The evidence
for human influence on the climate system has grown since the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (AR4).
Although Pielke accepts that the evidence
for human influence on the climate system is robust, he stresses that the goal of cutting global carbon emissions is incompatible with economic growth for the world's poorest 1.5 billion people.
Not exact matches
«If we were in a court of law, with
human influence on the
climate system in the dock, the verdict
for Australia's 2013 heat wave would be guilty as charged.
But Obama faces a reality that many of these groups seem slow to recognize: While the 20th - century toolkit preferred by traditional environmentalists — litigation, regulation and legislation — remains vital to limiting domestic pollution risks such as the oil gusher, it is a bad fit
for addressing the building
human influence on the
climate system, which is driven now mainly by a surge in emissions mostly outside United States borders in countries aiming to propel their climb out of poverty
on the same fossil fuels that generated much of our affluence.
Realclimate, which was launched largely defensively in 2004 (you can read an explanatory note in, you guessed it, the East Anglia e-mails) has matured into a valuable resource
for anyone trying to gauge what science has, and has not, revealed about a
human influence on the
climate system.
For months, the stasist blogosphere has been aflame with «Gates of various kinds — attempts to spin one or two errors or overstatements
on particular issues, along with various comments in the East Anglia e-mail messages, into the unraveling of the many lines of science pointing to a rising, and risky,
human influence on the
climate system.
As part of the trend in higher education toward moving more course offerings onto the Web, the University of Chicago has launched Open
Climate 101, an online version of a popular course led by David Archer that explores for non-science majors the body of research pointing to a rising human influence on the climate
Climate 101, an online version of a popular course led by David Archer that explores
for non-science majors the body of research pointing to a rising
human influence on the
climate climate system.
But I wouldn't look
for fresh findings there to up - end the basic picture of a growing
human influence on the
climate system.
For a long time there's been a strong perception among those of us tracking research
on human - caused global warming that meteorologists are more apt to doubt that
humans could dangerously disrupt
climate than the much smaller community of climatologists studying the overall
climate system and what
influences its patterns.
The science pointing to a rising
human influence on the
climate system is simply delineating the boundaries of the problem — and they are still very fuzzy boundaries
on many important points (the extent of warming and pace of sea level rise, just
for starters).
What's refreshing is that the building
human influence on the
climate system is not being portrayed definitively as an unfolding catastrophe, with present - day events cast as the reason
for action.
When you look behind dueling posts and columns, it's clear that the building and long - lasting
influence of
humans on the
climate system is progressively tipping the odds toward outcomes that can be bad
for agriculture in many struggling places.
Trenberth argues that since science / physics has already established the
human influence on climate, oceans, etc. (and Curry would not say otherwise) it makes more sense
for Curry to have to show that there is no
influence on water vapor and precipitation (i.e., intensification of storm activity / heavy precipitation) than to show that there is, because of basic physics / physical
systems / physical relationships that constitute the global
climate cycle.
On the question of hurricanes, the theoretical arguments that more energy and water vapor in the atmosphere should lead to stronger storms are really sound (after all, storm intensity increases going from pole toward equator), but determining precisely how
human influences (so including GHGs [greenhouse gases] and aerosols, and land cover change) should be changing hurricanes in a
system where there are natural external (solar and volcanoes) and internal (e.g., ENSO, NAO [El Nino - Southern Oscillation, North Atlantic Oscillation]-RRB-
influences is quite problematic — our
climate models are just not good enough yet to carry out the types of sensitivity tests that have been done using limited area hurricane models run
for relatively short times.
Andrew Revkin: I think it's taken ages
for the world to even integrate, meaningfully, the reality that scientists have shown clearly — that
humans are a building
influence on the
climate system.
Overall, I think we're
on the slow path toward integrating into our consciousness that
humans are, and will remain
for generations, a rising
influence on the global environment and the
climate system.
Since the
climate system is highly variable
on its own, that smallness sets a very high bar
for confidently projecting the consequences of
human influences.