Sentences with phrase «for future climate models»

To provide a credible benchmark for future climate models, however, the proxy reconstructions will also need to be re-examined critically.»

The results could have consequences not only for future climate models, but may also impact current policies on land use intended to promote fungi.

Best resource for future climate model analyses: PCMDI database of IPCC AR4 simulations.

Miyamoto and his colleagues showed that an intermediate resolution can be used to drive deep moist convection, thus providing a clear target for future climate model development.

Analyses such as these should be useful for future climate model development as they indicate the robust biases found in the state - of - the art climate model ensembles.

Not exact matches

We hope this project will serve as a model for future national initiatives that can be scaled with funds from programs such as the Green Climate Fund.»

«If — and it's a big if — that turns out to be the right avenue to go down, that could play into the models we use for our future climate predictions.»

For projections of future temperature and precipitation during the near future (2021 - 2050) and the far future (2071 - 2100), the researchers used 11 different global climate models.

Therefore, also changes in land cover should be represented in climate models for projections of future climate,» concludes Francesco S.R. Pausata.

Even if the near future doesn't unfold like the 2004 climate - gone - haywire film The Day After Tomorrow, scientists need to be able to produce accurate models of what abrupt change (more likely spanning hundreds or thousands or years, rather than days) would look like and why it might occur, explains Zhengyu Liu, lead author of the study and director of the University of Wisconsin — Madison's Center for Climate Reclimate - gone - haywire film The Day After Tomorrow, scientists need to be able to produce accurate models of what abrupt change (more likely spanning hundreds or thousands or years, rather than days) would look like and why it might occur, explains Zhengyu Liu, lead author of the study and director of the University of Wisconsin — Madison's Center for Climate ReClimate Research.

The first is the development of a comprehensive, closely coordinated ensemble of simulations from 18 modeling groups around the world for the historical and future evolution of the earth's climate.

Climate models and the latest IPCC data reveal four possible futures for global population, economy and environment at the end of this century

Mission leaders were relieved and eager to begin their studies of cloud and haze effects, which «constitute the largest uncertainties in our models of future climate — that's no exaggeration,» says Jens Redemann, an atmospheric scientist at NASA's Ames Research Center in Mountain View, California, and the principal investigator for ObseRvations of Aerosols above CLouds and their IntEractionS (ORACLES).

One positive finding of the ecological niche modelling study is that while the ranges of many species are expected to contract, much of the remaining suitable habitat for many species will be located within existing protected areas, and that the recent creation of new reserves such as Itombwe and Kabobo in the Democratic Republic of Congo, have greatly increased the protection of some species under threat by future climate change.

To better plan for potential effects due to climate change, scientists using the North American Breeding Bird Survey and Audubon Christmas Bird Count employed correlative distribution modeling, to assess geographic range shifts for nearly 600 North American bird species during both the breeding and non-breeding seasons under a range of future climate change scenarios through the end of the century.

To assess how future heat waves might affect air travel, researchers used climate models to estimate hour - by - hour temperatures throughout the year at 19 particularly busy airports in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, China, and South Asia for the period between 2060 and 2080.

For the study «Doubling of coastal erosion under rising sea level by mid-century in Hawaiʻi,» published this week in Natural Hazards, the research team developed a simple model to assess future erosion hazards under higher sea levels — taking into account historical changes of Hawaiʻi shorelines and the projected acceleration of sea level rise reported from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

«We're trying to understand how what we're doing to the Earth's atmosphere and oceans will play out in the future,» says Bette Otto - Bliesner, who runs a full - complexity climate model — and its 1.5 million lines of code — through a supercomputer named Yellowstone at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder.

That means current climate models for the Arctic can not accurately project the region's future.

The method combines a model for systems such as weather or climate with real - world data points to develop predictions about the future.

«For scientists to create more accurate models of Earth's current and future climate, they'll have to include more accurate representations of clouds.»

«Pikas are a model organism for studying climate change, and their decline at low - elevation sites suggests that the future for other species is not great either,» Stewart said.

«Understanding the impact of these storms will help us gain ground truth for improving the chemistry — climate models we use to project future climate,» she says.

Computer model projections of future conditions analyzed by the Scripps team indicate that regions such as the Amazon, Central America, Indonesia, and all Mediterranean climate regions around the world will likely see the greatest increase in the number of «dry days» per year, going without rain for as many as 30 days more every year.

«It is difficult to use climate models to study hurricane activity, and so studies such as ours, which produced a record of storms under different climate conditions, are important for our understanding of future storm activity,» Denniston said.

