Joel Greenblatt's latest book, «Big Secret» claims an excess return of 1 - 2 %
for equal weighted indices.
Not exact matches
But the S&P 500 total return and
equal weighted indices have already broken through their 2007 highs, as have the sector
indices for Discretionary, Staples, Health Care and Tech (and the NASDAQ).
The effect of
equal weighting is keener
for XRT than
for some other
equal -
weight funds because XRT draws retail stocks from the broad S&P Total Market
Index, not the large - cap - oriented S&P 500.
When the sentiment
index is more than one standard deviation above (below) its historical average, monthly returns average -0.34 % (+1.18 %)
for the value -
weighted market and -0.41 % (2.75 %) percentage points
for the
equal -
weighted market.
The following 5 charts display the quintile returns
for shareholder yield in red and the S&P 500
Equal Weight Index in blue.
Although capitalization -
weighted index funds are the industry standard, there are several advantages to
equal -
weighted index funds that make them worth a close look
for adding to your portfolio.
For every $ 1 you put into the Wilshire 5000
equal weight version of the
index at the end of 1970, you'd have over $ 1,458 by the end of 2016.
The biggest dataset that I'm aware of
for the performance of
equal weighted indices is from Wilshire Associates.
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One takeaway from this may be that, at least in a broad sense,
equal weighted index funds are simply better
for building wealth over the long - term if you can withstand the added volatility.
The rationale
for equal weighting the sectors has to do with the underlying problems of a capitalization -
weighted index.
The following 5 charts display the quintile returns
for the P / FCF ratio in red and the S&P 500
Equal Weight Index in blue.
This backtest
for the gross profits to assets ratio reveals that the first quintile underperforms the S&P 500
Equal Weight Index benchmark.
The following 5 charts display the quintile returns
for Return on Assets in red and the S&P 500
Equal Weight Index in blue.
The following 5 charts display the quintile returns
for the Gross Profits to Assets ratio in red and the S&P 500
Equal Weight Index in blue.
This backtest
for ROA reveals that the first quintile underperforms the S&P 500
Equal Weight Index benchmark.
Cap -
weighted equity
indexes such as the S&P / TSX 60 and the S&P 500 are much easier to replicate than fundamentally
weighted or
equal weighted indexes,
for example.
Its
index focuses on fundamental factors without imposing an arbitrary screen
for dividend growth, and its
equal -
weighting avoids concentration any single company.
One method to employ if unsure of Apple's future contributions to
index returns could be to go
equal -
weight in large part, with an out of the money Apple option to avoid missing another 100 % move (optionsxpress is a great platform
for trading options by the way).
For example, the S&P 500
Equal Weight Index rebalances quarterly to equal weight each stock in the S&P 500 at the company level of 1/500 = 0.
Equal Weight Index rebalances quarterly to equal weight each stock in the S&P 500 at the company level of 1/500 = 0
Weight Index rebalances quarterly to
equal weight each stock in the S&P 500 at the company level of 1/500 = 0.
equal weight each stock in the S&P 500 at the company level of 1/500 = 0
weight each stock in the S&P 500 at the company level of 1/500 = 0.02 %.
The following 5 charts display the quintile returns
for percent reduction in shares outstanding in red and the S&P 500
Equal Weight Index in blue.
You can see
for yourself at the Wilshire
Index Calculator (it's a little clunky — you'll need to select «Wilshire 5000
Equal Weight» in the «Broad / Style» box and set the date to September 30 2009).
On the other hand, when
equal -
weighted indices of 1700 issues like the Value Line
Index drop 16 % from 52 - week highs set very near the May 2015 top
for the S&P 500, it is difficult to set aside the reality that deterioration within the broader stock landscape may be forewarning excessive risk takers.
The average alpha
for the S&P SmallCap 600
index was 2.5 % compared to 2.4 %
for the S&P 500
Equal Weight index, but the S&P SmallCap 600
index's alpha was over 50 % more volatile.
