbon dioxide every year, while new growth entirely counteracts this
effect, absorbing 450 gigatonnes per year.»
Coral reefs are under stress
for several reasons, including warming
of the ocean, but especially because
of ocean acidification, a direct
effect of added
carbon dioxide.
Awareness
of the direct impacts
of carbon dioxide on the oceans has been slow to build in part because research on the flood
of this and other greenhouse gases focused
for so long on the climatological significance, not the direct chemical and biological
effects.
For example, it treates ice sheets as a boundary condition and therefore ignores the fact that over time the ice sheets respond, amplifying the
effects our
of anthropogenic pulse
of carbon dioxide.
For the moment, lets just go into the evolution
of the stratosphere under an enhanced greenhouse
effect — assuming a single pulse
of carbon dioxide.
There is no question,
for course, that the human addition
of carbon dioxide is a major climate forcing, both with respect to its warming influence but also its biogeochemical
effect.
It is impossible
for the greenhouse
effect to be its cause because there was no concurrent increase
of atmospheric
carbon dioxide.
In addition to stopping the seas from rising we shall undertake to protect protect our children and future generations
of unaborted from the
effects of climate change by reducing emissions
of carbon dioxide and other heat - trapping pollutants and by taking sensible steps to prepare
for changes in climate that are no longer avoidable.
The added
carbon dioxide will
of course keep absorbing in the IR but it can not cause the greenhouse
effect that IPCC calculates
for it because the reduction
of water vapor I referred to cancels it out.
These facts help explain why, in spite
of the Earth's air temperature increasing to a level that the IPCC claims is unprecedented in the the past millennium or more, a recent study by Randall et al. (2013) found that the 14 % extra
carbon dioxide fertilization caused by human emissions between 1982 and 2010 caused an average worldwide increase in vegetation foliage by 11 % after adjusting the data
for precipitation
effects.
However, no matter what numbers you may wish to insert
for the Revelle
effect, the flow to the oceans will continue to be proportional to the partial pressure
of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere.
The radiative forcing (IPCC 2007) is about 1.6 W m − 2
for both
carbon dioxide increases alone and also the total with all other
effects included (0.6 — 2.4 as 95 % confidence limits), and the net energy imbalance
of the planet is estimated (Trenberth et al. 2009) to be 0.9 ± 0.5 W m − 2.
For example, as atmospheric concentrations
of CO2 increase, every tonne
of carbon dioxide has less
of an
effect on warming (the strongest absorption bands are already saturated).
The evidence
for this hypothesis is the well established physics
of the greenhouse
effect itself and the correlation
of increasing global
carbon dioxide concentration with rising global temperature.
Currently,
carbon dioxide accounts
for more than 60 percent
of the enhanced greenhouse
effect caused by the increase
of greenhouse gases, and the level
of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is increasing by more than 10 percent every 20 years.
U.S. Department
of Agriculture data tables provide evidence
for the importance
of the eight Midwest states
for U.S. agricultural production.3 Evidence
for the
effect of future elevated
carbon dioxide concentrations on crop yields is based on scores
of greenhouse and field experiments that show a strong fertilization response
for C3 plants such as soybeans and wheat and a positive but not as strong a response
for C4 plants such as corn.
If it wasn't
for the warming
effect of carbon dioxide, the Earth would've been a frozen iceball throughout much
of its history.
While the Earth seems to be managing the steady increase in atmospheric
carbon dioxide relatively well so far (although the
effects of this increase may not be felt
for many decades to come), there are concerns that passing the 400 parts per million atmospheric
carbon dioxide threshold will bring the Earth's atmosphere closer to a tipping point at which global warming accelerates rapidly with dire consequences
for mankind and other creatures on Earth.
Water vapor is responsible
for 80 percent
of that
effect, and
carbon dioxide for only 10 percent, with methane, ozone, and so forth accounting
for the remainder.
Perhaps you've misread Koonin's statement:
For example, human additions to
carbon dioxide in the atmosphere by the middle
of the 21st century are expected to directly shift the atmosphere's natural greenhouse
effect by only 1 % to 2 %.
I predict they will mutate the argument, and with a completely straight face — the
effect of carbon dioxide will turn out to be «more complicated», scientists will rediscover that the molecule emits infra red too — and now rather than just simple warming, it will be responsible
for «transforming regional patterns», «shifting layers» and «wandering jet streams».
A substantial fraction
of the
carbon dioxide (CO2) emitted into the atmosphere by human activity remains there, in
effect,
for centuries to millennia.