Surface freshwater plays an important role
for ocean circulation by its influence on the formation of deep water masses.
Not exact matches
This model is widely used
by both UK and international groups
for research into
ocean circulation, climate and marine ecosystems, and operationally as part of the UK Met Office's weather forecasting.
They will look
for evidence of temperature changes caused
by ocean circulation patterns in both the North Atlantic and tropical Pacific
Oceans, which drive precipitation in Tibet as well as the Indian monsoons.
RE # 39 (sorry
for being off - topic), there are still more threats to plankton from GW, according to a NATURE article just out («Decline of the marine ecosystem caused
by a reduction in the Atlantic overturning
circulation,» Schmittner, Vol 434 No 7033, Mar 31, p. 628): If the Atlantic
ocean conveyor is disrupted due to freshwater entering, then the nutrients
for plankton will not be churned up, perhaps reducing plankton
by half.
The visualization covers the period June 2005 to December 2007 and is based on a synthesis of a numerical model with observational data, created
by a NASA project called Estimating the
Circulation and Climate of the
Ocean, or ECCO
for short.
A recent paper
by Vecchi and Soden (preprint) published in the journal Geophysical Research Letters has been widely touted in the news (and some egregiously bad editorials), and the blogosphere as suggesting that increased vertical wind shear associated with tropical
circulation changes may offset any tendencies
for increased hurricane activity in the tropical Atlantic due to warming
oceans.
A new study in Science Advances
by Wei Liu and colleagues at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in San Diego and the University of Wisconsin - Madison has important implications
for the future stability of the overturning
circulation in the Atlantic
Ocean.
If tropical cyclone occurrence decreases, less of the heat is dissipated, and unless
ocean circulation in some way compensates
by transporting the additional thermal energy elsewhere (i.e.
for example out of the «main development region» of the Atlantic) some day a storm will tap the enhanced energy source.
I clearly see that the change in surface temperature and TOA radiative forcing simulated
by the model depends upon the model complexity,
for example, how the
ocean circulations are represented.
Using an
ocean circulation model
for the shelf, the authors find that surface temperatures may increase
by 0.5 to 2.0 °C, seasonal surface salinity may drop
by up to 2 PSS in some areas, and that Haida Eddies will strengthen, as will the Vancouver Island Coastal Current and freshwater discharges into coastal waters.
A Google search
for the passage «explore changes in
ocean circulation caused
by the growth of extensive fast ice» in November yields zero results:
For example, conditions at the poles affect how much heat is retained
by the earth because of the reflective properties of ice and snow, the world's
ocean circulation depends on sinking in polar regions, and melting of the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets could have drastic effects on sea level.
for article Threshold in North Atlantic - Arctic
Ocean circulation controlled
by the subsidence of the Greenland - Scotland Ridge.
We evaluate the GRACE RL05 data versus the previous release (RL04) over the
oceans using OBP estimates produced
by the ECCO (Estimating the
Circulation and Climate) project,
for six years from 2005 to 2010.
The surface of the
oceans are always warmer than the depths of the
oceans > If you change the mixing efficiency,
by shifting atmospheric
circulations with solar precessional cycle
for example, the mixing efficiency changes and the regions where precipitation falls changes.
As I say — if driven
by solar UV as a conteol variable
for instance these periods are not precise the same and on Earth they are modified further in
ocean and atmosphere
circulation.
In recent decades, much research on these topics has raised the questions of «tipping points» and «system flips,» where feedbacks in the system compound to rapidly cause massive reorganization of global climate over very short periods of time — a truncation or reorganization of the thermohaline
circulation or of food web structures,
for instance, caused
by the loss of sea ice or warming
ocean temperatures.
The atmosphere and
oceans, through their general
circulation, act as vast heat engines, compensating
for this imbalance
by providing nonradiative mechanisms
for the transfer of heat from the Equator to the poles.
And so a strong claim can be made that climate change is now at least partially responsible
for all global weather although the part played
by climate change could be small
for any individual climate event relative to other causes such as normal
ocean circulation patterns.
Importantly, the changes in cereal yield projected
for the 2020s and 2080s are driven
by GHG - induced climate change and likely do not fully capture interannual precipitation variability which can result in large yield reductions during dry periods, as the IPCC (Christensen et al., 2007) states: ``... there is less confidence in the ability of the AOGCMs (atmosphere -
ocean general
circulation models) to generate interannual variability in the SSTs (sea surface temperatures) of the type known to affect African rainfall, as evidenced
by the fact that very few AOGCMs produce droughts comparable in magnitude to the Sahel droughts of the 1970s and 1980s.»