We also looked at full portfolios
for a fundamentally
weighted and an
equal -
weighted index and found they executed countercyclical trades (buying underperforming stocks and selling outperforming stocks) in 75 % of their stock positions at the latest reconstitution.
For now, the best way to compare the difference is between the cap
weighted S&P 500 and the S&P 500
equal weighted index.
You should also realize that in general, fees tend to be a bit higher
for equal and fundamentally
weighted indexes.
The
indices are good measures of the market, but flawed investment strategies
for the reasons outlined in a few places here on Greenbackd (
for example, see my summary of Greenblatt's / Rob Arnott's fundamental indexation idea, «
Equal Weight and Fundamental
Indexing Beats The Market «-RRB-.
DeBondt and Thaler then calculated the investment return against the
equal weighted NYSE
Index over the subsequent four years
for all of the stocks in each selection period.
For example, they believed their
indexes offered better diversification in an ETF, because there is a lower concentration per name when you use
equal weighting.
I came to the conclusion that although Smart & RioCan had outperformed their
index over the period of time I've owned them I would be better served for efficiency to buy the BMO Equal Weight REIT Index ETF (ZRE) for the int
index over the period of time I've owned them I would be better served
for efficiency to buy the BMO
Equal Weight REIT
Index ETF (ZRE) for the int
Index ETF (ZRE)
for the interim.
And note that the benchmarks
for relative performance vary among value
indices; as we've indicated previously in our research on value
indices, an
equal weight benchmark is a better indication of the value - added by the particular
index methodology.
They include over a dozen
equal -
weight index ETFs, among them the $ 14.3 billion
equal -
weight S&P 500 ETF as well as the BulletShares defined - maturity ETFs, which, like individual bonds, return an investor's principal at maturity, but unlike individual bonds, include multiple securities
for diversity.
For example, the XID (iShares S&P CNX Nifty India Index Fund) appeared twice in the list (see below); CEW is the ticker symbol for both the WisdomTree Dreyfus Emerging Currency Fund and the Claymore (now iShares) Equal Weight Banc & Lifeco ETF however both were listed as being on the Canadian market (the WisdomTree ETF is listed on the NYSE); four ETFs were identified in the advertised list that had been discontinued for months: DENT, HAG, HIF and XRO; and lastly, many of the ETFs branded as Claymore had yet to be renamed to their new iShares titl
For example, the XID (iShares S&P CNX Nifty India
Index Fund) appeared twice in the list (see below); CEW is the ticker symbol
for both the WisdomTree Dreyfus Emerging Currency Fund and the Claymore (now iShares) Equal Weight Banc & Lifeco ETF however both were listed as being on the Canadian market (the WisdomTree ETF is listed on the NYSE); four ETFs were identified in the advertised list that had been discontinued for months: DENT, HAG, HIF and XRO; and lastly, many of the ETFs branded as Claymore had yet to be renamed to their new iShares titl
for both the WisdomTree Dreyfus Emerging Currency Fund and the Claymore (now iShares)
Equal Weight Banc & Lifeco ETF however both were listed as being on the Canadian market (the WisdomTree ETF is listed on the NYSE); four ETFs were identified in the advertised list that had been discontinued
for months: DENT, HAG, HIF and XRO; and lastly, many of the ETFs branded as Claymore had yet to be renamed to their new iShares titl
for months: DENT, HAG, HIF and XRO; and lastly, many of the ETFs branded as Claymore had yet to be renamed to their new iShares titles.
The biggest lesson learned is that, if you're looking
for a large cap
index fund, you should look at
equal weighted funds.
The following 5 charts display the quintile returns
for the current ratio in red and the S&P 500
Equal Weight Index in blue.
The following 5 charts display the quintile returns
for shareholder yield in red and the S&P 500
Equal Weight Index in blue.
The following 5 tables display the quintile returns
for the percent change in employee growth in red and the S&P 500
Equal Weight index in blue.
For example, when the bull market is robust, an
equal -
weighting of stocks in the S&P 500 usually outperforms the market - cap
weighted index.
Each of the seven indicators are given
equal weight when calculating the overall
Index score
for each country.