The development of a new ionospheric foF2 forecasting algorithm, called the Solar Wind driven autoregression model
for Ionospheric short - term Forecast (SWIF), was recently introduced (Tsagouri et al. 2009).
However, we believe that the results obtained indicate that DIAS effective sunspot number can provide a reliable estimator of the average ionospheric disturbance level over a substantial part of Europe and a powerful tool
for ionospheric specification applications.
In Section 4.2, Tsagouri et al. (2009) developed a new ionospheric forecasting algorithm, called the Solar Wind driven autoregression model
for Ionospheric short - term Forecast (SWIF).
Not exact matches
Two of the outdoor experiments on the HTV's first flight are a NASA
ionospheric and thermospheric mapping device, and a JAXA system
for monitoring the ozone layer's chemistry.
CARL SAGAN and FRANK DRAKE are professors of astronomy at Cornell University, where Sagan is director of the Laboratory
for Planetary Studies and Drake is director of the National Astronomy and
Ionospheric Center.
Ionospheric photoelectrons can be used as an important diagnostic tool
for the topology of the solar wind interaction with both magnetized and unmagnetized objects (Coates et al. 2011), possibly playing a role also in enhancing the ion escape.
These
ionospheric trends accelerated after 1980, providing support
for their anthropogenic origin.
Longitudinal structure in the CHAMP electron densities and their implications
for global
ionospheric modeling
It is triggered by an alert signal
for upcoming
ionospheric disturbances obtained from the online analysis of the IMF's observations obtained from ACE spacecraft.
The most important feature of the cross-correlation analysis is that
for all months the
ionospheric response is composed by two phases, positive and negative, with different duration and different time delay.
Bremer et al. (2009) summarized various results on geomagnetic activity control of trends in the ionosphere and found that the change of dependence of trends on long - term change of geomagnetic activity, i.e., the loss of dominant geomagnetic activity control of
ionospheric trends, occurred around 1970 in the E region, in the early 1990s in the F1 region, and around 2000 in the F2 region as illustrated in Figure 5
for two European stations Roma and Slough / Chilton.
Limitations are imposed
for small - scale effects, such as positive effects of short duration observed locally indicating ΔR12eff responses to the averaged
ionospheric activity over Europe.
Based on this, SWIF is able to provide alerts and warnings
for upcoming
ionospheric storm - time disturbances as well as
ionospheric forecasts up to 24 h ahead under all possible conditions.
Section 4.3 describes a model which combines two models developed
for different
ionospheric conditions.
Empirical models using solar wind parameters and / or IMF as drivers, usually, are used
for now - casting (specification of
ionospheric state) or forecasting 1 — 3 h ahead.
The effective sunspot number — R12eff is used in DIAS (European Digital Upper Atmosphere Server) as a proxy of the
ionospheric conditions over Europe
for regional
ionospheric mapping purposes (Zolesi et al. 2004; Tsagouri et al. 2005).
During disturbed
ionospheric storm conditions considerable improvement (greater than 10 %) over climatology and persistence is gained
for all prediction steps and at all latitudes.
In general, the error tends to be higher
for higher prediction steps, higher latitudes, and higher
ionospheric activity levels.
In addition, as a clear advance
for radio science purposes, it should be noted that SWIF provides an alternative approach to
ionospheric forecasting issue, using solar wind parameters as a proxy of the
ionospheric activity level.
The long time series of
ionospheric data were of crucial importance
for climate change studies.
For application purposes, however, empirical modeling of
ionospheric parameters has been found most suitable and accurate.
Future developments may include a more sophisticated method
for its derivation in order to anticipate localized
ionospheric effects and the quantitative description of its relation to the intensity of
ionospheric activity.
DIAS (European Digital Upper Atmosphere Server) effective sunspot number — R12eff was introduced as a proxy of the
ionospheric conditions over Europe
for regional
ionospheric mapping purposes (Zolesi et al. 2004; Tsagouri et al. 2005).
During disturbed conditions, it is still relatively small (10 — 13 %)
for predictions provided 1 h ahead and may reach 20 % and 30 % at middle - to - low and middle - to - high latitudes, respectively,
for high
ionospheric activity level and predictions provided 24 h ahead.
SWIF is currently implemented online in DIAS system to provide
ionospheric forecasts up to 24 h ahead as well as alerts and warnings
for the European region (http://dias.space.noa.gr).
Empirical
ionospheric models are most suitable
for application - oriented research and operational services, like
ionospheric forecasting.
The factors causing an anomalous wear of Russian pipeline systems are also analyzed, and the methods
for reducing their rapid corrosion through taking into account the influence of heliogeomagnetic and
ionospheric disturbances are described.