As an analytical tool they can be used to assess whether a currency is looking stretched vs its longer term trend (for trending currencies) or vs its long term average (
for mean reverting currencies).
Not exact matches
Now, it's easy to see that market cap / GDP hasn't
reverted back to its
mean for quite a long time.
While we wait
for oil to
revert back to its
mean, however, the world can enjoy and benefit from inexpensive gas.
for sure its not ideal, and negative real returns on fixed income assets / cash are not the norm so hopefully it will get better /
revert to
mean
Lurking beneath the currently benign credit metrics, however, lies significant potential losses
for both banks and bond investors as an when we
revert to the
mean.
I think Michael Dell is an incredible entrepreneur, and the business model he developed
for Dell Computer allowed him to reap incredible rewards from an industry with commodity characteristics,
mean -
reverting profit margins, and low barriers to entry.
Unfortunately, I just started my freshman year in college, which
meant saying goodbye to the kitchen I have heavily cooked and baked in
for the past few years and
reverting to the «joys» of the cafeteria.
If Arsenal stick with three centre backs then Mustafi must be considered a far better choice
for the third birth alongside Kos and Holding rather then Monreal.Kolasinac has to come back in at left eing - back and Bellerin
revert to the right.Midfield is a very different matter.Arsenal still desperately need a proper defensive central player.Ozil in this current side can not be considered anything more than a luxury.All of Bournemouth's creativity will come down the flanks so it's necessary to put players on to the pitch who are prepared to fulfill their defensive duties.This also
means that unless Ramsey can work out that he's playing in midfield not as a number 10 he has no place on the team either.
However, it was hard work
for both of us, and
for our subsequent children we
reverted to the more traditional arrangement: I went out to work while she stayed home, even though that
meant a significant loss of income.
Pluralistic democratic politics was constitutionally hardwired into the three traditional parties as a basis
for securing the peace of the federal republic, whereas in this country the perpetual evolution of party structures
means that there remains a representative body of opinion on both right and left within Labour and the Conservatives which tends to
revert to dogma.
In effect, according to this source, the party is simply
reverting to the system it had prior to creating DFS, which
means candidates will pay
for canvassing services via straight contributions and not in a «fee -
for - service» manner.
I
mean think about it, the cabbage soup diet might help you shift the pounds in time
for the wedding, but once you
revert to eating anything but cabbage, the pounds return.
That is, your contract may say that your rights will
revert to you after your book goes out of print, but if you have an ebook, the publisher takes that to
mean that as long as an ebook is
for sale anywhere, the book is still in print.
(Again, ask an IP attorney
for the exact
meaning of your clause and ask the attorney directly when you can have your rights
reverted under that clause and what has to happen).
However, some contracts with the smaller publishers are now time - limited,
meaning that the publisher buys the rights
for a set period (say, one to three years) and then the rights are automatically
reverted to the author.
That was addressed in the JManga closing post ~ the licenses
revert when JManga closes their reader (I think the last day 20May, which would
mean they
revert 21May), no clue what will happen after that and don't expect to hear anything in the short term future ~ it will be certainly months and quite possibly years until something new gets sorted out
for Manga that are not getting a primary North American release.
This
means that if fluctuates up and down, and although it might trend
for a short period of time, it generally
reverts to a long term
mean over the long term.
Value buyers like me look
for strong companies in the green zone, thinking that industries
mean -
revert.
The forward market
for 1 - year implied volatility doesn't exist in any deep way, so the insurance company decides that it will have to take its chances, and assume that volatility will
mean revert over longer periods of time.
Profit margins may
mean -
revert eventually, but it might be a while
for that to happen, given the global pressures that are keeping wage rates low.
As
for momentum, my rule of thumb is that momentum persists in the short run, and
mean -
reverts in the intermediate term.
If you hold a special situation or cigar butt
for 6 - 12 months you can get a nice return, but hold them
for 5 years and the returns will
revert to the
mean.
With observers agreeing on the end of the «Great Moderation» and sub-par economic growth likely
for the foreseeable future, recessions are likely to
revert back to occurring once every 4 - 5 years on average,
meaning recession forecasting will become more important to active portfolio performance.