Among the implications of the study are that ocean temperatures in this area may be more sensitive to changes in greenhouse gas levels than previously thought and that scientists should be factoring entrainment into their models for predicting future climate change.

«A challenge for the coming years is to use these kinds of climate models to be able to make predictions about populations and ecosystems in the future.

When this model was then applied to the future, they found that in a world of continuing high greenhouse gas emissions, the threshold for widespread drought - induced vascular damage would be crossed and initiate widespread tree deaths on average across climate model projections in the 2050s.

Future projections for the same cities are drawn from climate models that estimate temperature and humidity assuming global greenhouse gas emissions continue unabated.

Climate models such as those developed at GFDL can help researchers predict future levels of smog, enabling cost - benefit analyses for costly pollution control measures.

The biggest concern: that the Accelerated Climate Modeling for Energy (ACME) project, meant to forecast local impacts of climate change and to be used on DOE's future exascale supercomputers, would dilute resources from the Community Earth System Model Climate Modeling for Energy (ACME) project, meant to forecast local impacts of climate change and to be used on DOE's future exascale supercomputers, would dilute resources from the Community Earth System Model climate change and to be used on DOE's future exascale supercomputers, would dilute resources from the Community Earth System Model (CESM).

«The new work improves our understanding of history, allowing better model tests and allowing better assessment of how the ice responded to climate changes in the past,» Alley said, «and this will help in making better and more - reliable projections for the future.»

To get a sense for how this probability, or risk of such a storm, will change in the future, he performed the same analysis, this time embedding the hurricane model within six global climate models, and running each model from the years 2081 to 2100, under a future scenario in which the world's climate changes as a result of unmitigated growth of greenhouse gas emissions.

And most models looking at future climate change scenarios did not account for aerosols in the stratosphere.

The study's findings could help test and improve climate models that are run for both past and future conditions.

Air pollutant emission inventories are essential in measuring the impact of pollution on air quality and the climate, as they are fed into atmospheric and climate models to make projections for the future.

They paint a more optimistic picture for the lynx's survival, but the models clearly show that release programs also need to account for future climate change in order to achieve the best possible result.

This technique lays the foundation for much improved parameterizations of climate change and global vegetation models, which will tell what the future holds in store.

When it comes to climate change, it can be OK for computational models to differ on what future sea levels will be.

But it turns out that rain also triggers the release of a mist of particles from wet soils into the air, a finding with consequences of its own for how scientists model our planet's climate and future.

In summary the projections of the IPCC — Met office models and all the impact studies (especially the Stern report) which derive from them are based on specifically structurally flawed and inherently useless models.They deserve no place in any serious discussion of future climate trends and represent an enormous waste of time and money.As a basis for public policy their forecasts are grossly in error and therefore worse than useless.For further discussion and an estimate of the coming cooling see http://climatesense-norpag.blogspot.com

«This work was a foundational reference case for the recently released RCP4.5 model scenario, one of four scenarios that will be used by modeling groups around the globe to make realistic projections of future climate change,» said Dr. Steven J. Smith, scientist at the Joint Global Change Research Institute, a partnership between PNNL and the University of Maryland, and lead research author.

The reduction of surface reflection due to biological activity, derived from our results, was used as a proxy for a reduction in albedo in the regional climate model Modèle Atmosphérique Régional (MAR; Fettweis et al., 2013) to project future microbially - mediated increases in GrIS melt (see Methodology, Supplementary Information).

While the new formula, which accounts for both temperature and salinity, can be used to forecast tropical cyclone intensity in real time, it can also be applied to the results of climate modeling to provide scientists with a framework to evaluate changes in future tropical cyclone activity.

Global climate models are essential tools for understanding climate change and for developing policy regarding future emissions of greenhouse gases, primary aerosol particles, and aerosol precursor gases.

Future ocean projections for the year 2100 were compiled from all available data generated by Earth Systems Models as part of the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Taylor et al., 2012) as in Mora et al. (2013).

The kinder, gentler model from the Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research in the United Kingdom estimated a wetter, warmer future: Rainfall may increase 20 percent to 25 percent, mean annual temperatures could increase 2 degrees Fahrenheit by 2030 and 4 degrees by 2100.

By contrast, the Canadian Centre for Climate models simulated a dry, scorching future with rainfall decreasing by 10 percent and temperatures rising 3 degrees by 2030 and 10 degrees by 2100.

We show historical trends in snowmelt and runoff timing; examine climate factors that most influence these patterns; and present model projections for stream runoff in the future.

I also hope that this research can be a model for future studies that continue to investigate climate change effects over time and space using the fossil record.