The climate models have gotten more complex,
for sure, with thousands of estimated parameters
for warming potential, vorticity,
circulation patterns, absorption of heat, pressure, energy, and momentum
by various layers or atmosphere, land,
ocean, and sea - ice.
For me, that means I'd like to see it broken down, which Coby has done well so far,
by (these are just examples i'd like to see): Factors and evidence supporting or effectively debunking a)
ocean acidity, which in itself has produced a number of alarming effects including less saline density in turn causing a slowing of thermohaline
circulation (such as the gulf stream) b) photosynthesis - carbon sinks vs. sources or any direction that you'd like to take using what science knows CO2 to have an effect on.
There is a similar theory
for how African climate was affected
by New Guinea moving northward to close off the easy
circulation between Pacific and Indian
Oceans: Mark A. Cane, Peter Molnar, «Closing of the Indonesian seaway as a precursor to east African aridification around 3 — 4 million years ago,» Nature 411:157 - 162 (10 May 2001).
The pre-Holocene climate shifts seem to be well accounted
for by dynamics of glacial meltoff, freshwater discharge, and the impact on the
ocean circulation... all of which is less of an issue in an initially warm climate, and the AR5 generation models give no indication that the overturning
circulation will be significantly impacted over the coming century.
It's still cutting - edge research and there's no smoking gun, but there's evidence that with less sea ice, you put a lot of heat from the
ocean into the atmosphere, and the
circulation of the atmosphere responds to that... We've seen a tendency
for autumns with low sea ice cover to be followed
by a negative Arctic Oscillation.
For the July report, we received 14 June SIO submissions from dynamical models: 5 from ice -
ocean models forced
by atmospheric reanalysis or other atmospheric model output (in green in Figure 3) and 9 from fully coupled general
circulation models (in blue in Figure 3).
Regional
circulation patterns have significantly changed in recent years.2
For example, changes in the Arctic Oscillation can not be explained
by natural variation and it has been suggested that they are broadly consistent with the expected influence of human - induced climate change.3 The signature of global warming has also been identified in recent changes in the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, a pattern of variability in sea surface temperatures in the northern Pacific
Ocean.4
Although we focus on a hypothesized CR - cloud connection, we note that it is difficult to separate changes in the CR flux from accompanying variations in solar irradiance and the solar wind,
for which numerous causal links to climate have also been proposed, including: the influence of UV spectral irradiance on stratospheric heating and dynamic stratosphere - troposphere links (Haigh 1996); UV irradiance and radiative damage to phytoplankton influencing the release of volatile precursor compounds which form sulphate aerosols over
ocean environments (Kniveton et al. 2003); an amplification of total solar irradiance (TSI) variations
by the addition of energy in cloud - free regions enhancing tropospheric
circulation features (Meehl et al. 2008; Roy & Haigh 2010); numerous solar - related influences (including solar wind inputs) to the properties of the global electric circuit (GEC) and associated microphysical cloud changes (Tinsley 2008).
And as the
for the reason
for this year's Arctic ice melt, NASA and university scientists have detected an ongoing reversal in Arctic
Ocean circulation triggered
by atmospheric
circulation changes that varies on decade - long time scales.
Furthermore, the statistical methodology that is used to estimate the model can successfully recover the values
for the transient climate response from temperature simulations generated
by the coupled atmosphere -
ocean general
circulation models run
for CMIP (26).
The reason
for this is obvious, there is general agreement that it was caused
by the opening of the Tasman Sea and the inception of circumpolar
circulation in the Southern
Ocean, which isolated Antarctica from warm low - latitude air.
There are also other natural «modes of variability» which may be affected
by a climate change,
for instance if the heat transport in the
oceans are to change (e.g. the Atlantic meridional overturning
circulation AMOC).
The study, entitled «The Recent Shift in Early Summer Arctic Atmospheric
Circulation,» was co-authored
by scientists from Rutgers University in New Jersey, the University of Sheffield in the United Kingdom, and the Joint Institute
for the Study of the Atmosphere and
Ocean, a partnership of NOAA and the University of Washington.
Modeling long - term climate change
for the entire planet, however, was held back
by lack of computer power, ignorance of key processes such as cloud formation, inability to calculate the crucial
ocean circulation, and insufficient data on the world's actual climate.
Here we probe the system to determine whether certain regions of the Southern
Ocean are more critical than others for air — sea CO2 balance and the biological export production, by increasing surface nutrient drawdown in an ocean general circulation m
Ocean are more critical than others
for air — sea CO2 balance and the biological export production,
by increasing surface nutrient drawdown in an
ocean general circulation m
ocean general
circulation model.
In general, oscillations occur most readily
for large values of κ v, when the mean state of the
ocean is characterized
by a strong meridional overturning
circulation.