My view is that profit margins will not
revert to
mean for many years, until the increase in capitalist labor is absorbed.
Our studies indicate there is a high probability
for the discounts to be «
mean reverting».
Broadly speaking, stocks tend not to break out of these longer - term uptrending channels
for very long before
mean -
reverting back in.
For example, the idea that volatility is
mean reverting.
Mean - reversion is involved in value investing, in the sense that return on equity
for firms tends to
mean -
revert over time.
Foreign profits compete
for all non-U.S. income, so a huge number, and it isn't
mean reverting in the same way domestic profits are, which compete
for U.S. income with employee comp, renters income, interest income, taxes, etc..
Or perhaps a flood of new investment capital over the last decade or so has produced a lofty ending valuation, which has yet to
mean revert, 12 and which would lead the regression to underestimate the true power of valuation
for the low beta factor.
When a high CAPE
mean reverts toward the historical norm, the resulting forward return
for the equity market falls meaningfully below average.2
The investor return gap persists, despite strong evidence that factor performance is
mean reverting, because investors use the manager selection process
for alpha timing.
The precise advantage of rebalancing varies based on the targeted asset mix, but the strategy consistently beats portfolios that are not rebalanced
for a simple reason: Investment results «
revert to the
mean» over long stretches.
Unfortunately
for them, however, the value premium is
mean -
reverting.
Rather we must rely on the statistical base case
for undervalued, money - losing securities — that they will spontaneously
mean revert toward a state of earning power commensurate with their assets.
The question on whether returns
revert to the
mean over time is probably one of the most fundamental ones to investing,
for me.
I think Michael Dell is an incredible entrepreneur, and the business model he developed
for Dell Computer allowed him to reap incredible rewards from an industry with commodity characteristics,
mean -
reverting profit margins, and low barriers to entry.
It featured articles on whether the returns on industries as a whole
mean -
revert or have momentum, whether there is a valuation effect on industry returns, «social responsibility» in investing, and the existence of equity discount rate
for the market as a whole.
Some financials
for example, if anything, will
revert to the
mean upwards and not downwards.
Due to the speculative and contrarian nature of the Forex market prices tend to continue in one direction
for a decent move and then
revert back to the
mean or value - area.
Often, cardholders must «sign up»
for the bonus categories each period (often quarterly) and there's usually a spending cap,
meaning cardholders will earn the bonus cash back up to a particular spending threshold ($ 1,500 is a pretty typical spending cap) and then rewards will
revert to the non-bonus level (usually 1 percent).
This
means the Pro Evolution Soccer series will no longer be able to use Champions League brand in future games so it will probably
revert to a spoofed competition that resembles Champions League in format and participation
for Master League and Become a Legend purposes.
One thing that is
for certain is that these oscillations
revert to the
mean over the long term, and can not be used to explain a natural secular warming trend, which is what the climate sceptics seem to be running on about recently.
If a «yes» vote
meant that the system would be introduced
for the next two, not more than three elections at the end of which there would be another vote to either confirm the new system or
revert to the old FPTP, I think the public would be far less hesitant to support reform.
The reason
for this is that the barycentric oscillation
reverts to a
mean of zero as the positive and negative excursions balance out over the years.
For extrapolation, all noise models will eventually
revert to the
mean of the calibration method, and so if that wasn't actually the case, the proxies should outperform the noise.
For Layers, this
means your Layers pages have no real «draft» state or way to
revert to an older version unless you painstakingly Save and export.
If Apple were to once again
revert to producing its own chips, it would
mean switching from the x86 instruction set at the heart of Intel processors to the ARM architecture, which has become the standard
for smartphone chips.
According to Kuo, Apple will wait to see how things pan out with the iPhone X before deciding whether to ditch Touch ID completely next year on all 2018 models
for Face ID or
revert to it as a
means of unlocking devices and authentication
for payments.
At the moment, that
means a family of four pays $ 90 a month
for unlimited data until March 31, 2018, when the promotion ends and the monthly cost
reverts to $ 160.